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re: Israel vs Alabama. Covid

Posted on 8/22/21 at 7:29 am to
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39682 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 7:29 am to
quote:

Great analysis

No it’s not.

That’s a terrible analysis. Data from Israel shows incredible effectiveness of the vaxxine in limiting hospitalizations and death.
Posted by Tchefuncte Tiger
Bat'n Rudge
Member since Oct 2004
57348 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 7:52 am to
Doesn't matter. Eighteen National Championships.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
16453 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:00 am to
quote:

Delta Variant


And how are we testing for this?
Posted by NineLineBind
LA....no, the other one
Member since May 2020
6960 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:06 am to
quote:

Gumps by 52.

Wait... neutral field?

I’m guessing Israel will be in the SEC east after the next round of realignment.
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
4445 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:16 am to
quote:


That’s a terrible analysis. Data from Israel shows incredible effectiveness of the vaxxine in limiting hospitalizations and death.


Explain. Death rates are down everywhere, regardless of pct vacinated.

Don't you think it could be because Delta is less deadly?
Posted by Crimson K
Tuscaloosa
Member since Dec 2018
4632 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:16 am to
quote:

Latest Peak

.........Pop..vax%.Cases*Deaths*
Ala,,,...5m...36%....3680....25
Israel...9m...80%....6990....21
. The cases numbers don’t look so good here, but we have known for a while that the vaccines weren’t Acting as advertised and preventing infection.
The good news, at least for now, is that the death numbers seem to show a strong trend to support the idea that the vaccines are dramatically decreasing the death rate. We will see if that holds true over time.
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
4445 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:17 am to
The death rates are down everywhere you look, regardless of vac rate.
Posted by Statestreet
Gueydan
Member since Sep 2008
12961 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:19 am to
quote:

No it’s not.

That’s a terrible analysis. Data from Israel shows incredible effectiveness of the vaxxine in limiting hospitalizations and death.



you need to update your knowledge of what’s happening in Israel
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
11962 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:25 am to
The fact that the vax is not working is scary as hell
Posted by BamaGradinTn
Murfreesboro
Member since Dec 2008
26993 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:36 am to
quote:

Regardless, it seems to challenge the hypotheses that the vaccine mitigates severity of illness.


Phil Valentine is looking down on you this morning and calling bullshite.

Actually, what he's really telling you this morning is that you're a fricking idiot if you don't get vaccinated.
This post was edited on 8/22/21 at 8:38 am
Posted by BaldEagleHey
Member since May 2020
452 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:44 am to
You may want to go look that up.

In the last week, Israel's covid hospitalizations and deaths have been 90% breakthrough.

The vax wears out and people die.
Posted by AUX3
Member since Dec 2010
3452 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 8:46 am to
Who are the people that died from the vaccine looking down at? Your dumb arse post?

Nobody that disagrees with the Op are using the numbers to explain their disagreements.

CoVID doesn’t care if your Vax or Not, it will take you out if it wants to, but nearly every time it doesn’t want to. That’s what the numbers indicate
Posted by Willie Stroker
Member since Sep 2008
12981 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 9:01 am to
quote:

No it’s not.

That’s a terrible analysis. Data from Israel shows incredible effectiveness of the vaxxine in limiting hospitalizations and death.


Now control for obesity and age. Does it still look incredible?
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
31078 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 9:08 am to
Only explanation is the vaccine doesn’t work as well as they thought it would.

Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27972 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 9:22 am to
quote:

Delta Variant is less deadly?

Yes

Plus, Bama is easily trafficked allowing for much more natural immunity to have occurred. Israel, not so much
Posted by AUstar
Member since Dec 2012
17062 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 9:23 am to
CDC's data don't show that. Quote from a recent CDC study looking at 10,000,000 New Yorkers:

quote:

During May 3–July 25, 2021, the overall age-adjusted vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization in New York was relatively stable (91.9%–95.3%). The overall age-adjusted vaccine effectiveness against infection for all New York adults declined from 91.7% to 79.8%.


So, protection against hospitalization is still above 90% (didn't change with Delta). However, Delta has decreased vaccine efficacy against infection. Went from 91% down to 80%. CDC Study

Another CDC study looked at mRNA efficacy against hospitalization in adults. They looked at 1,129 patients in hospitals in 18 states. They monitored them for 24 weeks. From 2-12 weeks, the efficacy was 86%. From 12-24 weeks the efficacy was 84%. So essentially the same. This shows that the vaccine is still over 80% effective at 6 months (in regard to hospitalization). LINK

Posted by La Place Mike
West Florida Republic
Member since Jan 2004
28843 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 9:25 am to
quote:

Gumps by 52.

Wait... neutral field?


Going with Israel. They have Nukes.
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
4445 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 9:40 am to
quote:

During May 3–July 25, the overall, age-adjusted VE against hospitalization was generally stable from 91.9% to 95.3% (Figure 2) (Table). The ratio of hospitalizations to cases was moderately lower among fully vaccinated (13.1 hospitalizations per 100 cases) compared with unvaccinated (19.0 hospitalizations per 100 cases) groups.


"The ratio of hospitalizations to cases was moderately lower among fully vaccinated (13.1 hospitalizations per 100 cases) compared with unvaccinated (19.0 hospitalizations per 100 cases) groups."

Here is another

quote:

 symptoms, was limited. However, a supplementary analysis found that among 1,271 fully vaccinated adults and 7,308 unvaccinated adults, 545 (42.9%) and 4,245 (58.1%), respectively, were reported to have been admitted for COVID-19 by hospital staff members using nonstandardized definitions


And finally, this caviat...

quote:

However, VE against infection appears to have declined in recent months in New York, coinciding with a period of easing societal public health restrictions††† and increasing Delta variant circulation (8). These findings support a multipronged approach to reducing new COVID-19 hospitalizations and cases, centered on vaccination, and including other approaches such as masking and physical distancing.


Which is basically an admission that the effectiveness has wained as Delta infections have grown.

And that is a major issue with this study. It was performed as infections were shifting from the old strain to the new.

Secondly, there are currently 3 million unvacinated people in Alabama. There are 1.8 million unvaxed in Israel.

Alabama has a significantly more obese population and a significantly older population.

Further, it is logical to assume that, given an 80% vaccination rate in Israel, there are considerably fewer opt outs among adults, considering the predominant anti vax skepticism in Alabama

So, adjusting for all this, why are current death rates virtually equivalent?
This post was edited on 8/22/21 at 9:59 am
Posted by Larry_Hotdogs
Texas
Member since Jun 2019
1348 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 9:51 am to
PCR test has always been bogus due to false positives. Also, cases are reported as number of tests, not someone that may have been tested more than once..

There’s so much obfuscation and bullshite in the stats if you read the fine print. Media psy-op mass psychosis.
Posted by RickDorf
Nothing to prove Nothing to lose
Member since Jan 2021
3294 posts
Posted on 8/22/21 at 10:07 am to
quote:

If you're watching your tv we're in a global pandemic. If you throw your tv out of the window it's just another Friday.

It's really that simple.


Holy shite. Somebody gets it.

Basically this, if you're waiting for the media and liberals to suddenly turn around and embrace your ideals, you'll be waiting forever. Go out and live dammit.
This post was edited on 8/22/21 at 10:08 am
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