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Bellwether Alert: Duval County R +3.1

Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:05 pm
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
13135 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:05 pm
Very Good Sign

This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 1:09 pm
Posted by olemc999
At a blackjack table
Member since Oct 2010
14516 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:06 pm to
Posted by Hector Fernandez III
Member since Nov 2024
77 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:06 pm to
Which way are the “others” breaking?
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
13135 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:06 pm to
Trump LOST Duval in 2020.... something to watch here.
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10521 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:07 pm to
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
13135 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:07 pm to
This is the biggest update of the day on how things go.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
171595 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:08 pm to
Eric Daugherty reads my posts
Posted by TackySweater
Member since Dec 2020
19816 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:08 pm to
DUUUUUUUUVAAAAAAAAL
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
12585 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:08 pm to
This current administration has been a complete shite show. Joe is unaware of where he is most of the time. I think even most Democrats know that. Kamala is an empty vessel. It’s time for a change back to sanity.
Posted by Golgi Apparatus
Member since Sep 2009
3012 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:10 pm to
Looks like everything’s gonna come down to how independents break.

Anecdotal, but I’m independent and hadn’t voted since 2004. Voted Trump 2 days ago.
Posted by 2024GoTigas
Member since Mar 2024
310 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:10 pm to
Posted by LSUminati
Member since Jan 2017
3792 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

Eric Daugherty reads my posts


Gotta give credit. Thanks to you, this is my sole focus for step 1 of the battle plan. I'm trying to block everything else out.

You can assume Trump in GA will be 0-+3.5 tagged to Duval, and then you can tag the poll errors for the rest.

This is the first test!

This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 1:12 pm
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
86699 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:12 pm to
Remember when 100% of bellweather things happened in 2020 that indicated Trump won??

Remember?
Posted by jvilletiger25
jacksonville, fl
Member since Jan 2014
19188 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:12 pm to
Dirty Donna (D) won the mayoral race for Jacksonville last election because of low turnout and all the females voting for her. Since then, she has raised Duval county’s taxes and pissed everyone off. Expect those R numbers to continue to rise throughout the day.
Posted by Mindenfan
Minden
Member since Sep 2006
4815 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:13 pm to
I was in Duval County yesterday. Saw no Trump signs. Saw 3 or 4 Harris/Walz signs
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
171595 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Gotta give credit. Thanks to you, this is my sole focus for step 1 of the battle plan. I'm trying to block everything else out.

Yeah. Duval Co is #1. That will tell you what Georgia does. North Carolina will follow Georgia closely.

Arizona seems like a Trump lock.
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
65899 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:13 pm to
Good to see Eric picking up tBoat's reporting on the boards.
Posted by Geauxld Finger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
32244 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:13 pm to
Is Duval a lot of Jewish snowbirds?
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
37920 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

Is Duval a lot of Jewish snowbirds?

Huge US Navy presence
Posted by htowntyger
Houston
Member since Aug 2014
32 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:19 pm to
no one on my street had a political sign up - one harris sign goes up - within 48 hours every other house had a trump sign
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