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re: Revisiting Jay’s #1 Recruiting Class

Posted on 6/4/24 at 11:17 pm to
Posted by Relham10
Ridge
Member since Jan 2013
18332 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 11:17 pm to
quote:

Neal so far haven’t lived up to the hype. It happens man.

I'm not ready to give up on Neal just yet. Guy was our starting catcher as a true freshman last year, over 2 seniors. He got hurt and was out for the year, didnt start well this year and was passed back up by those same 2 now 5th year seniors. Maybe a season where hes the man, he will be able to find himself again.
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
75273 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 11:52 pm to
he’s also very young.

he’s still 19.
Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
21379 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 3:03 am to
quote:

Now we seem to be really dependent on the portal for success.


So is every other major college program. We had 13 players drafted last year. We are going to have a bunch this year. That tells me Jay is doing his job.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
20620 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 4:34 am to
Man I feel like reclassing to move up is such a mistake.

Neal is so young and outside of being hurt he is doing ok. He came through for us vs Wofford and UNC game 1.

Same thing happened to little, he is just so young once he finally got to the right age he started to come along.
Posted by KLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2003
10715 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 4:42 am to
quote:

Definitely not the No 1 class in hindsight. Bad evals or bad development?


So was Jay Johnson the source of this #1 ranking or was it other media outlets ?

All these players could have went almost anywhere they wanted.
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
97806 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 5:50 am to
quote:

If scouting baseball players were easy

In a game of failure, some people here act like these guys should all have a 90% success rate from coaching on down to the players. It's mind bottling.
Posted by Cuz413
Member since Nov 2007
9107 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 6:00 am to
For any athletic PROGRAM you need 10% of your classes be solid contributors from day 1.

You're not going to get a Crews, Fournette, Reese, etc in every class, nor will you get a field of freshmen win a title.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
281843 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 6:14 am to
This is a classic case of overthinking an issue.

Its a typical baseball class with a few guys that are superstars. I dont know what you expect
Posted by AtlantaLSUfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2009
24910 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 7:21 am to
quote:

Neal has been hurt but when he's been healthy he's been a stud.

He’s also young. Came to LSU after his junior year of HS, by reclassifying to senior.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
46575 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 7:32 am to
quote:

Baseball is harder to win a national championship than any other major sport because it takes a bit of luck as well.

No it isn’t. Show me the Coastal Carolina that has won a football national championship? There are almost the same number of college teams in the various sports, and each has a single national championship. The odds of winning is the latter divided by the former, not some notion we have about luck.

If baseball is indeed harder it would be because there are more teams competing for it.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
46575 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 7:37 am to
quote:

Its a typical baseball class with a few guys that are superstars. I dont know what you expect

I don’t think it is too much to expect more than “typical” from the number one class.
Posted by BayTiger13
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2022
2413 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 7:39 am to
quote:

Show me the Coastal Carolina that has won a football national championship?


This is the point he was making. Even if you are the big school with the top talent you can get beat in baseball. Basketball is close to it also. When it comes to football you have the same 15-20 teams that will truly compete for a national championship. The talent gap is just too large on the field.
This post was edited on 6/5/24 at 7:40 am
Posted by victoire sécurisé
Member since Nov 2012
5370 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 7:43 am to
Jacob Hester and Justin Jefferson were two-star recruits. This adds nothing to the thread, but I just feel like it needs to be mentioned.
Posted by BayTiger13
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2022
2413 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 7:46 am to
What people never seem to understand or keep in mind is that these recruiting rankings are made based on performances in showcases and future projection. They do drills in showcases and can show off their tools. In game performance is taken into account too of course, but the prospect rankings are made based on the tools a kid has and the potential of them 5 years down the road. The rankings are made for these kids to get drafted. That is why you see Kling at the top. Kling probably has really good exit velos in BP, shows all the other tools, and his high school competition was in Pennsylvania, which is not the best, so he likely held his own in high school games. He is on year 2 going to year 3 of that prospect ranking of them thinking 5 years down the road. Obviously his potential has fallen off when it comes to these rankings because of the in game performance at the college level now. Back then that wasn't the case.
This post was edited on 6/5/24 at 7:47 am
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
75273 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 7:48 am to
there are a lot of D1 baseball teams.
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
11687 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 7:55 am to
quote:

No it isn’t. Show me the Coastal Carolina that has won a football national championship?

I don’t really think that’s mutually exclusive with his point about needing a bit of luck. If anything, it supports it.
quote:

There are almost the same number of college teams in the various sports, and each has a single national championship.

Well that’s not really true. You have 300 D1 baseball programs. 351 D1 basketball programs. 134 FBS programs in football. There are far fewer teams competing for a championship in football than baseball/basketball.

And because of the different playoff formats, it’s much harder for lower-tier conference teams to get into a position where luck is even a factor in football.

I’m not going to go as far as to say it’s definitively “harder to win a championship” in baseball. But it is kind of an apples-to-oranges comparison.
Posted by fierysnowman
Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
2085 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:02 am to
We get it….you don’t like Jay Johnson and you wanted some more smooth brains to jump on this thread and agree with you that Jay can’t evaluate or develop players.
We should be thankful every day for Jay Johnson who is a great man, monster recruiter, positive influence on young men, and a great coach. Is he perfect? No. Are there any perfect coaches? No
Posted by LSUBlitz
Member since Jan 2024
92 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 9:57 am to
To make a claim like this and then disappear without responding says a lot.
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
75273 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 10:14 am to
quote:

Recruiting has definitely dropped a notched with the new Wild West transfer portal.


nah we have had 2 good classes in a roeZ

championship teams are supplemented by freshmen and sophomores not built on them.

But Jones, Herring, Shores, Guidry, and Neal making contributions (some bigger than others) as Fr and Sophmores is pretty good.

and Brown, Anderson, Larson and Milan are showing a ton of promise as freshmen.

the fact that some of these guys may need 2-4 years doesn’t mean they suck.

the issue (and I’ve said this and Lester harps on this a lot) is that the JR and SR recruiting class just isn’t there.

The Sr class was epic and all got drafted last year.

the JR class was a pretty big bust.
This post was edited on 6/5/24 at 10:19 am
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
70754 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 10:18 am to
Noot and Shores getting hurt is obviously one of the big reasons the class doesnt feel as impactful as it should be. That's your top 2 high impact arms from that class.

If Noot and Shores never got hurt, you'd probably be singing quite a different tune, we know Shores can be elite just from what we saw as a freshman.

You're not ever really going to have a case where every single high ranked player produces high results especially when you have a number of them in 1 class.

I wouldnt give up Neal quite yet either, I could see him putting it all together before leaving here. Keep in mind the dude is the same age as the freshmen here this season and he's been dealing with an injury. Milam and Anderson are actually older than Neal is.
This post was edited on 6/5/24 at 10:22 am
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