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LSU with 79% chance to make CFP if win out per ESPN Predictor

Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:31 am
Posted by Yaboylsu63
Member since Mar 2014
4019 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:31 am


Went to the site and did it myself and these numbers are what comes up.

Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
81640 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:33 am to
Not surprising. The metrics love LSU. Could the committee ignore them? Sure, but we’re still very alive.
This post was edited on 11/9/26 at 11:33 am
Posted by BabyTac
Austin, TX
Member since Jun 2008
17656 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:36 am to
Texas will steamroll us. This team gave up the second Lane gave up by going for it with 8:00 on the clock.
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
35767 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:37 am to
We are a 5.5 point favorite. I think we steam roll Texas
Posted by BabyTac
Austin, TX
Member since Jun 2008
17656 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:37 am to
Easy money betting Texas to win outright.
Posted by iamandykeim
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
4242 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:39 am to
quote:

we’re still very alive
I wish I could just move on with my life without knowledge that our season isn't dead yet. The hope is so very draining.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52846 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:39 am to
Good luck beating Tennessee playing the way we played Saturday.
Posted by CalTiger53
California
Member since Oct 2011
10245 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:42 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/9/26 at 12:18 pm
Posted by JYD
Pineville
Member since Oct 2003
8808 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:42 am to
Wont beat Tennessee in Knoxville with TEMU Johnny Manziel even if we beat Texas.
Posted by UnluckyTiger
Member since Sep 2003
44629 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:42 am to
Yet half this board refuses to believe it. Bama was our toughest test left on the schedule. Mostly because they have some curse on us and they have the most dynamic offense.
Think about all the times this board has given up on the baseball team over the years and then they go on a run.
This post was edited on 11/9/26 at 11:44 am
Posted by Relham10
Ridge
Member since Jan 2013
22263 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:42 am to
Thats crazy but im in. Lets geaux
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
10838 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:43 am to
I don’t see it. There’s only a certain number of 3 loss teams that’ll be there. We’d have to be at the top of that list. And we won’t be.
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
129342 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:44 am to
How can you have a prediction model that’s based off the opinions of a committee that know jack shite about CFB?

quote:

We are a 5.5 point favorite. I think we steam roll Texas


That worked so well against Bama
Posted by LSUbasketballfan
Member since Jan 2021
956 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:48 am to
A bowl matchup in Florida with Ohio St. is probably most likely.
Posted by Bring Da Wood
Texas
Member since Dec 2006
2331 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:49 am to
We would have to beat TX and Tenner the way we beat down AU. Even then it depends on what the committee wants. Does the hate for LK outweigh the entertainment factor he will bring for TV ratings? Who knows what they will do.
Posted by foghat
Dallas
Member since Sep 2006
1588 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:51 am to
That team we watched against Bama is not going to win out.
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
50395 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 12:29 pm to
I was thinking about this earlier. Was wondering what ranking LSU might be at in the CFP rankings tomorrow. I think if we're 20th or better, we might still have a chance.

Obviously, in this scenario we have to win out. My line of thinking is that we lost to the number 5 team in the country. A game that we dominated all the stats, showing that we can hang with the top teams. Although, the score wasn't too good in the end, if the committee was watching, they could see it was a close game until late. Because of that, I'm not sure they'll drop LSU as far as some of us might be thinking.

So, say we drop to number 19 or 20. Texas will probably come in as a top 5 team. Say we beat them and do it convincingly. That could bring us back into the top 15. Then, we go on the road and play Tennessee. They very easily could be a top 10 team after dismantling and dominating Kentucky this past weekend. They play aTm this weekend on the road. If they win that game, they'll no doubt be top 10, possibly top 7 or so depending on how things shake out.

If that happens, we'd go on the road to play a top 10 or better team. So it would be us around 15 playing a top 10 team on the road. Say we win that game. That should give us another boost in the rankings that would probably have us in the top 12. Then, we could finish the season off playing Arkansas, which should be an easy win and cement our spot in the top 12.

I know the CFP has to put certain at large and conference champions in the playoffs, but in that scenario, it wouldn't be outlandish to think we could be in with 2 top 10 wins with at least 1 of them likely being a top 5. Add in that our losses would be to 2 ranked teams on the road and 1 at home to a top 5 team and I think we could have a compelling case for them to put us in, depending on how things shake out with the rest of the teams that would be vying for playoff spots. On top of all that, they probably wouldn't hate having a team like a Kiffin led LSU in there because of all the storylines that would come out if it. It would also draw a lot of people hate watching.

Anyways, I don't think it happens as I think we'll at least lose to Tennessee, but I basically typed all that stuff out to say I can certainly see a world where they would put LSU in if we win out.
Posted by DeathValley85
Member since May 2011
19649 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Texas will steamroll us. This team gave up the second Lane gave up by going for it with 8:00 on the clock.


The psychology of a person who enters a thread about hypothetically winning out just to be a negative bitch.

Are you trying to protect yourself against disappointment? Are you trying to bring everyone else down? It’s pretty weak either way.
Posted by sml71
Run if you hear banjos.
Member since Dec 2005
4565 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 12:50 pm to
Does it really matter? Is this team going to run the table and then make a playoff championship run?

I mean...c'mon...
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96841 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

Yet half this board refuses to believe it.


Well, seeing is believing and we haven't seen it, yet.

quote:

Bama was our toughest test left on the schedule.


If you don't think we lose one or both of the next two games, I don't know what else to tell you.
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