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profwilson
| Favorite team: | LSU  |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 920 |
| Registered on: | 7/8/2004 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Brian Kelly hate
Posted by profwilson on 10/13/25 at 6:42 pm to Errerrerrwere
quote:
watching the same exact football game the last 4 years
Really? You think the games this year look like "the same exact football game" as when Jayden Daniels was here, we had no defense, and were winning or losing 51-45? I swear, I think that some people who post on here live in an alternate football universe.
Now, to be clear, I don't think Kelly is above criticism. But to say that it's just "the same old thing" every year is just flat wrong. In fact, what is amazing is how we seem to have found a radically different formula for being good-but-not-great every year. I do think the expectation this year should be a playoff berth. It's still in play--we'll see if we get there.
1
re: Josh Pate GOES OFF on SEC officiating
Posted by profwilson on 9/22/25 at 2:46 pm to Hilonghorn9
quote:
we were actually allowed to listen in to the refs back and forth talk during plays that were being reviewed
You are exactly right. The ACC is way ahead of the rest of college football on this. It would be very helpful to have this kind of transparency, so that even if fans disagreed, they would know where the officials were coming from. It would help tamp down the conspiracy theories.
re: Go home, FPI. You’re drunk.
Posted by profwilson on 9/21/25 at 3:34 pm to OleVaught14
quote:
FPI is a power ranking on who would be favored on a neutral field
Yeah, except that it's not even that. Ole Miss is a 1-point favorite at home against LSU. This means that Vegas would favor LSU on a neutral field, even though the Tigers are 11 spots lower in FPI. At the end of 2019, AFTER the playoffs in which LSU had obliterated everyone in their path and completed arguably the best season in college football history, FPI still had LSU 3rd. That tells you a lot. But, to be clear, it doesn't reflect "ESPN bias," as there is no human judgment in it. It's just a flawed formula.
re: LSU opens as -1.5 favorite against Ole Miss.
Posted by profwilson on 9/21/25 at 12:34 pm to Arthur Bach
It's up to LSU +2.5 now. A lot of early money apparently coming in on Ole Miss. This doesn't surprise me that much--the betting public tends to be more impressed by offense than by defense.
re: Playoff projections
Posted by profwilson on 9/15/25 at 6:10 pm to TexasOnTop
USC is currently #25 in the AP poll and unranked in the coaches' poll, so they are marginal. Navy and NC State are the only other teams on their schedule even receiving votes, and they don't play a conference championship game. So yes, they could quite possibly "sort out their defense" as the season goes on, but how will we really know?
re: Playoff projections
Posted by profwilson on 9/15/25 at 4:43 pm to AwgustaDawg
The only realistically possible losses that I see on Notre Dame's remaining schedule are Arkansas and USC--and they'll be favored in both of those. They should be double-digit favorites in every other game.
re: Playoff projections
Posted by profwilson on 9/15/25 at 3:43 pm to Rex Feral
Notre Dame should be out of the conversation at this point. They have lost both of the games on their schedule against teams that will be ranked (though I suppose USC MIGHT end up as a ranked opponent), and they have no conference championship game. What could they possibly do against Purdue, Syracuse, Stanford, Pittsburgh, etc. to prove that they belong in the playoff? How could you let them in over, let's say, a 9-3 Texas A&M team?
Playoff projections
Posted by profwilson on 9/15/25 at 3:23 pm
From Pete Fiutak at College Football News (not who he WANTS to get in or thinks SHOULD get in, but his prediction of who DOES get in):
CFN playoff prediction
If this actually happens, a lot of people around here will lose their minds, and rightly so. 11-2 Iowa State, 10-2 Notre Dame, and 10-3 Georgia Tech would likely have ZERO ranked wins between them. If they get in over, hypothetically, 3-loss Oklahoma, Tennessee, Alabama, Texas, Missouri, and/or Ole Miss teams, look out...
CFN playoff prediction
If this actually happens, a lot of people around here will lose their minds, and rightly so. 11-2 Iowa State, 10-2 Notre Dame, and 10-3 Georgia Tech would likely have ZERO ranked wins between them. If they get in over, hypothetically, 3-loss Oklahoma, Tennessee, Alabama, Texas, Missouri, and/or Ole Miss teams, look out...
re: Florida Will Beat Miami and Texas
Posted by profwilson on 9/14/25 at 8:52 pm to theCAW
quote:
Miami will win by 30-35 points
If you really believe this and are right, you should be able to make a fortune on an alternate line bet. Miami is only a touchdown favorite (7.5) at the open.
re: What are you Most Excited to see Saturday Night? RE: FL vs LSU
Posted by profwilson on 9/12/25 at 2:57 pm to 225Tyga
I want to see our defense contain a running quarterback. We really struggled with that last year. I hope (and think) we will see major improvement on that front.
