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re: Basketball (Men's) question- what should we expect?

Posted on 2/4/26 at 3:18 pm to
Posted by semjase
New Smyrna Beach FL
Member since May 2014
15828 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 3:18 pm to
quote:

This isn't a slam on McMahon, this is about the overall program
McMahon is 100% in charge of the overall program.
Posted by Circle K Beggar
Somewhere in the lower 48
Member since Feb 2011
8744 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

My prediction is that LSU will give MM one more season and then fire him with a smaller payout. This is not what I want to happen: it is what I think will happen.


This is tough to think about. I have to think that if the tournament is missed this year, any goodwill would be gone. They used the NIL angle last year so what would be the excuse this year?

I know you’re saying this is your prediction not your wish. The program is dead at the moment. Another year of McMahon may prevent the program from being resuscitated. I hope you’re wrong.
Posted by robertgamb
Member since Jan 2015
1128 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 4:21 pm to
If they don't make the tournament there's no way you can bring this guy back with a 5th year of more the same! They have to make a change!
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
35585 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 4:38 pm to
quote:

My prediction is that LSU will give MM one more season and then fire him with a smaller payout.


The "savings" in doing so would be minimal.

If MM is the HC next year he's going to be paid the full amount he is owed for next season. He has two assistants on expiring contracts. So either LSU will have to sign them to new contracts or hire new assistant coaches. It's not like MM will just let them drop off and coach with only 2 ACs. Plus what caliber of AC are you going to get to come in on a 1 year contract for a (likely) lame duck HC?

MM's buyout isn't owed in one lump sum check payable immediately upon firing. It's to be paid in installments over the course of the remaining term of the contract. MM is getting paid for next season. It's just a matter of it is the full amount for coaching the team next year....or 80% of the amount owed to NOT coach the team next year.

Unless LSU plans on letting him coach the remaining 3 years of his deal, waiting to fire him after next season would only reduce the amount of time by a year LSU would, in essence, be paying two HCs (the new coach and MM not to coach). Is that one year reduction worth it to prolong the inevitable?
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
47301 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

Seems like it was an afterthought until Dale Brown arrived.


Not exactly true, though LSU was not a national brand by any stretch. From the start through 1957, LSU had 13 coaches, 11 of whom had a winning record (.563 or higher). Eight of them had a winning percentage of .611 or higher. 49 seasons with a .603 winning percentage, 550-362.

LSU had 5 winning seasons in the previous 15, two of those with Pistol Pete, before Brown took over. He righted the ship. LSU has not had a coach who coached more than one game with an overall losing record since, but MM may achieve that unless he can win 4 of his next 9 games.

quote:

I'd say LSU, any given year, should be around 20 wins and in contention, with a Final Four type team once or twice a decade. Sound about right?


LSU has made the final 4 twice in one decade one time. They have only made a final 4 a total of 4 times in over 70 years. 3 times in the last 54 since Dale took over (assuming this is not a final 4 year).

In regard to around 20 (I used 18 or more), it looks like LSU did that 31 times in the last 54, 32 if MM pulls that out. But WW did it all 5 seasons. I am not sure if every year is realistic, but 3 or 4 out of 5 seems very reasonable if we get a good coach.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
47301 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

McMahon is 100% in charge of the overall program.


He is talking about the program historically; that seems pretty clear if you read the post.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
35585 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

if we get a good coach.


In all be a very few instances the head coach IS the program. Tom Izzo hasn't been powerhouse HC for the last 30 years because of Michigan St. Michigan St has been a powerhouse because of Tom Izzo.

Brown did kind of like Curt Cignetti did at Indiana. He changed the thinking around LSU basketball. He barnstormed the state trying to drum up interest and build relationships (with wealthy people) to fund his program. He was energetic, brash, unafraid to try to recruit any player, anywhere, and not particularly concerned with the NCAA's rules. The result was Final Fours, multiple All Americans, the "Deaf Dome" and 66k in the Super Dome...and ultimately, probation at the end.

Brady was the cheapest and best of a short list of candidates who wanted the LSU job in the mid-90's with serious probation looming. After 11 years of inconsistency he was let go. LSU was a bigger brand though at that time, and had an opportunity to lure a good HC. They hired a guy from Stanford who had a good resume across two different schools. However, he had no personality, didn't want to build the relationships with donors, and didn't like the "dirty" aspect of recruiting. After a good season with the prior HC's holdovers, he won 5 SEC games in two years.

