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Stock Market Performance 1 Year after Entering Bear Market

Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:51 am
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18073 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:51 am
Hold the line, baws. It will get better.

1957 = +31%
1962 = +26.1%
1966 = +24.6%
1970 = +11.8%
1973 = -26.9%
1982 = +30.4%
1987 = +23.2%
2001 = -1.2%
2002 = +7.4%
2008 = -29.1%
2009 = +47.3%
2020 = +59%

One year performance after entering a bear market. Hopefully this isnt like ’73 or ’08, but short term turbulence is part of the game. Let's keep building wealth, MT!!!
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86488 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:57 am to
when did we enter this one?
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18073 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:58 am to
quote:

when did we enter this one?



I think officially, last Wednesday.
Posted by thegreatboudini
Member since Oct 2008
6452 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 9:02 am to
I like the positivity, but look around at quite literally everything.

Pain is coming.
Posted by 21JumpStreet
Member since Jul 2012
14650 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 9:04 am to
If you only invest in a bull market...
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4586 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 9:11 am to
I dunno man, people are still buying $7 loaded teas left and right here.
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68330 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 9:31 am to
quote:

when did we enter this one?



Yesterday officially at close. S&P 500 officially closed over 20% down from it's previous high (back in Jan). If you base the market on that which most probably would being 500 or so largest publicly traded companies.

Bear market just means market is down at least 20% from a previous high.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53003 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 9:35 am to
The stock market is a Ponzi scheme that boomers invented to get out of paying you a pension
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4586 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 9:56 am to
A pension technically meets the definition of a Ponzi scheme though..
Posted by skewbs
Member since Apr 2008
2003 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 10:15 am to
BuT iT's DiFfeREnT ThIs tImE!
Posted by Diseasefreeforall
Member since Oct 2012
5528 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 10:36 am to
It seems like 2001 coming down from irrational exuberance but we'll see.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 11:11 am to
but this time it's different

Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
18408 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

people are still buying $7 loaded teas left and right here.


Might seem that way, but if 10% of customers stop buying them, the company will notice. You might not because you won’t really see a difference between 10 and 9 people in a store, but I guarantee the company’s accountants will.
Posted by LSU82BILL
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Sep 2006
10322 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

A pension technically meets the definition of a Ponzi scheme though..


Ironically, pension funds invest heavily in stocks and rely on the historical returns of those stocks to remain solvent.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4586 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Might seem that way, but if 10% of customers stop buying them, the company will notice. You might not because you won’t really see a difference between 10 and 9 people in a store, but I guarantee the company’s accountants will.


This store here is steadily getting 200-250 customers a day. This is purely a discretionary item as well. The kids at the high school have now made it a status symbol based on the flavors they bring to school. So I’ll let this continue to be my recession indicator and report back with the numbers if they start dropping.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
25987 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 1:31 pm to


Bear Market always signifies mass layoffs well here is the beginning of the job termination cycle.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4586 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 1:48 pm to
I can identify like 7 of those companies. I’ve never heard of most of them
Posted by Zzyzx
Member since Nov 2018
1884 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 2:07 pm to
F pensions and social security.

I think everyone should be responsible for their own retirement and then taxpayers can stop funding morons who didn’t plan well for the future
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 2:08 pm to
Biden wasn’t in power then. This is the exception to all previous bear markets because he is an idiot.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
11811 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

Biden wasn’t in power then. This is the exception to all previous bear markets because he is an idiot.


Between the Covid lockdowns and paying people to stay home and not doing evictions and printing more money in 2 years then in 200. Throw in a major war in Europe, a US administration trying to push green and punish carbon in the middle of a all the down turn…..

This is not like previous bears. Not saying this is a gloom and door scenario, just that “past performance not indicative of future results”.

As always they will be money to be made, but need to weigh the risks and not make rash decisions. Time to be smart and patient for time to make the right move.
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