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Finally some green in the Dow…..what is next week looking like though?

Posted on 3/14/25 at 11:13 am
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
71356 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 11:13 am
Up 546 right now.

Hopefully next week we claw back some more losses

All I want to see is it get back to 1/1/25, at least for now
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
794 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 11:16 am to
If we finish strong today probably higher early. Just don't see this as a bottom. Markets don't let you off the hook this easy.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24710 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 11:22 am to
Nice to see some green but I really don't care one day to another. I'm in it for the long-term so it's just noise at this juncture.
Posted by tigerbacon
Arkansas
Member since Aug 2010
4163 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 12:14 pm to
up 2.5% today
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
21060 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 12:17 pm to
Who follows the DOW?
What are these “points” that you speak of?
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
82774 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

Nice to see some green but I really don't care one day to another. I'm in it for the long-term so it's just noise at this juncture.


100%... Just gonna keep on contributing and buying a little more on the larger dip days.
Posted by Roberteaux
mandeville
Member since Sep 2009
6110 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

If we finish strong today probably higher early. Just don't see this as a bottom. Markets don't let you off the hook this easy.


there's always a bull trap in a bear market. Personally, I'm hoping for a larger drop given how much dry powder I'm sitting on. I did put some in the other day but trying to gauge when I should keep adding
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
25312 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

up 2.5% today


Thank god.

Honestly I'd be fine with a sideways week next week. Everything calm down.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
130744 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Who follows the DOW?
I do.

Because the S&P500 and the NASDAQ are market cap weighted fewer than 10 mega cap stocks have undue influence on those indices results.

One day last week 3/4 of the 500 stocks in the S&P 500 index were UP for the day but because MSFT, AMZN, TSLA, NVDA, AAPL, META and GOOG were down, the index was DOWN for the day.

To me that is not a good representation of the "stock market."
Posted by SoLaSMB
Member since Feb 2025
75 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

LSURussian

As of yesterday:
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA):
# Ticker Company Name Weight (%) Cumulative Weight (%)
1 GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. 7.89 7.89
2 UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated 7.24 15.13
3 MSFT Microsoft Corporation 5.69 20.82
4 HD The Home Depot, Inc. 5.22 26.04
5 SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company 5.14 31.18
6 CAT Caterpillar Inc. 5.01 36.19
7 V Visa Inc. 4.94 41.13
8 AMGN Amgen Inc. 4.70 45.83
9 MCD McDonald's Corporation 4.47 50.30
10 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 4.09 54.39

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY):
# Ticker Company Name Weight (%) Cumulative Weight (%)
1 AAPL Apple Inc. 6.76 6.76
2 NVDA NVIDIA Corporation 6.04 12.80
3 MSFT Microsoft Corporation 6.00 18.80
4 AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. 3.87 22.67
5 META Meta Platforms, Inc. 2.74 25.41
6 GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A 2.03 27.44
7 BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Class B 1.97 29.41
8 AVGO Broadcom Inc. 1.91 31.32
9 GOOG Alphabet Inc. Class C 1.67 32.99
10 TSLA Tesla, Inc. 1.43 34.42

Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ):
# Ticker Company Name Weight (%) Cumulative Weight (%)
1 AAPL Apple Inc. 9.07 9.07
2 MSFT Microsoft Corporation 7.88 16.95
3 NVDA NVIDIA Corporation 7.84 24.79
4 AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. 5.79 30.58
5 AVGO Broadcom Inc. 4.15 34.73
6 META Meta Platforms, Inc. 3.74 38.47
7 COST Costco Wholesale Corporation 2.80 41.27
8 GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A 2.70 43.97
9 NFLX Netflix, Inc. 2.68 46.65
10 GOOG Alphabet Inc. Class C 2.59 49.24


Not sure how you interpret the DOW being a better or best representation, especially considering its price weighted.
I don't disagree with the assessment of heavy tech focus of SPY
This post was edited on 3/14/25 at 2:34 pm
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2606 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 2:36 pm to
You think price weighting is better? That's a completely arbitrary method and bizarre to me that we still use.it out of tradition just because when it was created there was no better method than simply adding up closing prices.

Market cap weighting is top heavy but at least it has a rational basis.

It boggles my mind that DOW avg is still the most/first quoted on news programs. And they talk points up/down and often dont even put it in a percentage context at least.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
130744 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

You think price weighting is better?
It is for me. I'm not heavy into tech and own a half dozen or so DJ30 stocks so the DJ comes closer to portraying what my stocks have done.

For example, my Schwab portfolios for today at the market close is very similar to how the DJ performed today.



Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
36803 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

It boggles my mind that DOW avg is still the most/first quoted on news programs. And they talk points up/down and often dont even put it in a percentage context at least.
Posted by TX_Tiger23
Seabrook, Texas
Member since Aug 2013
54 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 12:55 pm to
Exactly, while market cap weighting has its on issues, price weighted is completely stupid
Posted by tigerbacon
Arkansas
Member since Aug 2010
4163 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 1:12 pm to
I find myself wanting to see green overall everyday but being a far ways away from retiring I know in reality seeing red everyday is more of a benefit for me. It allows me to buy lower and lower and then in 20 years I never want to see red again
Posted by Dumpster Diver
Member since Mar 2025
153 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Who follows the DOW?


People that own UDOW & SDOW
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
40117 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 4:10 pm to
You may as well show total value if you're going to show a $400k one year change.

It doesn't bother me but I'm trying to save you the trouble.
Posted by Nole Man
Somewhere In Tennessee!
Member since May 2011
8000 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 5:01 pm to
LINK

Dow Futures up 1.45% so far for Monday. Looks like you could have a repeat of Friday.
Posted by TheWalrus
Land of the Hogs
Member since Dec 2012
44340 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 5:23 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/15/25 at 5:25 pm
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
38378 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 8:27 pm to
quote:

but being a far ways away from retiring I know in reality seeing red everyday is more of a benefit for me. It allows me to buy lower and lower and then in 20 years I never want to see red again


This makes no sense lol
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