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re: Vanderbilt now favored 1.5 in three point swing

Posted on 10/12/25 at 3:35 pm to
Posted by SteveLSU35
Shreveport
Member since Mar 2004
14781 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 3:35 pm to
I think Vandy should 100% be favored at home. We have trouble scoring points........ Maybe that will give the chip we need to be start fast.
Posted by jbraua
Oklahoma City, OK
Member since Oct 2007
7488 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 4:06 pm to
Breaking news: Vegas gambling houses may be trying to make a profit, experts say.
Posted by Jest a game
Member since Aug 2024
1420 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 4:08 pm to
Lsu 38 Dors 13
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
18348 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

We are going to beat the brakes off of Vandy

This team just had an offensive explosion vs South Carolina and only scored 20 points, lol. Never underestimate LSU’s offense’s ability to sabotage itself.
Posted by Crow Pie
Neuro ICU - Tulane Med Center
Member since Feb 2010
27082 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

Breaking news: Vegas gambling houses may be trying to make a profit, experts say.
Update - Vegas gambling houses making significant profit, Gamblers Anonymous members say.
Posted by DaleGribblesMower
Member since Dec 2013
6561 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 4:59 pm to
QB play. Theirs is good, ours is shite
Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
2864 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

Breaking news: Vegas gambling houses may be trying to make a profit, experts say.


Breaking news: Vegas makes 10% on every game if there is even money on both sides. That’s all they want-50/50 and they collect every single game. They move lines only in relation to where the money goes.
Posted by BigC LSU
Pittsburgh
Member since Oct 2025
494 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 5:00 pm to
We are +2.5 on FD now
Posted by DaleGribblesMower
Member since Dec 2013
6561 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 6:23 pm to
This is something I wish I understood better. I know a couple guys that are professional gamblers and they both always say that Vegas doesn’t give a shite who wins and the line doesn’t even necessarily match who the sharps think will win. The lines are set in an effort to bring in more vets and the lines move to bring in money from the other side as well. Its a weird thing to try and understand it all
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
16400 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

Vandy is still living off a fluke win vs Alabama last season. Vandy is not a good football team and their qb is about as overrated as it gets. LSU should win by 2 scores

He might be overrated but he’s been better than Nuss so far. We have scored 17, 23, 20, 19, 20 against FBS opponents.
This post was edited on 10/12/25 at 6:33 pm
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
44444 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

This is something I wish I understood better


Read what Arthur said above

Say the line is at Vandy to win by 2.5
Vegas wants equal money bet on both sides.

If I bet Vandy to win by at least 3, I bet 110 dollars to win 100

If you bet LSU to lose by no more than 2, you bet 110 dollars to win 100

No matter which side happens, Vegas is winning 10 dollars at a time in that scenario
This post was edited on 10/12/25 at 6:36 pm
Posted by The Real Drooby
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2015
1566 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 6:35 pm to
We can beat their pants off with our talent but we have to play COMPLIMENTARY football
It will be a coin flip 50/60
Posted by LCBayou
Member since Oct 2016
647 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 7:01 pm to
LSU never shows up for an early game, much less a road early game. I pointed to this game before the season started that LSU would lose in Nashville. I stick to my guns on this one. Hope I'm wrong.
Posted by NotaStarGazer
Member since Dec 2023
2540 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 7:20 pm to
quote:

If that’s true, then that’s the first time Vandy has been favored in an SEC game since 2012. My how LSU has fallen.


That is ssssssoooo cute that you think the Vegas boys and the betting public are Gods at judging football games. Let's take one of the first games of this past week. La Tech was favored by 5...lost by 28. The betting line missed DOZENS of games last week...didn't even pick the right winner. 'nuff said.
Posted by NotaStarGazer
Member since Dec 2023
2540 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 7:23 pm to
quote:

If that’s true, then that’s the first time Vandy has been favored in an SEC game since 2012. My how LSU has fallen.


That is ssssssoooo cute that you think the Vegas boys and the betting public are Gods at judging football games. Let's take one of the first games of this past week. La Tech was favored by 5...lost by 28. The betting line missed DOZENS of games last week...didn't even pick the right winner. 'nuff said.

I have documented on another site where I said LSU 20 S Carolina 13 days before the game and never changed it. Missed by a grand total of 3 points. Hmmm. I believe I missed the Florida game by less than 7 points total. My point is the betting lines are CRAP!
Posted by Barbellthor
Columbia
Member since Aug 2015
10540 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 7:27 pm to
There's no basis for that. How Nuss looked should show we're actually back, plus a semblance of a run game.
Posted by dat yat
Chef Pass
Member since Jun 2011
4868 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 7:34 pm to
Well they beat The Gamecocks by a score we should have beat them by. LSU will beat them if we play a good game and dont leave points on the field like last night. If we play badly, Vandy can easily win.
Posted by SmoothBox
Member since May 2023
2254 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

Well they beat The Gamecocks by a score we should have beat them by.


Wasn’t sellers out for the majority of that game
Posted by LsuTool
Member since Oct 2009
35690 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 7:59 pm to
Yep, Doty had 27 pass attempts. Sellers had 7.
This post was edited on 10/12/25 at 8:00 pm
Posted by dat yat
Chef Pass
Member since Jun 2011
4868 posts
Posted on 10/12/25 at 8:30 pm to
Good point. And we played much better against Sellers this year than we did last year.
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