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re: Diving deeper on Standard Lithium?

Posted on 4/16/24 at 2:16 pm to
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
298 posts
Posted on 4/16/24 at 2:16 pm to
If they dilute to 200M shares (which seems like a reasonable estimate if they use the full $50M available) and convince someone that their current NPV projections are reasonable and attainable, that would make them worth $26.36/share before setting a foot in Texas.


In the meantime, I'm pretty discouraged that IR has ignored me for a month and that SLI is mentioned nowhere in the 14 current applications for next Tuesday's hearing. Has anyone else heard from them?
This post was edited on 4/16/24 at 2:28 pm
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19440 posts
Posted on 4/17/24 at 11:22 am to
quote:

In the meantime, I'm pretty discouraged that IR has ignored me for a month


Something must be afoot. I wonder if that is a bad thing or a good thing.
Posted by JDPndahizzy
JDP
Member since Nov 2013
6432 posts
Posted on 4/18/24 at 8:55 am to
At $1.06 this morning I'll say it prolly aint good.
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
1986 posts
Posted on 4/18/24 at 8:57 am to
Scamming
Lithium
Investors?
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3129 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 8:01 am to
Down 5% premarket.

If you've been waiting for sub dollar to buy, get your trigger finger ready. Might get it today.
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
1986 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 8:24 am to
Damn, I did say that.
Posted by Pierre
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2005
5280 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 10:09 am to
Is there any reason to be a buyer here? Or do we just need to wait and see where the royalty roulette wheel lands?
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19440 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

Or do we just need to wait and see where the royalty roulette wheel lands?


At least for the demo plant, have not the royalties already been paid on the brine by Lanxess? Or are they just paying royalties on bromine?
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
298 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 1:19 pm to
Lanxess is only paying the royalty on bromine. Landowners will be making two separate royalties on the same gallon of brine once lithium is decided.

To the poster above, I'm buying more here while trying to get to a certain number of shares, but I wouldn't advise my family/friends to buy until the royalty is out the way. Since it would still be a good price (doubt the royalty will be a massive catalyst) then with less risk
This post was edited on 4/19/24 at 1:23 pm
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
298 posts
Posted on 4/20/24 at 10:55 pm to
Well I was on the AOGC website today and bring bad news.

Under the Hearing Agenda section, there is a file named "April 2024 Agenda Final.Pdf" and that final agenda does not include a royalty decision. It shows Standard's dismissed application, but no replacement for it. No wonder they won't answer investor inquiries. Man...






Posted by jamiegla1
Member since Aug 2016
6972 posts
Posted on 4/21/24 at 4:02 am to
I bet its bc those ole Exxon boys threw a brick through Mintak's window while he was sleeping. The note said "we dont take too kindly to your type 'round here"
This post was edited on 4/21/24 at 5:36 am
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19440 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 6:46 pm to
No clue as to why?
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
298 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 7:31 pm to
Nope none.

Now that I think about it, some things stand out from the last PR about the commercial-scale DLE column that make the royalty moot for now

-they called it the final de-risking step
-the subtitle of the PR explicitly gives 6 months to test it
-they expected to ramp it end of March

The “de-risking” part makes me think that 6 months of column testing is essential before anyone will finance construction.

Before, I thought that the royalty was the only holdup on FID, but now I think this “last derisking” step is effectively a holdup in itself.

Tldr-expect them to test the commercial DLE column from Apr-Sep before announcing anything big about financing. (Also no royalty rush until then)
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
298 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:06 pm to
Also, Mintak said in the last ER that they're expecting to hear back about the "larger grants" by the end of summer. That's another reason that an April royalty wouldn't have helped speed things along. So

1. Grants known by end of summer
2. Commercial-scale DLE column tested (derisked) by September
3. Royalty sometime between now and September
4. Profit
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19440 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:09 pm to
I wondering how low this will go...

SLI has been strangely silent on PR for a while now.
This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 5:02 pm
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
298 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 5:59 pm to
A part of me has this bullish theory that Telescope Innovations’ breakthrough in January creates such an efficient DLE process that some of Koch’s pretreatment steps are no longer necessary so Standard is having to renegotiate their license with Koch and negotiate a license with Telescope.

I mean, Standard was paying Telescope for that research, Telescope delivered on it, and it’s only applicable to Phase 1A (carbonate).

So unless they decide to change the SWA project from hydroxide to carbonate, they need to use Telescope’s new tech for the first project.
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6149 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 7:07 am to
LINK

There’s the new PR
This post was edited on 4/24/24 at 7:08 am
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
1651 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 7:28 am to
Now theyll dilute with a gazillion shares
Posted by Beerinthepocket
Dallas
Member since May 2011
852 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 7:45 am to
Folks that has been asking for more proof the tech works, does this latest PR satisfy that? Sounds like the info in the PR was validated by an independent third party.
Posted by ThermoDynamicTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
1278 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 8:08 am to
Hmmm. That's the first really good PR i've seen in quite some time. Good Job SLI.
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