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OKBoomerSooner
| Favorite team: | LSU |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 5339 |
| Registered on: | 12/2/2019 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
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re: Some thoughts on LSU football thus far
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/5/26 at 12:57 pm to NorthTxLSU
Yeah, I feel great about where things are going. The Ole Miss game had me worried because Sam didn't look like he was settling into the offense. It seems clear from the last couple of weeks that he is. And while the defense looked bad at times vs Ole Miss, I said at the time that it was just a miscalculation by the staff in overscheming around Ole Miss specifically. We looked fine once we got back to playing our game, and although the two offenses we've played since aren't good, Marcel Reed in particular has always been a problem for us, so it was nice to see that not happen this year.
I probably should be fully bought in, but I'm still feeling a bit cautious. This road game at Kentucky is the perfect test, though. We know they're solid this year, they can punch up to more talented teams, and it's a road game in a year where home teams have had a huge edge. If LSU goes in and takes care of business and wins by 2+ scores, we're officially back IMO. With one exception (ironically at Kentucky in 07 :lol:), when we were contending for titles, we usually put teams like this to bed. They would have a good year, but the difference between the programs would be palpable. And if we can handle business on the road against Kentucky, then I think we can do that for all our remaining road games this year, and that means we get 2 cracks at the SEC's elite, night game, Tiger Stadium. Great spot!
I probably should be fully bought in, but I'm still feeling a bit cautious. This road game at Kentucky is the perfect test, though. We know they're solid this year, they can punch up to more talented teams, and it's a road game in a year where home teams have had a huge edge. If LSU goes in and takes care of business and wins by 2+ scores, we're officially back IMO. With one exception (ironically at Kentucky in 07 :lol:), when we were contending for titles, we usually put teams like this to bed. They would have a good year, but the difference between the programs would be palpable. And if we can handle business on the road against Kentucky, then I think we can do that for all our remaining road games this year, and that means we get 2 cracks at the SEC's elite, night game, Tiger Stadium. Great spot!
re: Loook at this throw from Sam Leavitt
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/5/26 at 12:45 pm to Cd104
So exciting to see man. I really thought this was the type of thing that couldn't improve week-to-week. Athletic QBs with happy feet have a hard time breaking out of the run-first mindset that quickly. This is fricking awesome because I really think the only thing holding us back from real contention was if Sam didn't settle in. What a dime dude :cheers:
re: ChatGPT’s top 4 bets all cashed yesterday.
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/4/26 at 2:50 pm to BOSCEAUX
I wouldn’t be surprised if frontier models could beat random Joes guessing, but no way it beats proper models trained for this lol. Vegas has been using them for some time to set lines
re: Did the college rule changes save saban from a surging Kirby?
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/4/26 at 2:37 pm to JamalMurry27
I think the margins just got extremely thin. The SEC leveled up massively, not just at the top but in the middle class. Alabama “regressed” from transcendental all-time dominance to a mere mortal best-in-class program. Georgia improved to best-in-class status at the same time. But previously, behind Alabama there were a handful of talented programs (Georgia included, but also LSU, Auburn) that were good enough to take a game here and there but not really compete as equals… and then a bunch of mediocrity.
Now any given year there’s Georgia, Alabama, probably Texas in that same tier, but like 4 to 6 other teams that can plausibly take games and go on a run to the conference title game. And then there’s another 3 to 4 with the talent and coaching to compete that have horrible injury luck or one brutal positional regression that knocks them out of contending that year, but that have potential to go on a run any given year. It’s just really hard to stay ahead of that many programs putting that many resources into competing.
It’s only gonna get worse, too, as the Big Ten finally catches up with their media deals. They’ve already won the last 3 titles, and on a talent level it’s difficult to argue that their top end can’t compete, since they splattered SEC teams along the way. Their middle class isn’t as good yet, but the money for that is coming.
So, long story short, I’d say Saban got out before the rule changes really leveled the playing field, and that Kirby was more of a harbinger that change was coming. I don’t think Saban’s “legacy” would have been “tarnished” if he hung around and they really fell back to the land of the good but not great. But the trend was obvious and I don’t see anything that would have prevented it. And Kirby’s living with it just as much as anyone else right now, though he’s doing a great job of staying a step above the surging competition.
