re: LSU with 79% chance to make CFP if win out per ESPN Predictor

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Lane gave up by going for it with 8:00 on the clock.

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So punting would NOT have been giving up?

I'm a Texas alum and lifelong fan.

And I know we aren't beating LSU this Saturday.

Arch will be running for his life all night behind a very average offensive line.

I don't even think it will be close at the end.

We have a 10 percent chance at best if we win out.

Are they going to put us ahead of Ole Miss, Kentucky, etc.?

I guess if Ole Miss loses to Oklahoma, but that is the only chance Ole Miss has of losing any more games.

Kentucky has a little harder schedule, so they probably will lose one more between Florida and Missouri, but that would still put them at 3 losses.

I think we will beat Texas, but I don't like the Tennessee match up at all.

Arch is a disaster, lsu can certainly win that game

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We are a 5.5 point favorite. I think we steam roll Texas

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point spreads are irrelevant to the final outcome. We were favored about the same against Bama.

Point spreads are impacted only by what the bettors do. And just because more bettors think a game will turn out a certain way doesn't mean it will.

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So punting would NOT have been giving up?

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Man I really don’t get this and even as a huge Kiffin fan his explanation is the most annoyed I’ve been with him.

This is when you take the analytic sheet and wipe your arse with it.

Down 11 with 8 minutes left is absolutely lunacy going for a 4th and 10 inside your own red zone. Just inexcusable to rely on analytics in that situation, and I don’t even believe the analytics actually favor going it to begin with. What is the percentage of ANY 4th and 10, much less a virtual game sealing potential stop for a defense that is playing with as much momentum as anyone had at any point in the game?

And his take about oh well maybe the score looks a little better if you punt well in this era of BS committees yes a score looking a little better absolutely matters.


Kiffin has always been honest and transparent and I really wish he would have said ya know I was just frustrated with our special teams at that point and didn’t really have confidence in putting them back out there, because that’s absolutely what happened imo.


I’ve said repeatedly I feel like the scrutiny and pressure Lane has been under since leaving for BR just has him unable to just find a comfortable wavelength but getting all of these firsts out of the way and having a true offseason is going to allow a real comfort level next season.


Would be great to get one of these next two to have some positive momentum heading into that offseason and also kill a lot of these dumb narratives like no big wins but they are two really tough matchups for us, unfortunately.