- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
0
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:35 pm to Tuscaloosa
Its like these dudes don't read any information and just post BS. It's like he gets off from posting misinformation.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:36 pm to TDsngumbo
You realize even if the Dems WON the Election Day vote in Florida that Trump would win the state by about 10%
Rs are winning the Election Day vote in Florida by 17.84%
A 10%+ Trump win in Florida is going to translate nationally
Rs are winning the Election Day vote in Florida by 17.84%
A 10%+ Trump win in Florida is going to translate nationally
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:36 pm to TDsngumbo
I have not seen anything reputable that suggests 20% is magical.
It will be a significant beat over historical and polls - both really good signs
It will be a significant beat over historical and polls - both really good signs
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:38 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Turnout all over the country is said to be very high, record high in some places, and that usually favors democrats.
i cannot keep up with you all.
I though dems voted early and high turn out on ED is better for Repubs
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:39 pm to stuntman
quote:
southwest florida.
Surprised to learn that such a place either does, or even can, exist, but I would have to guess either Key West, or the Flora-Bama, being the most southwesterly point of the panhandle.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:39 pm to igoringa
quote:
I have not seen anything reputable that suggests 20% is magical.
20% = landslide
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:40 pm to goatmilker
The X account Data_republican posited earlier today that if Trump outdid the democrats on election day by 20% compared to how he did on election day in 2016 that it could suggest a big, big night for Trump. If it was 15% it suggested a closer race. If it was 10% it was bad news.
Now, that is not some researched metric, just something that person came up with based upon their supposed knowledge of the numbers.
Now, that is not some researched metric, just something that person came up with based upon their supposed knowledge of the numbers.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:41 pm to Jake88
So we are somewhere between good news and great news. I'll take it.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:42 pm to TDsngumbo
TDsNGumbo doomposting? While also misrepresenting what the percentages mean?
What a shocker
What a shocker
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:43 pm to Tuscaloosa
You noticed the OP has not posted in the thread. Hit and run troll job
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:43 pm to DarthRebel
Trump was up 6-8% in Florida polling. An outlier or 2 had him up 14%. They kinda threw those away. If he wins by 10% or more that is 3-5 points right of his polling.
He won Florida in 2020 by 3-4%. If the national electorate moves just 1% right of polling, He wins comfortably.
He won Florida in 2020 by 3-4%. If the national electorate moves just 1% right of polling, He wins comfortably.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:43 pm to igoringa
quote:
I have not seen anything reputable that suggests 20% is magical.
It’s literally a guess of something that would strongly signify a landslide
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 3:44 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:44 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Supposedly needs to be around 20% in order for him to have a good chance of a national victory. 15% and he has a chance but 20% is where we want it to be.
What do you mean by "national victory" and how are you figuring this?
Are you talking "winning the popular vote" or just winning the election?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:45 pm to TDsngumbo
Florida means nothing. 2020 should have taught you all that.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:45 pm to Indefatigable
It's called concern trolling. Don't feed the trolls people
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:46 pm to soonerinlOUisiana
20% seems like a high bar for FLA. 57 to 41 is a beating.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:46 pm to BHTiger
Florida is to Rs what Cali is to Ds now.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:47 pm to Gings5
quote:
He’s at 18% currently
No, he isn't. That is just for today. Overall, Trump is up 10.83% in FL (1.2 million vote lead). Still a bloodbath, but not 15%+
Page 2 of 3
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News