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Does LSU get in if this happens?

Posted on 11/5/26 at 10:19 am
Posted by AZTiger7072
Tucson
Member since Oct 2011
2952 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 10:19 am
Beat Bama
Beat Texas
Lose a one score game to Tennessee
Beat Arky

Does that get us in? I would say yes. After beating Alabama and Texas I think we would be around 5-6
Losing to Tennessee puts us at 10-12

However

Lose to bama
Beat Texas
Beat Tennessee
Beat Arky

I don’t think we get in. Losing to bama puts us at like 18-19 and then beating Texas and Tennessee I think only raises us to 12-13

I think Bama is a must win if we are saying we go 2-3 over the next 3 games
Posted by JimTiger72
LA
Member since Jun 2023
21071 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 10:23 am to
It depends on what everyone else does

Does ND lose to Miami? They are out
Does UK lose to Tenn?
Does Ole Miss lose to UGA? Are we behind OM in rankings?

That would probably put the SEC order as:
UGA, Bama, Tenn, UK, LSU/OM

Getting 5 teams in would be tough, Wed probably need more people to lose (à la 2007)

To be fair current odds to make the CFP:
UGA -4000
Bama -340
LSU -210
OM -185
Tex -130
UK +145
Tenn +250

*so they expect Bama or LSU to get in at 9-3
This post was edited on 11/5/26 at 10:33 am
Posted by mwade91383
Washington DC
Member since Mar 2010
8377 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 10:26 am to
Given the carnage all over the year (and still coming) I think the chances of us getting in at 9-3 are pretty good. Assuming not a blowout loss.

I think I saw some projections in the 50-60% range w 9-3.

We're 99.99% at 10-2 obviously
Posted by FriscoTiger
Frisco, TX
Member since Aug 2005
5062 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 10:28 am to
SEC needs Notre Dame to lose to get 5 teams in.
Posted by LSUDonMCO
Orlando
Member since Dec 2003
9099 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 10:29 am to
NO! KDS will keep us out. We must run the table and have a few losses to teams above us.
Posted by mwade91383
Washington DC
Member since Mar 2010
8377 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 10:32 am to
Agreed and I kinda think they will, even wo Toney.

I have not been impressed with the ND games I've watched. I sprinkled a little on the Miami moneyline after the line moved post injury.
Posted by Itwasacleantackle
B.F.E.
Member since Aug 2019
641 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 10:37 am to
If Bama can be ranked #5 after getting pounded by Tennessee, you would think we could make the playoffs if we lose a close one. But I don’t trust the committee at all.
Posted by icoczar
birmingham
Member since Sep 2005
1312 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 10:49 am to
Only way 9-3 bama doesn't get in is if we beat them by at least 10 or they lose to Auburn, that's what 5 ranking does for them.
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
18286 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 11:15 am to
A three loss team will need some 2007 stuff to happen in order to get in.
Posted by tgdk11
Member since Nov 2017
2136 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 12:03 pm to
9-3, will get us in
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