Now any given year there’s Georgia, Alabama, probably Texas in that same tier, but like 4 to 6 other teams that can plausibly take games and go on a run to the conference title game. And then there’s another 3 to 4 with the talent and coaching to compete that have horrible injury luck or one brutal positional regression that knocks them out of contending that year, but that have potential to go on a run any given year. It’s just really hard to stay ahead of that many programs putting that many resources into competing.
It’s only gonna get worse, too, as the Big Ten finally catches up with their media deals. They’ve already won the last 3 titles, and on a talent level it’s difficult to argue that their top end can’t compete, since they splattered SEC teams along the way. Their middle class isn’t as good yet, but the money for that is coming.
So, long story short, I’d say Saban got out before the rule changes really leveled the playing field, and that Kirby was more of a harbinger that change was coming. I don’t think Saban’s “legacy” would have been “tarnished” if he hung around and they really fell back to the land of the good but not great. But the trend was obvious and I don’t see anything that would have prevented it. And Kirby’s living with it just as much as anyone else right now, though he’s doing a great job of staying a step above the surging competition.
re: The basketball goal
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 8:56 pm to Redhead57
Know the rules
When they do it: Tacky, corny, gimmick, little brother, fake tradition
When I do it: Awesome, electric, time-honored tradition
When they do it: Tacky, corny, gimmick, little brother, fake tradition
When I do it: Awesome, electric, time-honored tradition
re: THICK 6
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 8:55 pm to Tigerbait8
If that's not the official name of that play in the playbook, it needs to be.
re: Florida 17 @ Missouri 45 Final - ABC
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 5:44 pm to YankeeHandle
Hate to be that guy but the blonde right before the commercial break :pimp:
re: Home team certainly has a leg up this year.
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 4:57 pm to GrizzlyWintergreen
I was just thinking about this lol. Feels like home field is a solid touchdown edge rather than the ~3-4 points it's supposed to be
re: Mizzou > Florida > Ole Miss > LSU
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 4:53 pm to theballguy
Anybody got a clean Missouri Apology Form :lol:
re: Dear Diary, if AR wins Elko gets fired
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 1:09 pm to stitchop
Either program would be very foolish to fire their coach
re: Hey Auburn…
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 10:48 am to Tuscaloosa
Saturday in October, 65 degrees, CNB declaring the SEC down, Tuscaloosa giving Auburn the ancient greeting. We are so back :bow:
re: I just don’t see how Bama loses today
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 10:47 am to Gifman
They are definitely Grindproof, there is no possible way that anything bad could happen to Alabama in Starkvegas today.
re: Wemby on Promoting Prediction Markets "I will never do that"
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 10:46 am to Underwood
Respect. I like this guy off the court :lol:
re: The SEC is down this year
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/3/26 at 10:43 am to CNB
People say the SEC is up, yet zero SEC teams have made the playoffs so far this season. Curious!
re: Ryan Fitzpatrick: Burrow is 1-34 when trailing late? That doesn’t tell the story.
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 10/1/26 at 10:01 am to TheOcean
quote:
1-34 aint a statistical anomaly
Correct, but it matters who the stat actually points at
re: Sounds like 24 team playoff is a done deal
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 9/30/26 at 10:46 pm to Allthatfades
24 is way too far.
I actually like 12 even though I expected to hate it. I think 16 might even be better, as unintuitive as that probably is, because it doesn't add another round - it just shoves the pity invites over to play the top-4 seeds in round 1 and creates more interesting first-round games among the next-8. And obviously I think shrinking to 8 has a ton of merit too.
But anything that adds another round is foolishness IMO. Adding another round that has even fewer of the top teams in it is just dumb. And I know I saw that they were going to do away with most conference auto-bids, but I really strongly suspect nonetheless that they're going to smuggle auto-bids for all conferences into the final version. Maybe I'm wrong there, but don't tell me you can't see them doing it lol.
I actually like 12 even though I expected to hate it. I think 16 might even be better, as unintuitive as that probably is, because it doesn't add another round - it just shoves the pity invites over to play the top-4 seeds in round 1 and creates more interesting first-round games among the next-8. And obviously I think shrinking to 8 has a ton of merit too.
