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re: Runaway hyperinflation now at 3% YoY

Posted on 7/15/23 at 5:21 pm to
Posted by Palm Beach Tiger
Orlando, Florida
Member since Jan 2007
30068 posts
Posted on 7/15/23 at 5:21 pm to
Yeah. Everything costing 50% to 100% more than it did 3 years ago doesn’t matter at all. Its only gone up 3% in the last year………..worst presidential admin ever.
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
29304 posts
Posted on 7/15/23 at 5:39 pm to
Look, I'll bash Biden with the best of them, but this was happening regardless of administration. Covid-induced inflation has been a worldwide issue. It turns out that if you reduce output and print the shite out of money, you end up with inflation. Who knew?
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
148447 posts
Posted on 7/15/23 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

Everything costing 50% to 100% more than it did 3 years ago
this is literally fake news
Posted by Palm Beach Tiger
Orlando, Florida
Member since Jan 2007
30068 posts
Posted on 7/15/23 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

this is literally fake news


Have you not been out in the world buying anything? Lol. Unreal
Posted by LSUSUPERSTAR
TX
Member since Jan 2005
16866 posts
Posted on 7/15/23 at 7:30 pm to
But Biden specifically said in a debate that he was going to move us away from oil/gas which caused prices to spike more.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
12869 posts
Posted on 7/15/23 at 7:42 pm to
This is partly true. But the demented one caused energy prices to spike right out of the gate with his policies. Then he added fuel to the fire with hi so-called infrastructure plan. He doesn’t get a pass on this. I don’t know how many of you realize it, but our dollars are worth about 75% of what they were worth at the start of 2021. That’s a big deal.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
25028 posts
Posted on 7/15/23 at 8:57 pm to
Take this to the PTB.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16049 posts
Posted on 7/16/23 at 5:47 am to
Just anecdotal but I seen prices of lots of grocery staples come down
Eggs way down
Beef down
Chicken down
Dairy items down

Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25843 posts
Posted on 7/17/23 at 8:09 am to
They might be down over the recent highs but many grocery items are still double what they were 2-3 years ago and my paycheck sure as hell isn’t.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
19428 posts
Posted on 7/17/23 at 8:22 am to
quote:

im almost certain 80% of the people that use this word doesn't know the definition


95% on the OT and 99% on the poli board


All I know is my grocery bill with 2 kids almost makes me stroke out every week.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 7/17/23 at 8:52 am to
quote:

They might be down over the recent highs but many grocery items are still double what they were 2-3 years ago and my paycheck sure as hell isn’t.


Yeah but the rate of inflation is measured on a monthly and annual basis.

Everyone realizes nearly everything costs more today than it did 4 and 40 years ago. That’s largely irrelevant to the recent (monthly and annual) trend that drives monetary policy.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57977 posts
Posted on 7/17/23 at 11:35 am to
quote:

They might be down over the recent highs but many grocery items are still double what they were 2-3 years ago and my paycheck sure as hell isn’t.


Food inflation has come down, but you have to consider that:

A: It's still high (5.7% for last month)

B: There's a compounding effect once you go back beyond just 12 months. For example, the June 2023 12-month is 5.7%, which is 5.7% over the 9.1% from last year, which was an increase of 9.1% over the previous year, meaning we currently see an average increase of ~16.3% from 2021 prices.

I think the problem with the food category is that there's no weighting (at least that I know of) based on most-purchased items (like bread or soft drinks), meaning that items with lower price increases are likely skewing the overall change lower than what consumers are actually experiencing.

Let's take bread (by pound) for example.

In June 2021 the national average price was $1.510/pound
In June 2022 the national average price was $1.691/pound
In June 2023 the national average price was $1.937/pound

This means we saw a ~10.3% increase from June 2021 to June 2022 then a ~12.% increase from June 2022 to June 2023. So for something like bread, we still see over a 20% increase in price even though the rate of inflation on it is dropping. That's well above the average CPI for food and it's a product most people buy. It's a similar story with soft drinks.
Posted by Pendulum
Member since Jan 2009
7929 posts
Posted on 7/17/23 at 12:04 pm to
I dont trust cpi, it's been like 5% for 4 years but shite is up over 20% since 4 years ago! They think we are stupid!

Same guy is confused and suspicious of his brokerage when his stock goes down 5% and then up 5% and he's not where he started. (And he only owns leveraged etfs )
This post was edited on 7/17/23 at 12:07 pm
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16049 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:58 pm to
Your paycheck wouldn’t have to be double to afford food items that have doubled…
Posted by CAPEX
Member since Dec 2022
918 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

I don’t know how many of you realize it, but our dollars are worth about 75% of what they were worth at the start of 2021. That’s a big deal.



People say this without acknowledging that the number of dollars they receive has also gone up.

LINK

Real wages for the American worker (i.e. controlling for inflation) are higher than they've ever been if you remove the 2020 COVID period.

Your real wages are the same as they were in Q4 2020 terms which means you can buy the same basket of goods that you could back then for a similar percentage of your income.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61304 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 5:23 pm to
The one and only food item that I recall that never went up and seems like it has held steady for several years now is bananas.
One of life’s simple mysteries on how they’ve not had to raise prices on them
Posted by johnadams1776
florida
Member since Jun 2021
479 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 6:45 pm to
why would anybody believe any data coming out of washington?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 7/19/23 at 8:06 am to
quote:

I don’t know how many of you realize it, but our dollars are worth about 75% of what they were worth at the start of 2021.


A) you’re just making shite up. CPI is up 15% cumulatively since then.

B) your wealth should be up even more than that. Home prices are wayyyy up. Stock prices are wayyyy up.
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15344 posts
Posted on 7/19/23 at 9:49 am to
quote:

Home prices are wayyyy up.

Inflation is down folks, but, good news, home prices are wayyyyyy up.
You have to have a phD in econ to square that circle I guess.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
40326 posts
Posted on 7/19/23 at 10:06 am to
quote:

A) you’re just making shite up. CPI is up 15% cumulatively since then.


Watch out. Some posters are about to accuse you of shilling for biden and denying that inflation exists at all if you pushback against the number sloane pulled from his arse
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