And yes, I know Lagway’s game is not primarily run-oriented. But neither was Milroe’s last year, and he really gashed us.
And yes, I know Lagway’s game is not primarily run-oriented. But neither was Milroe’s last year, and he really gashed us.
re: Syder Mitchell I heard he was hard to block in the spring and fall. What's up with him?
Posted by profwilson on 9/8/25 at 4:26 pm to JONBURRIS1981
quote:
I heard he was hard to block in the spring and fall
Well, everyone is apparently hard to block for our offensive line, so I wouldn't read too much into that...
re: Circa opens LSU -8 vs. Florida, O/U 51.5
Posted by profwilson on 9/7/25 at 2:45 pm to KiaSportage22
This thread actually makes me want to hammer the OVER. Vegas loves these situations where everybody thinks their numbers are "obviously off" and that they're just offering "free money."
re: Not sure what LSU/Clemson game this writer watched...or maybe they didn't watch it at all.
Posted by profwilson on 9/5/25 at 1:36 pm to LSUDVM1999
Yeah, this dude needs to pump the breaks. The SEC is just fine as it is, and is not "falling behind" the Big 10. Yes, Ohio State is very good at football--they are the defending national champions, and just beat Texas (at home, by one score, in a game in which they were significantly outgained). But the SEC has ten (!) teams currently in the top 25, compared to six for the Big 10. They are also favored in both of the remaining matchups between the conferences (Oklahoma-Michigan and Alabama-Wisconsin), though of course we'll have to see how those play out. So "OMG, we'd better grab Clemson and FSU before the Big 10 leaves us in the dust!" seems like a pretty dubious take.
re: Week 2 NCAA Football
Posted by profwilson on 9/4/25 at 5:31 pm to David121172
SMU and Baylor should be a good game. So could Illinois and Duke, actually.
re: SEC Network: Bama vs. ULM? Seriously?
Posted by profwilson on 9/4/25 at 10:47 am to SouthOfSouth
quote:
Who wouldn't want to watch Bama go 0-2? LSU gonna be a blowout.
Yeah, there's no chance this happens. Bama looked sloppy and soft against Florida State, but ULM is not in the same universe as the Tide talent-wise. Plus Alabama will be salty and embarrassed after last week's debacle. I think they beat ULM by 40+.
That said, I don't expect the LSU-Louisiana Tech game to be close, either. Not a lot of great matchups to choose from in the SEC this weekend.
re: Lousiana Tech Report
Posted by profwilson on 9/2/25 at 11:20 am to GumboPot
quote:
FSU has turned it around with their new Italian QB
Well, he's a black guy with a Spanish last name, but sure, I guess...
re: Gumps are melting, would rather have Orgeron as coach right now
Posted by profwilson on 9/1/25 at 5:44 pm to vl100butch
quote:
remember Snake Laval when Skip retired
Clearly you don't. His name was SMOKE Laval. But, in fairness, he was pretty forgettable...
re: Marcus Freeman’s Linsanity run is over
Posted by profwilson on 9/1/25 at 12:12 am to rileytiger
quote:
They play aTm and Arkansas they at best split those. Boise is probably a loss. Then they lose 1 of the rest at least.
I don't see things playing out this way. I think they lose one more the rest of the way (likely either A&M or USC), finish 10-2, and make the playoff. It's not what I'm hoping for, but what I'm predicting.
re: Most Realistic Playoff Prediction I've Seen
Posted by profwilson on 8/27/25 at 3:45 pm to REBEL5 AC
If the ACC gets a second team in, it's not going to be Louisville. Miami and SMU are both better than they are. Also, Kansas State is already 0-1 in the Big 12. And I'd be REALLY surprised if USC made the playoff.
All in all, about the quality of a set of predictions I would expect from Danny Kanell.
All in all, about the quality of a set of predictions I would expect from Danny Kanell.
re: With the 9 game SEC schedule, does that mean SEC teams no longer have to schedule a P4 OOC
Posted by profwilson on 8/22/25 at 11:54 pm to 00 Tech Grad
Since you apparently believe that most of the teams in the ACC, Big 12, and Big 10 are "weak arse" and have no business anywhere near the playoff, then having to schedule one shouldn't be a problem, right?
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