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re: Help me out with the definition of a sac bunt.

Posted on 2/16/25 at 3:41 pm to
Posted by medtiger
Member since Sep 2003
21822 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Are your chances higher statistically to get that runner in from 3rd with the next 2 batters or statistically higher having to get a hit and score from 2nd?


The fallacy with your argument is that the bunt will be successful, and that if you don't bunt, the runner won't advance to 3rd.
Posted by Nutriaitch
Montegut
Member since Apr 2008
9677 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

The fallacy with your argument is that the bunt will be successful, and that if you don't bunt, the runner won't advance to 3rd.



no, he’s assuming the bunt has a higher statistical chance of success.

there is a 70%+ chance the batter will be out no matter what.
the bunt increases your chances of dictating how the out happens.
Posted by Cuz413
Member since Nov 2007
9122 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 4:14 pm to
quote:


quote:
there are all sorts of situations that play into that decision, and not just late in a game.


nope


In the pros, maybe

If you're a college team facing a guy like Skenes and he dominated you last time and your leadoff hits a double, you sac that guy from second to third. Now your next batter just needs to put it in play to score a run. You take every chance you can to score against a top tier pitcher, even more so if the defense behind him is solid.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
284889 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 4:20 pm to
quote:


If you're a college team facing a guy like Skenes and he dominated you last time and your leadoff hits a double, you sac that guy from second to third. Now your next batter just needs to put it in play to score a run. You take every chance you can to score against a top tier pitcher, even more so if the defense behind him is solid.


nope
Posted by paulb52
Member since Dec 2019
5819 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 4:22 pm to
Batter safe at first is a hit. Only a “sacrifice” if batter is out.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
17969 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 4:22 pm to
Depends on how he reached. Could be a sac bunt with an error or could be a hit.
Posted by Geauxdaddy88
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
876 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 4:45 pm to
You can sac bunt and be safe. Fielders choice is an option. They could try to throw out advancing runner and runner beat it out.
Posted by dukeg7213
Louisiana
Member since Apr 2023
4874 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

nope


Yep

Wake Forest literally do it to perfection vs Skenes it just so happened Tre Morgan made a highlight reel play. Any other 1st baseman in college baseball doesn’t make that play and the run scores.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
284889 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

Any other 1st baseman in college baseball doesn’t make that play and the run scores.


Jared jones made the same play last year in a game lol
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
132716 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

Batter safe at first is a hit. Only a “sacrifice” if batter is out.


Listening to Moscona repeating stats that sac bunting with a runner in scoring position is a big no in every situation. But here’s the deal, the batters that bunted for a single to advance the runner are not included in this stat.

From a mangers perspective you bunt with guys that have a higher rate or getting a single and you let other hitters that suck at bunting swing.

Posted by JMMarine
Rayne La
Member since Apr 2023
79 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 5:54 pm to
It’s only a sac if the batter is out at first
Posted by JMMarine
Rayne La
Member since Apr 2023
79 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 5:56 pm to
This !!!!
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
40067 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

It’s only a sac if the batter is out at first


It is also scored as a sac bunt if the batter reaches base because of a fielding error.
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
3096 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 7:04 pm to
quote:

I was listening to Moscona live yesterday and he was stating that statistically you should NEVER sacrifice bunt.



Statistically, you should never punt, either.

And yet
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4018 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

Moscona really doesn't understand baseball.


Moscona is using decades of MLB data for his premise about bunting. I doubt that those percentages apply to all levels of baseball.
This post was edited on 2/16/25 at 7:15 pm
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
284889 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

Statistically, you should never punt, either.

And yet


The amount of teams going for it on 4th down in negative territory or just past midfield has become so normalized that people do not even realize how common it is now.

The issue with LSU fans is they watch 50 LSU baseball games a year and don't realize this same trend has happened with bunting across MLB and college baseball.



The Dodgers sacrificed 10x last year in 162 games.

The runner up Yankees sacrificed bunted 14x in 162 games.


Or once every 14 games or so. These were the 2nd and 3rd best offenses in baseball.

Bunting is stupid just about always.
Posted by ibleedprplngld
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2012
4514 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 8:33 pm to
quote:

I was listening to Moscona live yesterday and he was stating that statistically you should NEVER sacrifice bunt.


There are varying schools of thought here. I wouldn’t necessarily agree stats hold water here if you’re trying to win ONE game. Over the course of a season, especially an MLB season, yea bunting almost makes zero sense.

Now, if you’re trying to win a single game, it’s advantageous to get as many runners in scoring position as possible. Especially with less than two outs. Runners on 1st and 2nd with no outs in a must win game… you pretty much bunt 98 out 100 times no matter who’s at the plate. The exception being if you’re down in the ninth and need more than one run to keep it going or Bear is at bat.
Posted by KCinDC
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2007
1533 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 10:08 pm to
If the batter reaches first on an error, a sacrifice is credited. This removes the at bat from the batting average denominator.

A bunt for a hit is simply a base hit that advances the runner.
Posted by Glizzy_gang
Member since Sep 2023
446 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 10:16 pm to
1st and 2nd with one out should be automatic bunt unless you’ve got Tommy white or crews at the plate.

1st and 3rd to get the safety squeeze works well too but not as much of a no brained. Just puts the defense in a pickle
Posted by Glizzy_gang
Member since Sep 2023
446 posts
Posted on 2/16/25 at 10:23 pm to
You just said it and you didn’t even realize it. They were the 2nd and 3rd best offenses. They could hit the ball. Teams that can’t as well will bunt because hitting a ball successfully is hard af.

It makes sense to bunt when you can’t just mash the ball. Kentucky had a massively successful season last year and they bunted a ton
This post was edited on 2/16/25 at 10:25 pm
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