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Man, I wish we were playing BAMA at home this year - % Chance LSU beats Bama this year

Posted on 10/18/19 at 1:51 pm
Posted by TenMan
WACO, TX
Member since Nov 2006
1928 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 1:51 pm
If we played in TS,

I think I would feel like LSU had a 60% chance of winning.....

But playing at Bryant-Denny Stadium puts our chances in the 40% range IMO

What are your predictions about LSU's chances against Bama this year?

Posted by LSU Coyote
Member since Sep 2007
53390 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 1:52 pm to
32.3%, repeating of course..
Posted by Nobelium
Member since May 2018
821 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 1:52 pm to
.
This post was edited on 5/3/21 at 8:33 pm
Posted by Bert Macklin FBI
Quantico
Member since May 2013
8975 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 1:53 pm to
considering Joe burrow looks at it as a "revenge game" for how bad they beat us last year, I give LSU a 50% chance at the VERY least of winning this year in TTown.

Nah frick that 85% Tigers win cuz Burrow is pissed.
Posted by TenMan
WACO, TX
Member since Nov 2006
1928 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 1:54 pm to


I felt like we had a 20% chance last year, so at least we have that going for us.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76679 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 1:54 pm to
about three fiddy
Posted by TerryFoldsFoldyFlaps
Jacksonville FL
Member since May 2018
174 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 1:55 pm to
100% This team will embarrass them Gumps this year.
Posted by Tpayne99
Da Bayou
Member since Jan 2019
1028 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 1:57 pm to
20%
Posted by 4TheLoveLSU
North Carolina
Member since Oct 2019
2317 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:00 pm to
Agreed
Posted by TheHarahanian
Actually not Harahan as of 6/2023
Member since May 2017
19537 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:01 pm to

Based on the history of the series, it's better for LSU to be playing in Tuscaloosa.
Posted by Jack Crevalle
USVI
Member since Aug 2018
6715 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:03 pm to
Whoever has the ball last will win.
Posted by Howyouluhdat
On Fleek St
Member since Jan 2015
7398 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Nah frick that 85% Tigers win cuz Burrow is pissed



Burrow doesn’t play defense. Nobody doubts we will score
Posted by Iam_PrinceAkeem
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2011
3110 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:06 pm to
If Burrow beats BAMA at home you gotta give Joe the heisman
Posted by madddoggydawg
Metairie
Member since Jun 2013
6567 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:08 pm to
Alabama has never been intimidated by Tiger Stadium. Some false starts and drops occur but that's about the extent of it.

I personally want to avoid saying anything about that game, but I don't see them holding our offense to any less than say 33 points. College football just isn't ready for Brady's system yet. Last year we ran it on 1st (for decent yardage), unsuccessfully tried a basic RPO on second, and Burrow got killed on slow developing routes on 3rd. That's not our offense anymore.

But if their receivers get free early and often...
This post was edited on 10/18/19 at 4:33 pm
Posted by TenMan
WACO, TX
Member since Nov 2006
1928 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

If Burrow beats BAMA at home you gotta give Joe the heisman


Bump this and agree 100%
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
11814 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:14 pm to
Historically we have a better winning percentage @ Bama then we have at home....

we have 9 of the 25 wins vs Bama at Baton Rouge.....
Posted by TenMan
WACO, TX
Member since Nov 2006
1928 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:29 pm to
Posted by LegendaryOutlaw
Member since Apr 2019
285 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:32 pm to
If the game is called fairly, if the years and years of targeted officiating are finally over, 100% chance LSU wins. Because they are better in every phase of the game. But we all know this song a dance, LSU will have some BS go on early in the game to kill a couple of drives, and then once the game is out of reach, the officials give a bunch of makeup calls so it looks statistically similar, and Bama will be the greatest team to have ever played. Even Lsu fans will forget what happened to screw their team, and they’ll blindly call back the score of the previous game as evidence their team lost.

Not that, you know, the best defensive player in college football was suspended for BS (4th such suspension vs a team in the week prior to playing Bama in ‘18), or the plethora of missed holdings on Bama TDs, they’ll just forget it and say it doesn’t matter, their team needs to get better, when it’s just SEC officiating and game fixing that needs to be addressed.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123945 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

LSU's chances against Bama this year?
Best chance since 2007, including 2011.
Posted by TenMan
WACO, TX
Member since Nov 2006
1928 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:39 pm to
I agree, and also feel that this is not the typical Bama team - Like Bama 2017 (offense and defense less dominant). Fell we are not the typical LSU team ( Offense more dominant with defense a step behind but playing catch-up really fast)
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