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PSA - The used car market right now is ridiculous

Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:18 pm
Posted by Retrograde
TX
Member since Jul 2014
2900 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:18 pm
I buy cars wholesale at auction for a regional dealer, and I am just giving a friendly PSA - don’t let friends, family members or anyone you care about buy a used car right now. I’m sure there are exceptions, but I watch dealers consistently pay NADa retail for cars day in and day out for the last 2 months.

Many vehicles have an average MMR (Manheim average wholesale value) 1000/2000 above NADA trade. Manufacturers shutting down and repossession forbearance has limited supply at auction... which leads to outrageous auction pricing.

Unless you luck out, if you buy a used car right now you will get gouged. Wait a couple months until rentals defleet and repos start coming back through the pipe again.
Posted by Stiles
Member since Sep 2017
3404 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:24 pm to
If you think used cars prices are ridiculous, go ahead over to the New Orleans housing market thread.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82026 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:35 pm to
Funny you say that, I received his email earlier tonight

Posted by Retrograde
TX
Member since Jul 2014
2900 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

Funny you say that, I received his email earlier tonight


They are not lying. If I was trading a paid off vehicle right now, I would want full NADA retail - $1000 and go from there. The only problem with trading a vehicle is now you have to buy one at current market value.
Posted by whoa
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
4596 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:05 pm to
I just bought a used car last week, paid probably $2k over what it’s worth but I was on a time crunch and needed to purchase a car fast.

I tried to negotiate but they already had someone who called offering cash so I had no leverage.

Car dealerships are a tough place to be right now.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58123 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:18 pm to
But the experts on here will still tell you that you should never buy new cars.
Posted by Bill Parker?
Member since Jan 2013
4470 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:27 pm to
Starting to look now for a vehicle for one of my kids. Do you expect things to shake out in that two month time frame?
Posted by TheGuitarMan1
LA
Member since Jun 2020
309 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:28 pm to
Glad I got my 2017 in late February.
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3795 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:38 pm to
So it’s a great time to trade?

My lease ends in a couple months, so I might start making some calls.
Posted by TigerSaints318
Shreveport
Member since Dec 2009
1797 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 6:24 am to
quote:

So it’s a great time to trade? My lease ends in a couple months, so I might start making some calls.


You wouldn’t be trading. You would either be leasing another, purchasing one or purchasing your current lease. There is a good chance that purchasing your lease for the residual value is a good deal right now.
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3795 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:20 am to
quote:

You wouldn’t be trading. You would either be leasing another, purchasing one or purchasing your current lease.


Does my lease have a “purchase” option? Why could this not be used as similar to the “principal value” of a loan against a trade-in vehicle? Dealership takes trade, pays off loan (or lease), credits me equity as applicable?
Posted by achenator
Member since Oct 2014
2945 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:22 am to
quote:

Many vehicles have an average MMR (Manheim average wholesale value) 1000/2000 above NADA trade. Manufacturers shutting down and repossession forbearance has limited supply at auction... which leads to outrageous auction pricing.

All of my friends in the business are telling me this. One of my friends sent me a screenshot of a f150 that had a MMR of 19900 selling for like 25500 at Manheim
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58123 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:22 am to
quote:

Wait a couple months until rentals defleet and repos start coming back through the pipe again.


Is it a pretty good assumption that this could clear up some in two months?
We have been looking a little for a car for my daughter to take to college, but had been holding off waiting for deals to get better.

She can ride with friends for a while I guess.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:24 am to
I’ve been looking and plan on doing some test driving this weekend. Are you saying that dealers will be less inclined to negotiate on prices?
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119127 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:39 am to
Interesting. I have a 2016 Highlander with 35K miles. I might consider trading it on a new one, but it was in an accident a couple of years ago, guy stopped short and my wife hit him. $6K damage. Was repaired and no issues since.

How much does that impact my trade in value? KBB has a range of $23-25K, but that is just putting in the info, not the vin for my specific vehicle.
Posted by AUHighPlainsDrifter
South Carolina
Member since Sep 2017
3081 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Are you saying that dealers will be less inclined to negotiate on prices?


That's a reasonable assumption.
Posted by dirtytigers
225
Member since Dec 2014
2459 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:40 am to
So your saying I should trade in my truck now in preperation of getting the Bronco next year
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:43 am to
quote:

guy stopped short and my wife hit him


stop excusing your wifes error. beyond pathetic dude
This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 9:44 am
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37088 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 10:18 am to
Friend of mine had a 2008 Dodge Ram 1500 4 door with about 90K miles on it. He used to have a travel trailer, but his wife got it in a divorce, so he decided to trade it in for a smaller car.

Few weeks later, it shows up in West Texas, listed for 15,995. I was stunned. He said he got about 8K for it in trade.
Posted by FinleyStreet
Member since Aug 2011
7901 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 10:21 am to
quote:

The used car market right now is ridiculous


Still not as ridiculous as the new car market.
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