LSU then hired a "legacy" no other major conf. school would have ever considered hiring. However, he at least had the connections with the donors through his previous days at LSU. He used those to sign blue chip prospects. Unfortunately, he couldn't coach.

LSU then hired a new HC. He was energetic, brash, unafraid to try to recruit any player, anywhere, and not particularly concerned with the NCAA's rules. His career ended with probation too. LSU then hired a guy who had a good resume. However, he had no personality, didn't want to build the relationships with donors, and didn't like the "dirty" aspect of recruiting. He's won an average of about 4 SEC games a year.

I'm not an expert by any means. But MAYBE there is a blueprint of what kind of HC might work...and which one doesn't
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
35585 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

if we get a good coach.


In all be a very few instances the head coach IS the program. Tom Izzo hasn't been powerhouse HC for the last 30 years because of Michigan St. Michigan St has been a powerhouse because of Tom Izzo.

Brown did kind of like Curt Cignetti did at Indiana. He changed the thinking around LSU basketball. He barnstormed the state trying to drum up interest and build relationships (with wealthy people) to fund his program. He was energetic, brash, unafraid to try to recruit any player, anywhere, and not particularly concerned with the NCAA's rules. The result was Final Fours, multiple All Americans, the "Deaf Dome" and 66k in the Super Dome...and ultimately, probation at the end.

Brady was the cheapest and best of a short list of candidates who wanted the LSU job in the mid-90's with serious probation looming. After 11 years of inconsistency he was let go. LSU was a bigger brand though at that time, and had an opportunity to lure a good HC. They hired a guy from Stanford who had a good resume across two different schools. However, he had no personality, didn't want to build the relationships with donors, and didn't like the "dirty" aspect of recruiting. After a good season with the prior HC's holdovers, he won 5 SEC games in two years.

LSU then hired a "legacy" no other major conf. school would have ever considered hiring. However, he at least had the connections with the donors through his previous days at LSU. He used those to sign blue chip prospects. Unfortunately, he couldn't coach.

LSU then hired a new HC. He was energetic, brash, unafraid to try to recruit any player, anywhere, and not particularly concerned with the NCAA's rules. His career ended with probation too. LSU then hired a guy who had a good resume. However, he had no personality, didn't want to build the relationships with donors, and didn't like the "dirty" aspect of recruiting. He's won an average of about 4 SEC games a year.

I'm not an expert by any means. But MAYBE there is a blueprint of what kind of HC might work...and which one doesn't
Posted by drizztiger
Deal With it!
Member since Mar 2007
47813 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

He is talking about the program historically; that seems pretty clear if you read the post.
People don't read here.
Posted by tigahlovah
virginia beach, va
Member since Oct 2009
5017 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 5:45 pm to
To add, I'd be shocked if McMahon didn't coach at a mid major next year, which further defrays LSU's obligation to him.

I'd imagine he's young enough to get back on the horse, unlike our last FB coach.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
47301 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

People don't read here


Posted by The Truth 34
Chavez Ravine
Member since May 2010
41775 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 6:04 pm to
quote:

But MAYBE there is a blueprint of what kind of HC might work...and which one doesn't


Exactly. It’s been proven here. Gotta find that again. No more monotone losers.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
70546 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 6:17 pm to
If we committed to being an athletic defensive team who lives off turnovers and kills you on the boards we could sustain that style and win without having to compete with the Kentucky’s of the world in recruiting.
Posted by HangingWithMrCooper
The Bay Area
Member since Aug 2017
202 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

My prediction is that LSU will give MM one more season and then fire him with a smaller payout.


McMahon won’t make it past this season. He’s very fortunate to have gotten the fourth season and the only thing that saved him was going into ADs office and saying give me more NIL money. They agreed to that and said this is your last chance. Same results for him with the most talented roster he has had here.

The wheels are in motion to have his replacement ready to go. I would say after the Miss State loss it ramped up because you had a glimmer of hope to dig out of the basement.

