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Started By
Message
re: Why FL isn't moving. Per current track, effects to Gainesville are minimal
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:15 pm to Topwater Trout
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:15 pm to Topwater Trout
quote:
I wonder why they closed school tomorrow
Same reason they always close schools, to keep that traffic off the roads in the event first responders are needed if the storm shifts, strengthens, etc
1
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:15 pm to GEAUXmedic
Weather channel has Gainesville in the widespread power outage cone. Eye wall plans to skirt Jacksonville Beach and Ameilia Island. Florida should take off their Jort colored glasses for a second.
This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 12:16 pm
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:15 pm to Hammertime
quote:
I'm no scientists, and I've only sat through a handful of hurricanes, but aren't they supposed to be wide?
This one is going to put pressure on all of the resources state wide. They called in 7000 extra electric company workers from other states and mobilized 1000 additional national guard. It's stupid to think Gainesville is in a bubble.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:18 pm to Hammertime
quote:
I'm no scientists, and I've only sat through a handful of hurricanes, but aren't they supposed to be wide?
Yes, but Gainesville will sit on the side that is least impacted. The most impacted time will be during the early morning hours. By Friday at 2pm, Gainesville will be in the least impacted quadrant of the storm (southwest corner)
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:19 pm to tigerpimpbot
Well since Rob says everything is fine, maybe those guys can go to the game
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:19 pm to RobbBobb
quote:
Same reason they always close schools, to keep that traffic off the roads in the event first responders are needed if the storm shifts, strengthens, etc
Good thing they arent having a football game where hundreds of thousands are expected to show up!
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:22 pm to RobbBobb
quote:
Yes, but Gainesville will sit on the side that is least impacted. The most impacted time will be during the early morning hours. By Friday at 2pm, Gainesville will be in the least impacted quadrant of the storm (southwest corner)
it's a category 4 hurricane with potential to be a cat 5.
The odds of power outages in Gainesville has to be near 100%.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:23 pm to username20
quote:
The odds of power outages in Gainesville has to be near 100%.
But if it never makes landfall, then what?
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:23 pm to RobbBobb
Actually it looks like the eye of the storm will not only make landfall but be even with, if not southwest of Gainesville. Hmm wonder when LSU is supposed to be traveling to Gainesville? Oh thats right, at this exact time.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:24 pm to RobbBobb
quote:
But if it never makes landfall, then what?
Then they will still get TS force winds and there will still be outages.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:26 pm to More beer please
A move to Sun seems like what is setting up to happen.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:26 pm to Hammertime
Yes.
But the width of effect can also vary widely from storm to storm.
Hurricane force winds in this particular storm do not extend far eastward.
UF almost lies on the boundary between truly tropical conditions and essentially just another thunderstorm, which is the source of conflict.
Odds of them experiencing TS force winds at all are around 65%
But the width of effect can also vary widely from storm to storm.
Hurricane force winds in this particular storm do not extend far eastward.
UF almost lies on the boundary between truly tropical conditions and essentially just another thunderstorm, which is the source of conflict.
Odds of them experiencing TS force winds at all are around 65%
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:26 pm to RobbBobb
quote:
Yes, but Gainesville will sit on the side that is least impacted. The most impacted time will be during the early morning hours. By Friday at 2pm, Gainesville will be in the least impacted quadrant of the storm (southwest corner)
From the National Hurricane Center: Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).
Gainesville is less than 70 miles from the coast.
LINK
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:27 pm to More beer please
Wait, weren't you the one bitching about posting ONLY ONE model?
And who the hell is tropical tidbits? Is that your webpage?
And who the hell is tropical tidbits? Is that your webpage?
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:28 pm to Macavity92
quote:
From the National Hurricane Center: Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).
Gainesville is less than 70 miles from the coast.
But they don't stretch that way in all directions, that's primarily to the east. The west side will be a significantly shorter distance from the center. I want the game to be moved too, but lets be accurate.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:28 pm to RobbBobb
Its from the OT thread where every single person in there acknowledges that it is going to make landfall.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:29 pm to Macavity92
quote:
From the National Hurricane Center: Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).
Gainesville is less than 70 miles from the coast.
Well it's not 60 miles and 160 miles in all directions. Typically the weather is strongest on the eastern side of the eye (Mathew is no different) which would be on the Atlantic side.
I was in Laf for Katrina and it was just a little breezy when it made landfall 150 miles or so away to the east.
This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 12:32 pm
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:31 pm to Macavity92
quote:
From the National Hurricane Center: Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).
Gainesville is less than 70 miles from the coast.
You are assuming that the eyewall will be on the coastline. As of now, it will not. So if the storm is 75 miles off the coast + the 75 miles Gainesville is from the coast = 150 miles from the eye.
Not much impact at this point
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:33 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
The west side will be a significantly shorter distance from the center
How did BR lose trees during Katrina
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:34 pm to RobbBobb
As per the NOAA National Hurricane Center, the eye will be passing right next to Jacksonville at 8pm Friday night. That would mean the eye will be passing 60-ish miles east of Gainesville around 7pm Friday night.
But I guess since hurricanes are only 500ft wide, all will be good in Gainesville
But I guess since hurricanes are only 500ft wide, all will be good in Gainesville
This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 12:36 pm
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