But anything that adds another round is foolishness IMO. Adding another round that has even fewer of the top teams in it is just dumb. And I know I saw that they were going to do away with most conference auto-bids, but I really strongly suspect nonetheless that they're going to smuggle auto-bids for all conferences into the final version. Maybe I'm wrong there, but don't tell me you can't see them doing it lol.
re: Does a 3 loss Ohio State make the playoffs? Because their schedule is brutal.
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 9/28/26 at 2:10 pm to Dawg Collar
I think the only correct answer is that you have to be open to the possibility at this point, and you can examine it more seriously if it happens. I know that’s not a satisfying answer, or much of one at all, but the point of the playoff taking “top 12 teams” is that the line is necessarily relative to what other people have done. So it’s impossible to answer coherently right now if 9-3 vs that schedule “should” get in.
To your point,
• that is a brutal schedule
• the Committee needs to be more open to the idea of taking X-3 or even X-4 teams from the SEC and Big Ten because their schedules are much tougher than everyone else’s
To your point,
• that is a brutal schedule
• the Committee needs to be more open to the idea of taking X-3 or even X-4 teams from the SEC and Big Ten because their schedules are much tougher than everyone else’s
re: 4-0 overall 2-0 conference check in thread.
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 9/26/26 at 10:41 pm to CleverUserName
quote:
We are just celebrating that we don't have to dickride Florida next week to avenge the loss.
:bow: :bow: :bow:
re: Weekly reminder CBS chose the Big 10 over the SEC
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 9/26/26 at 10:35 pm to Mingo Was His NameO
Probably not the week to do this lol... but I still agree, the overall week-to-week slates aren't even close
re: CFB various games thread Friday 9/25/26
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 9/25/26 at 9:39 pm to G The Tiger Fan
Baw god that catch was a thang of beauty baws
re: Kiffin spoke on Leavitt without naming him tonight
Posted by OKBoomerSooner on 9/24/26 at 8:10 pm to DByrd2
I’m not optimistic for Leavitt for this year and I’m not sure what that means for the future at QB.
I think his problems are fixable and that recovery from last year’s injury cost him a lot of development time toward those fixes, so there’s potential to see a big leap.
However:
1. He’s in year 4 of 5 already. Some of those fixes are things you’d expect not to need fixing this late in the game. And the payoff for investing in those fixes is that maybe you get one great season next year.
2. If the fix involves an offseason, we’re writing off a lot to wait until then.
3. It can’t be good for keeping the other 2 QBs around to shrug and say “well we think he can figure it out next offseason, so let’s keep playing him to build continuity and confidence instead of seeing what we’ve got.”
Hopefully the premise is just wrong and he figures it out midseason. But I think you diagnosed it right, it’s stuff like footwork and throwing mechanics and not seeing the field that typically don’t get fixed quick. And the obvious culprit is that he developed rough habits in a minor league where his athleticism could hard carry him, and then he missed an offseason under Lane to correct those habits due to recovery from serious injury. None of that suggests a turnaround is right around the corner.
Hope I’m wrong because I’m watching every game and cheering hard anyway :cheers:
I think his problems are fixable and that recovery from last year’s injury cost him a lot of development time toward those fixes, so there’s potential to see a big leap.
However:
1. He’s in year 4 of 5 already. Some of those fixes are things you’d expect not to need fixing this late in the game. And the payoff for investing in those fixes is that maybe you get one great season next year.
2. If the fix involves an offseason, we’re writing off a lot to wait until then.
3. It can’t be good for keeping the other 2 QBs around to shrug and say “well we think he can figure it out next offseason, so let’s keep playing him to build continuity and confidence instead of seeing what we’ve got.”
Hopefully the premise is just wrong and he figures it out midseason. But I think you diagnosed it right, it’s stuff like footwork and throwing mechanics and not seeing the field that typically don’t get fixed quick. And the obvious culprit is that he developed rough habits in a minor league where his athleticism could hard carry him, and then he missed an offseason under Lane to correct those habits due to recovery from serious injury. None of that suggests a turnaround is right around the corner.
Hope I’m wrong because I’m watching every game and cheering hard anyway :cheers:
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