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re: How confident are you that we win this?

Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:20 pm to
Posted by jacquespene8
Nashville, TN
Member since Sep 2007
4599 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:20 pm to
I’m 50/50 and am just gonna watch hoping and praying the Tigers don’t shoot themselves in the foot.

My biggest hesitation is that Bama has always been good at either forcing crazy turnovers or just getting lucky and a holder completely missing a snap or something.

Every little thing matters from the snappers, holders, punters, coverages, blocking, etc etc. everyone need to execute
Posted by Bulldog55
Member since Nov 2023
482 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:22 pm to
About 50/50.
Posted by icecreamsnowball
Member since Mar 2025
1912 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:23 pm to
800 out of 1,000 so pretty confident
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
64921 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:25 pm to
50-60%
Posted by yadaddy
Member since Feb 2023
121 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

I hope we beat them by 40, but I’m starting to worry a bit.


They're a really good team with a young QB. They've struggled to run the ball in short down and distance and they give up far too many sacks. They give up lots of yards through the air, but they also force turnovers at a really high rate. Also worth mentioning that their schedule to this point has been much more difficult than ours.

That said, I'm looking for a couple padlock stats Saturday night.
- We get 4 or more sacks, my assumption is that means we kept them behind the sticks for most of the night and cover the spread
- If we lose the turnover battle by 2 or more, we lose outright
- If neither or both of these things happen, we're going to have to find a way to win our first close game of the year. Hoping the crowd becomes the difference.
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
59232 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:26 pm to
#BubbleGuts

Bout 350
Posted by whitetiger1234
They/Them
Member since Oct 2016
6753 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:28 pm to
Tigers by 100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Posted by StGeorgeTiger
Member since Sep 2024
1094 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:28 pm to
Beatdown coming. It’s going to be great watching LSU end their chances of the playoffs.
Posted by jmon
Loisiana
Member since Oct 2010
10456 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:29 pm to
Good guys 24, turds 20.
Posted by yadaddy
Member since Feb 2023
121 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

they seem to have a magic formula against us in our own stadium


Also worth noting that Bama doesn't play anyone worth a crap after our matchup. Ironbowl can be weird, but for all intents and purposes they get to skate into the playoff with a win Saturday night. The SEC needs to go ahead and lock down a couple of those playoff spots and we haven't exactly been their favorite child... Not expecting to get any 50/50 calls. Have to play clean and have to protect the football.
Posted by VanRIch
Wherever
Member since Sep 2007
11984 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:35 pm to
I feel insanely confident. I feel like this is the game that, despite his steady improvement, SL turns it up another level. I feel like he will put all his haters and doubters to bed for good. frick BAMA
Posted by dukeg7213
Louisiana
Member since Apr 2023
7810 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 1:36 pm to
Grab your nuts
Posted by SmoothBox
Member since May 2023
3146 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 2:08 pm to
It’s going to be a hard match up, it always is.

LSU SHOULD win

But we’ve all seen worse Alabama teams come in and beat LSU. It’s one of those where nothing but a serious blow out would surprise me. These are 2 good football teams that are well coached coming off of a bye.
Posted by RGT
Member since Aug 2024
3226 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 2:52 pm to
Comes down to Blake’s D gameplan.Against the 2 best QBs we’ve played he was coaching not to lose,less agressive and it didn’t work.If he calls the dogs to run we can win ,shuts down our athletes we don’t.
Posted by TigerPitt93
Member since May 2023
106 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 3:00 pm to
I’m going to say 80-90% but I think it’s safe to say we’ve all been burned in these LSU/Bama games. When you look at the teams on paper, this screams LSU by a good margin. Only problem with that view is we were far superior, on paper, to Kentucky. LSU is 2nd in sacks in the country, Alabama I believe is like 112th in sacks allowed. Auburn is also around that number for what it’s worth.

I believe our defense can wreak havoc on Russell’s ability to stay in the pocket and make his reads but he is a far superior athlete compared to a guy like Byrum Brown. Offense shouldn’t have an issue moving the ball. This isn’t the Bama of old run defense and their secondary is penalty prone and banged up. If Sam is able to take care of the ball, I think this game goes LSU by 10+.
Posted by tiger789
on the bayou
Member since Dec 2008
3021 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 3:08 pm to



quote:

Tigers by 100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000




agree +1
Posted by JYD
Pineville
Member since Oct 2003
8792 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 3:29 pm to
.350%
Posted by TigerPitt93
Member since May 2023
106 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 4:12 pm to
Also have to point this out because I heard Hunt talk about it today. Keelon is averaging 81 less yards per game(201YPG) passing on the road. Also his TD/INT ratio is 4/4 on the road compared to 11/1 at home. Small samples size but stark difference in road vs home numbers.
Posted by Bengal26
Member since Oct 2014
1905 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 4:22 pm to
Confident that we are the better team if we are firing on all cylinders but never "confident" when playing bama because we lived through the Saban era.
Posted by TaderSalad
mudbug territory
Member since Jul 2014
26924 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 4:24 pm to
Sometimes yes


sometimes no.
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