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Started By
Message
re: 16 seed over a 1 seed or JMU over Oregon
Posted on 12/12/25 at 3:56 pm to TheDeathValley
Posted on 12/12/25 at 3:56 pm to TheDeathValley
And the odds reflect it.
Call me crazy but I think JMU has a chance. Oregon won’t take this seriously.
Call me crazy but I think JMU has a chance. Oregon won’t take this seriously.
0
Posted on 12/12/25 at 4:20 pm to JamalMurry27
quote:
If jmu beat Oregon it would be the most stunning result I’ve ever seen in college football given the stage
Posted on 12/12/25 at 5:36 pm to magildachunks
ETA: I struggle with reading comprehension.
This post was edited on 12/12/25 at 7:11 pm
Posted on 12/12/25 at 5:59 pm to armytiger96
quote:
undefeated Auburn team that was left out of the playoffs that year
Well the playoffs didn’t exist back than
Posted on 12/12/25 at 6:02 pm to magildachunks
quote:
Having said all that: I've never seen ULL score a Touchdown on LSU.
Underrated stat
Posted on 12/12/25 at 6:04 pm to JamalMurry27
James Madison is better than people think.
But this is an unfair comparison because you are comparing years of 1 vs 16 vs one game of James Madison and Oregon.
Therefore, it does not compute
But this is an unfair comparison because you are comparing years of 1 vs 16 vs one game of James Madison and Oregon.
Therefore, it does not compute
Posted on 12/12/25 at 6:06 pm to JamalMurry27
You just like seeing your name on the front page 5 times a day? Ever considered just stfu...
Posted on 12/12/25 at 7:01 pm to JamalMurry27
I did napkin math reverse engineering of the moneylines I was seeing, and it looks like the ML implies JMU has a roughly 3.4% chance to win.
1v16 is like 1.4% over the past 40 years
I’m taking JMU easily
EDIT: Maybe more interesting, what about any 1v16 of the four that try in a given year? If one of them is 1.4%, then four of them are ~5.5%… which is more likely than JMU > Oregon
1v16 is like 1.4% over the past 40 years
I’m taking JMU easily
EDIT: Maybe more interesting, what about any 1v16 of the four that try in a given year? If one of them is 1.4%, then four of them are ~5.5%… which is more likely than JMU > Oregon
This post was edited on 12/12/25 at 7:03 pm
Posted on 12/12/25 at 7:04 pm to lepdagod
quote:
Well the playoffs didn’t exist back than
They existed in 2017. I misread that Auburn was undefeated that year. They actually finished the season with 4 losses.
Posted on 12/12/25 at 7:10 pm to StringedInstruments
quote:
16 seeds are 2-150 all time against 1 seeds in the tournament.
A 12 seed has never beaten a 5 seed in the CFP.
Posted on 12/12/25 at 7:10 pm to GeauxOn
quote:
Not saying there isnt a talent gap but it's not what it used to be.
There’s even more of a talent gap in the NIL era
Especially with Oregon opening the checkbook and basically whoever they want they get
Meanwhile G5s get raided and have to rebuild the roster every year
This post was edited on 12/12/25 at 7:13 pm
Posted on 12/12/25 at 10:39 pm to JamalMurry27
JMU will be one of the top 5 teams Oregon has seen this year.
They lost to Indiana
Beat USC comfortably
Beat Iowa by 2
Beat Penn State in overtime
Oregon is fools gold
They lost to Indiana
Beat USC comfortably
Beat Iowa by 2
Beat Penn State in overtime
Oregon is fools gold
Posted on 12/12/25 at 10:45 pm to JamalMurry27
This is easily JMU over Oregon.
16 over a 1 has only happened twice in NCAA history..?
JMU is a top 25 team in the country playing the 5th best team. A 16 seed is no better than a top 60 team beating a top 4 team.
The odds are astronomically better JMU beats Oregon than a 16 beats a 1.
That being said, JMU still going to lose to Oregon
16 over a 1 has only happened twice in NCAA history..?
JMU is a top 25 team in the country playing the 5th best team. A 16 seed is no better than a top 60 team beating a top 4 team.
The odds are astronomically better JMU beats Oregon than a 16 beats a 1.
That being said, JMU still going to lose to Oregon
Posted on 12/12/25 at 11:27 pm to Zzyzx
how did Tulane and jmu both get in? I thought it was the highest ranked team outside of the power 4 gets in. how do they both get in if they have no auto bid and werent ranked high enough.
is there an auto bid that i dont remember ?
is there an auto bid that i dont remember ?
Posted on 12/13/25 at 12:00 am to Tigerpride18
The auto bids are not SEC + B1G + B12 + ACC + next highest champ. It’s just top five champs.
Duke won the ACC title (lmao) and was ranked lower than Tulane, James Madison, Texas Tech, Georgia, and Indiana.
Duke won the ACC title (lmao) and was ranked lower than Tulane, James Madison, Texas Tech, Georgia, and Indiana.
Posted on 12/13/25 at 3:22 am to OKBoomerSooner
Most interesting thing I found out about JMU is their back up QB is the former QB from UNLV that left the team last year cause they didn't pay him what they said (verbal agreement) it was a big story for a couple of weeks, but then died out. One of his former coaches went there and he followed. He hasn't played a ton, but still got to the playoffs..
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