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Message
re: Calibrate your expectations
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:35 pm to ClientNumber9
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:35 pm to ClientNumber9
"no one here seems to think the game will even be close. No one seems concerned"
The worst thing about social media. It is always "All" & "Everybody"
I never overlook an opponent so you obviously didn't ask me.
The worst thing about social media. It is always "All" & "Everybody"
I never overlook an opponent so you obviously didn't ask me.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:39 pm to ClientNumber9
I’m expecting the usual ups and downs of the first game for both teams with LSU still winning comfortably.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:39 pm to Cs
quote:
neutral site season openers
I don't know why everybody keeps saying this. This is NOT some sort of special neutral-site season opener. It a is a regular UCLA home game (and not even their first one of the year). They play all of their home games at the Rose Bowl.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:47 pm to LNCHBOX
quote:UCLA has some of the factors that gave us fits even in good years: A mobile QB and speedy rb behind an experienced line.
Unless the defense is as bad as last year, this game shouldn't be close. It is what it is.
I also don't expect the offense to be firing on all cylinders.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:49 pm to ClientNumber9
quote:
There's a reason why the spread is what it is.
Because like it ALWAYS is at the beginning of college football season there is a ton of uncertainty. No one has played a game yet. The lines are always a bit wild to start could very well move depending upon the UCLA game this week.
UCLA +4 means the oddsmakers think LSU will win by a TD. UCLA returns a ton of players. They are a bit more of a known commodity. There is much more uncertainty around LSU. The Tigers return a lot of production, but they are coming off a bad year and now have two new coordinators that have never called plays (at least at the D-1 level). Vegas thinks LSU "could" be good. But they are not ready just yet to go out on a huge limb until they see it.
Some might say the 4 point line is a reason to temper expectations. While others may say it is a great line to hammer in favor of LSU IF you think this team will be much improved (which I do)
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:49 pm to mmcgrath
Remember game one in 2020? The Mississippi State debacle? I just want us to play better than we played in that game, preferably much better especially on D. A 27-24 win is just fine with me.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:51 pm to ClientNumber9
quote:And you are aware that the spread doesn't actually reflect what the score is predicted to be, right?
There's a reason why the spread is what it is.
You do know that the spread is intended to get more people to bet, right?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:06 pm to ClientNumber9
Easiest money I'll ever make
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:10 pm to ClientNumber9
I think we win by 3 TDs. It’ll be close for 3 quarters but we pull away late
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:25 pm to ClientNumber9
The game will be over with in the third quarter. Nuss will be inserted in the fourth quarter and then lead two more touchdown drives.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:31 pm to Hester Carries
quote:
Take your expectations, douse em in lube, and then forcefully insert them deep into your rectum.
Very vivid. Are you sure this isn't making you horny
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:40 pm to ClientNumber9
quote:
Calibrate your expectations
STTDB
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:42 pm to ClientNumber9
Spread is there for a reason. We only won 5 games last year. Same players this year. New coaches. I’m as optimistic as any but some people are very unrealistic.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:48 pm to Alt26
quote:
UCLA returns a ton of players. They are a bit more of a known commodity.
They went 3-4 last year. Known Commodity?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:54 pm to Cs
quote:
LSU performs very well in neutral site season openers against Power 5 foes.
This makes total sense if you don’t consider past games against Wisconsin and don’t consider this a home game for UCLA .
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:56 pm to ClientNumber9
LSU isn’t as good without #15.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:06 pm to profwilson
quote:
It a is a regular UCLA home game (and not even their first one of the year). They play all of their home games at the Rose Bowl.
And they struggle immensely with football attendence.
Add in a high level of anxiety towards COVID, and I expect less than 40k UCLA fans at the game.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:17 pm to baobabtiger
quote:
LSU isn’t as good without #15.
No, it's actually astronomically better with #14.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:21 pm to ClientNumber9
It's the first game of the year, betting lines are not nearly as accurate as mid-season. Your point is valid though. See: Wisconsin game.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:26 pm to Cs
quote:
LSU performs very well in neutral site season openers against Power 5 foes.
Except the Rose Bowl is not a neutral site.
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