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DraftKings has Bama as a 12.5 favorite

Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:12 am
Posted by lsutigerelizabeth
Houma
Member since May 2022
1304 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:12 am
As info, that is around the same spread for Georgia over Tennessee.

We are going to beat Bama and play the winner of UGA/UT in Atlanta
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:14 am to
That's down from the -14.5 that opened at Caesars.
Posted by lsufb1912
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2021
5965 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:16 am to
Caesars is still 14, but yeah I’m seeing 12 on other apps.

Crazy that Tennessee is +13 at UGA.
LSU would probably be closer to 20 if it was an away game
This post was edited on 10/27/22 at 11:17 am
Posted by BatonrougeCajun
Somewhere in Texas
Member since Feb 2008
6057 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:34 am to
Take the tigers +12.5. Idk if lsu can win it but that’s a big number for this game
Posted by mytigger
Member since Jan 2008
14842 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:35 am to
I’d stay away from this game. I’ve seen enough 6-2 LSU teams that thought they had a chance get their arse handed to them by Bama in Tiger Stadium.
Posted by bgtiger
Prairieville
Member since Dec 2004
11427 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:39 am to
quote:

lsutigerelizabeth


I love you with all my heart
Posted by turnpiketiger
Southeast Texas
Member since May 2020
9419 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:47 am to
That is about right. How many times are we gonna do this with Bama? They look beatable. They drop a game then everyone acts like they’re the Bama of the early 2000s as if they don’t have the goat roaming the sidelines.

Don’t get me wrong I want to see LSU pull this off but let’s not expect it. Let’s be real. It’s Bama. It’s Saban. He has the best QB in his tenure. Who is also the best QB in CFB two seasons running.
Posted by MrWalkingMan
31st Parallel North
Member since Aug 2010
6301 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:58 am to
quote:

quote:lsutigerelizabeth I love you with all my heart

Posted by jbraua
Oklahoma City, OK
Member since Oct 2007
6790 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:01 pm to
I think we drop a close one to the tide then win out. 9-3 with a chance at a NY 6 bowl. Could be a 10 win season which I think is an excellent outcome for CBKs first year.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
102972 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:05 pm to
Lay the pernts.
Posted by dmatt2021
South LA
Member since Aug 2021
1515 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:06 pm to
Yeah 12.5 might could make sense at Bama but at Tiger Stadium at night that’s ludicrous
Posted by Broyota2
Member since Nov 2010
13037 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

Yeah 12.5 might could make sense at Bama but at Tiger Stadium at night that’s ludicrous


I remember saying the same thing when Bama beat us 28-0 at home in 2018

edit: 29*
This post was edited on 10/27/22 at 12:12 pm
Posted by CalLSU
Shreveport, la
Member since Feb 2009
798 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

That is about right. How many times are we gonna do this with Bama? They look beatable. They drop a game then everyone acts like they’re the Bama of the early 2000s as if they don’t have the goat roaming the sidelines. Don’t get me wrong I want to see LSU pull this off but let’s not expect it. Let’s be real. It’s Bama. It’s Saban. He has the best QB in his tenure. Who is also the best QB in CFB two seasons running.



I would agree about us always getting our hopes up against Bama only to be let down. While I would argue our offense has been really clicking lately, it has also seemed our defense hasn’t looked great. Having said that, Kelly seems to do a great job of in-game adjustments and this game will be at home at night! Why this is so relevant is, if you look at Bama the last 2 years (since Young has been QB), they have played against 7 teams on the road, going 5-2 and only 2 of those games were blowouts. The remaining 5 were decided by a total of 15 points! I’m not saying we will win the game, I’m just saying if you look at how they have played with this “best QB in the NCAA for the past 2 years” they significantly struggle on the road. Which is why most are saying 12 points is too much to give Bama. Also, I would argue about Young being the best QB the past 2 years. Hooker for Tennessee is playing much better this year.
Posted by extremelsu
Atlanta
Member since Aug 2013
3768 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:14 pm to
Damn right baw
Posted by dmatt2021
South LA
Member since Aug 2021
1515 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:17 pm to
We lost to them last year by 6 points at Bama with a worse team. Also Bama had a better team last year
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28363 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:18 pm to
Tua was his best QB
Posted by extremelsu
Atlanta
Member since Aug 2013
3768 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:20 pm to
Gibbs concerns me. He’s a game breaker
Posted by turnpiketiger
Southeast Texas
Member since May 2020
9419 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Tua was his best QB


How many Heismans did Tua win
Posted by Murtown
OT Ballerville
Member since Sep 2014
1607 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:25 pm to
2020 in BR, Bama won by 45
2018 in BR, Bama won by 29

They have shut LSU out 2 of the last 3 games at home. This is the same hype every time we play them in BR. They are a much better team than LSU.
Posted by TigerHoo
DC
Member since Oct 2005
286 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 12:33 pm to
Recent performance kicks in with the formulas they use to calculate those spreads. If you take the last 10 LSU/Bama games in Baton Rouge, the spread does not seem far off:

2020: Alabama won by 38 (LSU unranked)
2018: Alabama won by 29 (LSU ranked #3)
2016: Alabama won by 10 (LSU ranked #13)
2014: Alabama won by 7 (LSU ranked #16)
2012: Alabama won by 4 (LSU ranked #5)
2010: LSU won by 3 (LSU ranked #10)
2008: Alabama won by 6 in OT (LSU ranked #15) [Saban second year as Alabama coach; first game for Saban as Alabama coach in Tiger Stadium]
2006: LSU won by 14 (LSU ranked #12)
2004: LSU won by 16 (LSU ranked #17)
2002: Alabama won by 31 (LSU ranked #14)
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