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A bettor is risking $200k to potentially win $1,761, betting the Browns won't win the SB

Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:04 pm
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
37503 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:04 pm


(I laugh because 9-month CDs pay about 4x these potential winnings with no risk of loss of capital)

Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
10175 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:12 pm to
Yeah, this is retarded. Leave that money in a damn checking account and you'll earn that. Instead, the casino will be earning interest on that guy's $200K for the next 9 months.
Posted by JoeyP239
Member since Nov 2025
1523 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:16 pm to
That’s not much over the interest rate. Seems stupid.
Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
6882 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:19 pm to
I'd be willing to bet that someone bet him to do this.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178225 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:21 pm to
Classic Sir Winston bet
Posted by lepdagod
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
6241 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:23 pm to
There has never been a bet made in history more guaranteed
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
37503 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

There has never been a bet made in history more guaranteed


It's very likely a winning bet which is reflected in the payout, but that's not really the point. There's still a non-zero chance he loses it all...vs. putting it in a CD and making 4x as much return with 0 chance of losing it all.
Posted by skullhawk
My house
Member since Nov 2007
27952 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:44 pm to
I'm guessing this is related to some sort of rewards program the bettor is trying to achieve or maintain.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88280 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:48 pm to
He's farming the airdrop.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
26064 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

laugh because 9-month CDs pay about 4x these potential winnings with no risk of loss of capital
that was my thought before I even opened the thread, they’d get more in a savings account

One of those things as a bettor that irrationally makes my blood boil when people bet on anything at 99% or -10000 odds. Just stupid unnecessary risk

if there’s any benefit of the doubt though I will say from betting on Kalshi that they do pay out a 3.25% apy interest on open positions so maybe poly market does same and he’s getting interest plus any return the bet will eventually yield
Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
15957 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

I'm guessing this is related to some sort of rewards program the bettor is trying to achieve or maintain.
That has to be the answer. It’s the only thing that makes sense.


Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
7814 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:16 pm to
Plus if the browns make the playoffs everybody will be completely shocked and happy for them. It will be a good story.


Unless you’re that guy

Not worth it at all
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
55199 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:19 pm to
Maybe he’s a browns fan who will gladly pay 200 g’s for a title
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
7814 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:20 pm to
The only way it is worth it
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
40119 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:29 pm to
quote:


(I laugh because 9-month CDs pay about 4x these potential winnings with no risk of loss of capital)
Is that how these types of bets work? They actually take the entire $200K from you upfront?
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
37503 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

The only way it is worth it


Even that doesn't make any sense. The move would've been, assuming the Browns make it that far, to just put $200k on the ML of whomever they're playing in the SB. Would like get 5-8 on that team which would be good for about $125k in profit (I'm assuming whoever they would face would be the favorite.)
This post was edited on 6/2/26 at 3:33 pm
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
37503 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

Is that how these types of bets work?


I'm pretty sure that's how it works. I've never heard of people locking in odds and not having to transfer payment for the bet until the event is played.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
69705 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:40 pm to
Posted by 6R12
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2005
12213 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:52 pm to
I guess his buds said it was a good idea. Can't see ANY star lining up for him. Shooters shoot.
Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
21614 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

I laugh because 9-month CDs pay about 4x these potential winnings with no risk of loss of capital
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