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Slippy
LSU Fan
Across the rivah
Member since Aug 2005
5852 posts

What is Vegas seeing that the ranters aren't seeing?

If this were an election, 3.5 would be within the margin of error.

Tennessee is being portrayed as this offensive juggernaut.
How can they possibly be only a 3.5 point favoite? Why can't they see how terrible JD is?


blowmeauburn
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2006
7486 posts

Our Defense is good and we can run the ball. So they think we can slow them down enough and keep it close.


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445
bstew3006
USA Fan
318
Member since Dec 2007
11855 posts

quote:

Tennessee is being portrayed as this offensive juggernaut. How can they possibly be only a 3.5 point favoite? Why can't they see how terrible JD is?


They’re very good on offense…just like MSU…but LSU has a damn good D

LSU isn’t good on offense and Tenn is bad on D.

That’s what they see.


Damone
Colorado State Fan
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
25963 posts

LSU has an excellent turnover margin, is playing at home, and has developed a ball control offense. They are also a second half team who can close.


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541
The Pirate King
USA Fan
Pangu
Member since May 2014
50328 posts

Our home field advantage is a pretty good neutralizer against teams that aren’t vastly better than us like Bama or UGA. We have similar or better athletes compared to Tenn.

This defense is hard to predict.


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220
PenguinPubes
LSU Fan
Frozen Tundra
Member since Jan 2018
9579 posts

Get online and put your life savings on it baw.. if you’re that flabbergasted on the line


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140
Pauvetibete
Member since Apr 2022
88 posts

Because while you want to blame JD, I think most colleges would be ecstatic with a QB that has a 68% completion 915 yards, 9 TDs, 0 INTs and a 141.7 QBR. We have the defense to win games, we just need to limit turnovers which is exactly what JD does.


JodyPlauche
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2009
6046 posts

quote:

What is Vegas seeing that the ranters aren't seeing


The power of an 11am kickoff in Tiger Stadium!
This post was edited on 10/3 at 9:50 am


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120
The Boat
Duke Fan
Tim McGraw Country
Member since Oct 2008
152254 posts
 Online 

A highly ranked team being favored by only 3 on the road means the highly ranked 3 point favorite is going to lose. Tale as old as time.
This post was edited on 10/3 at 9:59 am


Corporal Beavis
LSU Fan
Member since Aug 2013
1154 posts

They take into account the whole body of work. Our offense was terrible against Auburn but it was just normal bad against Moo State and FSU.

Defense has shown to be pretty damn incredible. Auburn didn't do much outside of busted coverages.

UT still has a lot to prove. We're probably the best team they've come up against this year and it's on the road. The way their fans talk about their offense you'd think Joe Burrow is out there slinging it to Chase and Jefferson.


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LSUguy2023
LSU Fan
St. George
Member since Oct 2021
1496 posts



Very similar schedules. I know the Purdue game is last season.


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61
J2thaROC
Member since May 2018
9869 posts

The strongest defense in the SEC and the ability to just outlast opponents in the trenches.


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40
kkv75
Member since Sep 2017
4792 posts

Surprised also. I thought it would be 7-8 point spread. Does Vegas know something?


Daemon Targaryen
Member since Aug 2022
238 posts

I’m seeing -3 some places


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Box Geauxrilla
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2013
18364 posts

quote:

A highly ranked team being favored by only 3 on the road means the highly ranked 3 point favorite is going to lose. Tale as old as time.

Yep, it has trap written all over it. Everyone will see the -3.5 and jump all over Tenn.


LSUguy2023
LSU Fan
St. George
Member since Oct 2021
1496 posts

I dropped a few hundred on the Tennessee ML at -160. I’m fine with buying an LSU win and if they lose, I made a few hundred bucks.

frick me. FanDuel is now -2.5 and -138 ML
This post was edited on 10/3 at 10:15 am


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31
hall59tiger
LSU Fan
mandeville
Member since Oct 2013
1591 posts

Fan duel has it at 2.5 right now
I’m surprised but what the hell do I know


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LifeAquatic
Member since Dec 2019
1463 posts

quote:

most colleges would be ecstatic with a QB that has a 68% completion 915 yard



I'm not a jayden daniels hater by any stretch--i think he's the clear choice given the limitations and inexperience of this OL, as his rushing ability gives our offense a much-needed floor--but I promise "most colleges" wouldnt be "ecstatic" with a guy who's throwing for 180yds/gm on 7.0yds/att with this group of receivers. You should be able to put up 180/gm purely on the back of these WRs' natural ability.


I will agree that he has been excellent at avoiding turnovers (though the reluctance to make tight window throws has certainly cost us in other regards).



Oh, and one more nitpick: His "QBR" is not 141.7. That's his Passer Rating/Passing efficiency. QBR is a completely separate thing that is graded on a scale of 0-100.


LSBoosie
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2020
2722 posts
 Online 

quote:

They’re very good on offense…just like MSU…but LSU has a damn good D

LSU isn’t good on offense and Tenn is bad on D.

That’s what they see.

Tennessee's offense is on a different level than Miss St. In fact LSU has a higher ranked offense than Miss St.


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geauxtigers33
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
11115 posts

quote:

What is Vegas seeing that the ranters aren't seeing?


Idk what they are seeing but they are using common sense and logic. Something that doesn’t exist on this board.

Analytics love LSU which is more of what Vegas goes off of.


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