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re: Calibrate your expectations

Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by superwolf
Member since Dec 2006
1086 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:35 pm to
"no one here seems to think the game will even be close. No one seems concerned"

The worst thing about social media. It is always "All" & "Everybody"

I never overlook an opponent so you obviously didn't ask me.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
76924 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:39 pm to
I’m expecting the usual ups and downs of the first game for both teams with LSU still winning comfortably.
Posted by profwilson
Member since Jul 2004
923 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

neutral site season openers


I don't know why everybody keeps saying this. This is NOT some sort of special neutral-site season opener. It a is a regular UCLA home game (and not even their first one of the year). They play all of their home games at the Rose Bowl.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
37012 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Unless the defense is as bad as last year, this game shouldn't be close. It is what it is.
UCLA has some of the factors that gave us fits even in good years: A mobile QB and speedy rb behind an experienced line.

I also don't expect the offense to be firing on all cylinders.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
34099 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

There's a reason why the spread is what it is.


Because like it ALWAYS is at the beginning of college football season there is a ton of uncertainty. No one has played a game yet. The lines are always a bit wild to start could very well move depending upon the UCLA game this week.

UCLA +4 means the oddsmakers think LSU will win by a TD. UCLA returns a ton of players. They are a bit more of a known commodity. There is much more uncertainty around LSU. The Tigers return a lot of production, but they are coming off a bad year and now have two new coordinators that have never called plays (at least at the D-1 level). Vegas thinks LSU "could" be good. But they are not ready just yet to go out on a huge limb until they see it.

Some might say the 4 point line is a reason to temper expectations. While others may say it is a great line to hammer in favor of LSU IF you think this team will be much improved (which I do)
Posted by GeorgeWest
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
14734 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:49 pm to
Remember game one in 2020? The Mississippi State debacle? I just want us to play better than we played in that game, preferably much better especially on D. A 27-24 win is just fine with me.
Posted by Abraham H Parnassis
Member since Jul 2020
2642 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

There's a reason why the spread is what it is.
And you are aware that the spread doesn't actually reflect what the score is predicted to be, right?

You do know that the spread is intended to get more people to bet, right?
Posted by EasterEgg
New Orleans Metro
Member since Sep 2018
5303 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:06 pm to
Easiest money I'll ever make
Posted by reauxl tigers
Tiger Woods Fan
Member since Aug 2014
9812 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:10 pm to
I think we win by 3 TDs. It’ll be close for 3 quarters but we pull away late
Posted by Purple Tiger King
Member since Jan 2021
2016 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:25 pm to
The game will be over with in the third quarter. Nuss will be inserted in the fourth quarter and then lead two more touchdown drives.
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
33818 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

Take your expectations, douse em in lube, and then forcefully insert them deep into your rectum.




Very vivid. Are you sure this isn't making you horny
Posted by VeryReauxna_ish
Your mom’s house
Member since Dec 2020
2741 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

Calibrate your expectations


STTDB
Posted by Clark W Griswold
THE USA
Member since Sep 2012
10857 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:42 pm to
Spread is there for a reason. We only won 5 games last year. Same players this year. New coaches. I’m as optimistic as any but some people are very unrealistic.
Posted by TXTiger81
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2021
1701 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

UCLA returns a ton of players. They are a bit more of a known commodity.


They went 3-4 last year. Known Commodity?
Posted by PigDog33
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2021
924 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

LSU performs very well in neutral site season openers against Power 5 foes.


This makes total sense if you don’t consider past games against Wisconsin and don’t consider this a home game for UCLA .
Posted by baobabtiger
Member since May 2009
4933 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:56 pm to
LSU isn’t as good without #15.
Posted by Cs
Member since Aug 2008
10675 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

It a is a regular UCLA home game (and not even their first one of the year). They play all of their home games at the Rose Bowl.



And they struggle immensely with football attendence.

Add in a high level of anxiety towards COVID, and I expect less than 40k UCLA fans at the game.
Posted by Purple Tiger King
Member since Jan 2021
2016 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

LSU isn’t as good without #15.


No, it's actually astronomically better with #14.
Posted by atxfan
Member since Jul 2004
4066 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:21 pm to
It's the first game of the year, betting lines are not nearly as accurate as mid-season. Your point is valid though. See: Wisconsin game.
Posted by Will2nd
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2009
4102 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

LSU performs very well in neutral site season openers against Power 5 foes.


Except the Rose Bowl is not a neutral site.
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