McMahon hasn’t really ever had a different demeanor on the sideline but to me he looks like he knows this is over. He’ll take a year off, get hired in an appropriate level position as a head coach and be pretty successful. He’s just not a fit in the SEC.
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
32059 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 9:56 pm to
LSU ranks historically second in the SEC in tournament appearances (behind Kentucky) and fourth in Final Four and Elite Eight appearances, behind only Kentucky, Florida and Arkansas. The myth that men's basketball is just an afterthought at LSU is just that: a myth.

Surprisingly Texas A&M, Tennessee and Vanderbilt have NEVER made an NCAA Final Four. It's shameful that the Aggies and 'Dores can be knocking on the "dore" of basketball greatness with neophytes coaching their teams, yet LSU with a veteran coach is going nowhere but down! What's good about that?
Posted by Beef Supreme
Member since Apr 2008
2445 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:23 pm to
quote:

only thing that saved him was going into ADs office and saying give me more NIL money


The only thing that saved him was that Will Wade was there for the taking and Woodward was our AD. If Wade signs the NC St deal a year prior, Scott fires MM last year. But b/c there would have been so much pressure to hire WW and Scott absolutely wasn't going to do that, he kicked the can down the road another year. And it ultimately cost him his job.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
23521 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:56 pm to
quote:

In all be a very few instances the head coach IS the program. Tom Izzo hasn't been powerhouse HC for the last 30 years because of Michigan St. Michigan St has been a powerhouse because of Tom Izzo.
Ummm... weird choice there.

Jud Heathcote was the guy before Izzo, went to 9 NCAA tourneys (won it all with Magic Johnson) and 3 NIT's in 19 years before retiring. His last 7 seasons, five NCAA and 2 NIT. Izzo was on his staff since 1986, named associate HC in 1991, and took over the program in 1995.
Izzo is both a great coach, and an example of a great handoff. Heathcote built that program, Izzo maintained it, and never left. He's basically the basketball equivalent of Kurt Ferentz taking over from Hayden Fry at Iowa football, at a slightly higher level of play (Ferentz has made 21 bowls in 25 yrs).

We have no idea how Izzo would have done had he went somewhere and had to start from scratch.





Posted by Open Your Eyes
Member since Nov 2012
10586 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:39 am to
quote:

The Pirate King
quote:

JimTiger72 aka Mr. Q4

Well chronicled mediocrity lovers are the first 2 replies in this thread, both saying winning expectations are unrealistic. SHOCKING
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
35585 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 7:44 am to
quote:

Ummm... weird choice there.

Jud Heathcote was the guy before Izzo, went to 9 NCAA tourneys (won it all with Magic Johnson) and 3 NIT's in 19 years before retiring. His last 7 seasons, five NCAA and 2 NIT. Izzo was on his staff since 1986, named associate HC in 1991, and took over the program in 1995.
Izzo is both a great coach, and an example of a great handoff. Heathcote built that program, Izzo maintained it, and never left. He's basically the basketball equivalent of Kurt Ferentz taking over from Hayden Fry at Iowa football, at a slightly higher level of play (Ferentz has made 21 bowls in 25 yrs).

We have no idea how Izzo would have done had he went somewhere and had to start from scratch.


Heathcote caught lightening in a bottle with Magic Johson right at the beginning of his tenure. After Magic left, they didn't make the NCAAT for another 5 years. Only 2x within 10 years. By the end of his career he had MSU on an upward trajectory, but is was NEVER a powerhouse until Izzo became the HC. MSU has been to 10 Final Fours...8 of them under Izzo. They've won the Big 10 seventeen times....11 under Izzo. Michigan St. was an average/slightly above average program for much of it's history absent the few year it had a generational player in Magic. Since Izzo took over it has been one of the 4-5 best programs in the nation over the last 30 years

Izzo didn't "maintain" the program. He brought it to a level of decades long success it never experienced before him. Heathcote should (and probably did) thank his lucky stars every day Magic Johnson was born in Lansing MI and was of college age at the same time Heathcote took the MSU job. Otherwise, he wouldn't have made it to the mid-80's at MSU.
Posted by Jim Hopper
Ocean Springs Mississippi
Member since Sep 2019
5146 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 9:01 am to
[quote]what should we expect?/quote] a sweet 16 type run every 3-4 years, and just making tournament trips every other year. Not really hard to ask
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 9:03 am
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