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If polling error or under reporting of Rs is 2-4%

Posted on 10/15/26 at 2:35 pm
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90590 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 2:35 pm


Republicans don’t poll very well
Texas Republicans don’t poll at all

Something to consider
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90590 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 2:36 pm to
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90590 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 2:37 pm to
Posted by medium_okra
City of Central
Member since Oct 2019
657 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 2:41 pm to
It'll end up Paxton 55-45
Posted by Tigersforthee
Member since Dec 2025
586 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 2:42 pm to
Republicans are almost certainly gonna outperform polling but the question is whether it'll be by enough and in the right places to matter. Gonna be a lot more important if Pubs show up above and beyond in Minnesota than in Florida.
Posted by FLTech
he/won
Member since Sep 2017
29842 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 3:20 pm to
Do not.. I repeat do not tell OWLFAN this
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
71247 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 3:22 pm to
I've been saying that about Paxton/Talarico and Rogers/El-Sayed. Paxton and Rogers have their issues, but for very different reasons. But, my god, the Dems are cartoon characters.
Posted by ob1pimpbobi
College Station
Member since Jul 2022
3489 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 3:23 pm to
The purpose of polls are to show the general public that things are too close to call so you will continue to watch the news. They want to keep you glued to their channel and dependent on them. There is nothing scientific about polling anymore, if there ever was.
Posted by Bonkers119
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2015
12209 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

Republicans don’t poll very well
Texas Republicans don’t poll at all

Something to consider


Peak hopium
Posted by captainFid
Never apologize to barbarism
Member since Dec 2014
11906 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 3:27 pm to


Oh there's an article on MSNOW stating Republicans have admitted we will lose bigly.

Love how these liars and their propagandists do this every, single time.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
17341 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 3:28 pm to


Let’s hope the Republican can keep power

If not, I think we’re in for some messy days forward

Posted by Padme
Member since Dec 2020
10237 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 3:29 pm to
Last two elections the republicans did 5-6% better than the bs sept polls, which they hold for 4-6 weeks. I’m not sure what that percentage has been against October polls, but as you said, republicans don’t like to poll. Fox News has been acting as if the house has already been sealed and delivered to the dems. Two states that seem to be left out of all “toss up” talks(for senate) are NH and Georgia. I wonder why.
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
100048 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

Let’s hope the Republican can keep power


Yea they’re doing so well right now with full power
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
112083 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Peak hopium


Are you denying the historical statistics with regard to these numbers, or are you assuming for some reason that this year will be a big aberration to those?

In other words, who's really clinging to "hopium" here?
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
27721 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

The purpose of polls are to show the general public that things are too close to call so you will continue to watch the news. They want to keep you glued to their channel and dependent on them. There is nothing scientific about polling anymore, if there ever was.


Yep, though the weather reporting runs a real close second with any type of weather being called "severe" and colored blood red on the radar screen.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
25172 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 4:15 pm to
I wish I did not see these sorts of articles and posts. It's as though the world is against republicans.
And consider how happy the press will be if the socialists take over. They don't see the threats. They should report on what it means for a group of elected official who may come in and try to tear the whole thing up.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
81867 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

Are you denying the historical statistics with regard to these numbers, or are you assuming for some reason that this year will be a big aberration to those?
The Republicans have outperformed the polls in the last 3 presidential elections, but not in the 2018 and 2022 midterms.
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90590 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

Are you denying the historical statistics with regard to these numbers, or are you assuming for some reason that this year will be a big aberration to those? In other words, who's really clinging to "hopium" here?


dont waste your time YA

this dude is ate up
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90590 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 5:23 pm to
quote:

The Republicans have outperformed the polls in the last 3 presidential elections, but not in the 2018 and 2022 midterms.


very true BUT the concept that Dems outperformed or met expectations for turnout in midterms is shrouded in doubt about legitimacy of their numbers

Trump himself said to Rs to treat the polling info as fact and make sure to vote. Early polling starts Monday here in Texas and I am really curious to see how the numbers look.

in GA they set a day one early voting numbers record with the Rs numbers relatively low but steady

the Ds after high early enthusiasm have been slowing down

historically, the Ds have usually spiked in their enthusiasm numbers in polls around August, and then they usually start to decline in enthusiasm as we get closer to election day. Republicans don’t tend to answer polls so predictions for predicted Republican turnout are all over the place.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
176460 posts
Posted on 10/15/26 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

The Republicans have outperformed the polls in the last 3 presidential elections, but not in the 2018 and 2022 midterms.

Let them believe their delusions
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