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Truck Prices - when will they fall

Posted on 5/4/22 at 12:24 pm
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6141 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 12:24 pm
With the incoming (already here) recession and fuel prices rising like an OTer on peptides, does anyone wish to take a guess as to when demand will fall and along with it the price of trucks?

I don't necessarily need a new truck, but it would be nice to have a new one.

With that said, if I'm getting top dollar for my trade in (which goes down as new prices fall), wouldn't it really just balance out in the end. So why not just buy now?
This post was edited on 5/4/22 at 12:25 pm
Posted by achenator
Member since Oct 2014
2945 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 12:40 pm to
When supply catches up.

As far as you last question, i think you'd be fine as long as you are paying MSRP and not over.
Posted by Brummy
Central, LA
Member since Oct 2009
4505 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 12:44 pm to
I read the other day that GM expects the chip shortage to continue into 2023, so probably at least another year.
Posted by bod312
Member since Jul 2015
846 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

I read the other day that GM expects the chip shortage to continue into 2023, so probably at least another year.


This very well may be true but I wouldn't expect a company trying to sell vehicles right now to say oh yea everything will be great in 6 months, just wait to buy your vehicle.
This post was edited on 5/4/22 at 1:26 pm
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
6832 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

I read the other day that GM expects the chip shortage to continue into 2023


Most are saying chip shortage will be over in Q2 2023. That depends on a lot of things between now and then though.
Posted by BadatBourre
Member since Jan 2019
741 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 1:26 pm to
Chip Shortage is based off of the current vehicle sales. Not a lot of people can afford 55k trucks at 8%.
Posted by bod312
Member since Jul 2015
846 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 1:33 pm to
All they have to do is extend the loans to 8 or 10 years.
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6141 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

8%.


I guess the only good news is some manufacturers are still offering 0 - 2%
Posted by hall59tiger
Member since Oct 2013
2451 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 2:41 pm to
Lots of car dealers trying to push manufacturers to keep the supply low. Dealers are doing better than ever but I don’t see manufacturers agreeing with that. Some decently large people in the auto industry believe things catch up 2024 Q1-Q2.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80781 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 2:46 pm to
When chips become readily available and supply normalizes, so roughly 2-3 years
Posted by BK Lounge
Member since Nov 2021
3472 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

Not a lot of people can afford 55k trucks at 8%.



You must be referring to the used vehicle market, correct ? $55k seems low for a new truck in 2022, from what ive seen .
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
15799 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 5:42 pm to
I got 3.6% Friday and my brother got 2 something on my old 2017.

Once they are caught up you will start seeing 10k to 12k off the more expensive trucks but you will see that much less on the trades.
This post was edited on 5/4/22 at 5:44 pm
Posted by tigerpawl
Can't get there from here.
Member since Dec 2003
22318 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 6:03 pm to
Let's be honest. Truck prices will NEVER go down.
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
15799 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 6:34 pm to
MSRP won’t go down but they will start discounting the shite out of them if they have a ton or a new model is coming out.
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119222 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 7:05 pm to
When the chip shortage is over, prices will probably not come back down, but they will start the massive discounting again. They will have to. They will glut the market with inventory, just like they have done for decades.
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4106 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 7:15 pm to
quote:

I don't necessarily need one, but it would be nice to have a new one.


Funny, I said the same thing when I saw a Porsche Panamera Sport Turismo Wagon this past weekend - that thing was straight up XXX car porn. My girlfriend asked me if I’d been drinking.

But to your point, we’re not currently in a recession, but if demand softens enough because of higher rates and/or lower employment, or if the supply chain issues lessen, I can see prices normalizing at least somewhat over the next 12-18 months.
Posted by achenator
Member since Oct 2014
2945 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

Lots of car dealers trying to push manufacturers to keep the supply low. Dealers are doing better than ever but I don’t see manufacturers agreeing with that.


My buddy runs a German franchise store and he said they’d rather sell more cars at less profit because they are concerned about future service customers as most get serviced at the dealer.
Posted by Stateguy
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2006
888 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

Truck Prices - when will they fall


purely anecdotal, but this truck has popped up in my instagram feed multiple times over last few weeks. Started at $60k, then $59500, now $58500. Not sure if there's a reason this particular truck isn't selling. Just one example, but maybe used prices are starting to fall?

LINK
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
13865 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 10:15 pm to
quote:

Just one example, but maybe used prices are starting to fall?

$58.5k for a used truck with almost 40k miles.

Prices may be falling from outer space but they are still in the stratosphere.
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
15799 posts
Posted on 5/4/22 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

$58.5k for a used truck with almost 40k miles. Prices may be falling from outer space but they are still in the stratosphere.



I just got 57k for my 2017 F-250 with 64,000 miles on it and that was trade in. I did pretty good on this truck. Sticker was around 83k and I had my brother do an in and out for 57k so I saved 9.45% taxes on 57k. Out the door price with what I negotiated off sticker was $22,500 for a $83,000 truck.
This post was edited on 5/4/22 at 10:54 pm
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