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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 7/15/25 at 6:30 pm to Joshjrn
quote:
How?
Slower economic growth
Housing market struggles. (Im not speaking about Agents and Loan guys only)
Rising Unemployment Risk
Debt stress
Pressure on small businsess
Higher Gov borrowering costs
And the biggest factor the risk of overcorrection which we all k ow is happening
I remember the last 1% it was the end of the world run away inflation etc etc
None of that happened and wouldnt happen with another 1% cut
Posted on 7/15/25 at 6:32 pm to The Boat
quote:this
The rates are keeping inflation in check. What reason is there to cut rates with good job reports other than Americans have become used to and addicted to cheap dept since the 2008 crash.
Posted on 7/15/25 at 6:51 pm to SDVTiger
quote:Then it should be very easy for you to link to one or two of your posts showing credible data that justifies an interest rate reduction by the Fed.
I have been over this with you a 100 times
quote:Then prove me wrong. You can't do it.
you cant remember much
Linking to a crackpot's website that's called "Truflation" is neither proof nor credible.
In fact, the first time you told me the name of the website that said inflation is now under 2% (the Fed's target rate) you told me the website is called "Trueflation."
Only when I googled that name and then told you that website doesn't exist you accused me of knowing that you meant "Truflation" but I was just being an idiot about it.
Here is my exchange with you about your inflation website:
quote:
(You) Do you always pretend to be an idiot?
(Me) Says the dumbass who told me the website he uses to get his inflation data is "Trueflation.com" when the website actually is "Truflation.com."
Seriously, who is the idiot here?
LINK
quote:My communications are truthful and accurate.
Our communication goes nowhere so we can end that for good now
Your communications are inaccurate conjecture filled with lies.
I don't blame you for wanting to slink away from our discussions. They make you look foolish.
Maybe YOU need to go spend time in a pasture, dumb arse.
Posted on 7/15/25 at 7:16 pm to SDVTiger
quote:That's the usual objective when inflation needs to be cooled down. Have you ever taken at the very least an introductory monetary economics course?
Slower economic growth
quote:Single-family housing starts in May were at a rate of 924,000; this is 0.4 percent above the revised April figure of 920,000.
Housing market struggles.
Privately-owned housing completions in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,526,000. This is 5.4 percent above the revised April estimate of 1,448,000.
quote:Single family mortgage delinquencies are lower now than they were at this time last year.
Debt stress
quote:The delinquency rate on business loans as reported by all commercial banks as of the end of Q1, 2025 is 1.30%. That's up by +.05% since Q3, 2024. Not exactly a threatening credit crisis.
Pressure on small businsess (sic)
As usual, you don't know what the hell you're talking about.
This post was edited on 7/15/25 at 7:18 pm
Posted on 7/15/25 at 8:27 pm to LSURussian
Pretty sure the dude is a mortgage broker wishing for some more business if the rates are cut
Times might be tough for him
Times might be tough for him
Posted on 7/15/25 at 9:00 pm to UltimaParadox
quote:
Pretty sure the dude is a mortgage broker wishing for some more business if the rates are cut
I am not. Everything cuckrussian posted is all bullshite. The rates can stay high forever they can go to 100% it doesnt matter to me
That doesnt change the fact that Powell is playing politics as Fed chair and needs to cut 1%
quote:
Times might be tough for him
Never been better. Its why I have so much free time to argue with the low iq like yourself
Posted on 7/15/25 at 9:05 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
Never been better. Its why I have so much free time to argue with the low iq like yourself
Posted on 7/15/25 at 9:12 pm to Fat Bastard
Posted on 7/15/25 at 9:23 pm to SDVTiger
you are dealing with a guy/gal who complained (when i told him/her)people sold tradelines to make money. This post was edited on 7/15/25 at 9:26 pm
Posted on 7/15/25 at 9:45 pm to Fat Bastard
Posted on 7/15/25 at 9:53 pm to SDVTiger
I think if Jerome comes out and cuts by 1% point; long end goes up not down.
Posted on 7/16/25 at 7:22 am to SDVTiger
quote:
Slower economic growth
Housing market struggles. (Im not speaking about Agents and Loan guys only)
Rising Unemployment Risk
Debt stress
Pressure on small businsess
Higher Gov borrowering costs
And the biggest factor the risk of overcorrection which we all k ow is happening
Does the president who has implemented tariffs or congress who passed a bill that increases the debt bare any blame for any of this? Any percent? Or is one side made of teflon and unable to take any blame for anything and need a boogeyman to blame for anything bad?
Posted on 7/16/25 at 7:29 am to castorinho
How many times has Powell been fired on Twitter at this point
Posted on 7/16/25 at 7:35 am to Suntiger
Is that your excuse for Too Late playing politics and not cutting?
Posted on 7/16/25 at 8:05 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
PPI came in slightly low this morning
Posted on 7/16/25 at 8:33 am to SDVTiger
quote:
Is that your excuse for Too Late playing politics and not cutting?
May revised PPI came in up .3% and core up .4%. You want to lower rates with those numbers?
Posted on 7/16/25 at 8:54 am to SoonerK
SDV is a huge Trump cuck, you guys are wasting your time with facts presentation, he will only go by what Dear Leader wants
It's quite easy to understand why rates arent being cut yet when Trump wants to introduce new surprise tariffs each week which has the potential to cause economic instability and inflation all the while the economy is doing just fine on paper. Not to mention CPI just jumped from 2.3-2.4% previous 3 months to 2.7% this past month now YoY which is yet another indication rates dont need to be cut at the moment.
It's quite easy to understand why rates arent being cut yet when Trump wants to introduce new surprise tariffs each week which has the potential to cause economic instability and inflation all the while the economy is doing just fine on paper. Not to mention CPI just jumped from 2.3-2.4% previous 3 months to 2.7% this past month now YoY which is yet another indication rates dont need to be cut at the moment.
This post was edited on 7/16/25 at 8:56 am
Posted on 7/16/25 at 9:56 am to thunderbird1100
quote:
SDV is a huge Trump cuck, you guys are wasting your time with facts presentation, he will only go by what Dear Leader wants
I was the one calling for cuts under biden
You clowns and your TDS. I dont give a frick who is Prez. Too Late needs to cut but hes playing politics
Posted on 7/16/25 at 9:57 am to lsu13lsu
quote:
The last time the Fed lower the rate, market rates went up.
Nobody, especially not SVDTiger, seems to understand how this happened.
Interest rates are generally benchmarked off of a “risk free” security of a similar duration.
The rates that are most meaningful to most people track the 10-year yield, NOT the FFR.
Those two are spuriously correlated and often move in the same direction, but they don’t have a direct relationship.
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