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Started By
Message
re: Rt Down to 1.10 state wide. Many large pop areas like EBR, Orleans, Jefferson below 1.0
Posted on 8/8/21 at 8:31 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
Posted on 8/8/21 at 8:31 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:
Of course, but that's silly, especially if vaccinated and natural immunity gets as high as it is now.
Not when hospitals are full like they are now. A drop in cases will result in a noticeable difference in hospital capacity.
0
Posted on 8/8/21 at 8:33 pm to calcotron
quote:
I didn't click on every state, but there seems to be a trend of the southern (less vaccinated) states being past their delta peaks, where in the north and midwest the Rt is rising or flat. Someone needs to dig into that.
There isn’t much to dig into. Pandemic waves move through different areas at different times.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 8:47 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:
Pandemic waves move through different areas at different times.
yepp..stay tuned for the narrative shifts once the northern (more vaccinated) states get their outbreak
Posted on 8/8/21 at 9:03 pm to rocket31
Why should I get a shot to ‘save’ the society that has done nothing but vilify my demographic for the past decade?
Posted on 8/8/21 at 10:09 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:
You’re short-sighted. Less cases will result in less hospitalizations and less deaths - even though both are lower in terms of per case capita this time around.
That's only true if testing, or criteria for testing is consistent throughout. If you test more you'll find more cases whether its severe or not. If you don't test much then you won't get many cases but you'll have just as many serious outcomes.
Posted on 8/9/21 at 6:42 am to STEVED00
quote:
Obviously the last 4 days of masks ended this thing.
The 4 days of masks that no one wore outside of the Marigny? lol
Posted on 8/9/21 at 6:46 am to STEVED00
quote:
Obviously the last 4 days of masks ended this thing.
When JBE touts this as the reason, he needs to be met with major backlash. I’ve seen rough 30-40% (and it’s only that high due to 90% of a demographic wearing it) compliance here in EBR
Posted on 8/9/21 at 6:47 am to BeepNode
quote:
That's only true if testing, or criteria for testing is consistent throughout. If you test more you'll find more cases whether its severe or not. If you don't test much then you won't get many cases but you'll have just as many serious outcomes.
I also feel the cases are going to be skewed bc vaccinated folks with minor symptoms probably weren’t getting tested or just weren’t tested in they were seeking minor medical care. I mean why would a vaccinated person have even considered getting tested back in late May/early June?
That being said, I feel vaccinated people probably weren’t the superspreaders some are making them out to be but the data seems clear that the virus was still spreading through the population even in areas of high vaccination rates (just hospitalizations didn’t spike).
Posted on 8/9/21 at 6:48 am to udtiger
quote:
These should have been the only metrics ever considered (or reported)
Yes and no
Hospitalizations are the most important factor as it relates to severity but hospitalizations can only come from people testing covid positive so it’s also important to report positive cases.
Posted on 8/9/21 at 6:51 am to SlidellCajun
quote:
Hospitalizations are the most important factor as it relates to severity but hospitalizations can only come from people testing covid positive so it’s also important to report positive cases.
Here is the problem. I believe certain folks should definitely be tracking cases among other things. The problem is that the media or politicians take that and run with it in ways that really just cause distrust.
I firmly believe La was caught with the pants down in this last surge. Reviewing the data, the ones in the know could have seen this coming in early July. Staffing requests could’ve been made then.
Posted on 8/9/21 at 6:53 am to SlidellCajun
quote:
Hospitalizations are the most important factor
Ummm, no. Empty beds don’t make any money.... leaving the most important metric up to hospitals is precisely why we are here.... and people like yourself.
Deaths are the most important metric. Particularly deaths in this supporting the economy
Posted on 8/9/21 at 6:54 am to Klark Kent
quote:
Yet the media is focusing their COVID coverage on The South.
Largely conservative, less vax rate than other parts of the country. There’s always a political angle.
Posted on 8/9/21 at 6:56 am to DeafJam73
correct. And DeSantis is always going to be in the crosshairs until 2024.
Posted on 8/9/21 at 6:57 am to STEVED00
Yea I think the percent positive rate was skewed for that reason. During the previous wave we had tons of people participating in mass testing events, testing for the sake of testing.
Leading into this one, that had ended and the people being tested were sick. Obviously, a higher percentage of those tested would actually be positive.
Leading into this one, that had ended and the people being tested were sick. Obviously, a higher percentage of those tested would actually be positive.
Posted on 8/9/21 at 7:02 am to SlidellCajun
quote:
Hospitalizations are the most important factor
from the beginning it's been
cases
hospitalizations
ventilators
deaths
%positive
%vaccinated
the goal posts are continuously being moved.
Posted on 8/9/21 at 7:23 am to STEVED00
Parish breakdown (64 in total)
As of 07/30/21
Under 1.0: 2
Between 1.0 and 1.10: 1
As of 8/7/21
Under 1.0: 21
Between 1.0 and 1.10: 10
As of 07/30/21
Under 1.0: 2
Between 1.0 and 1.10: 1
As of 8/7/21
Under 1.0: 21
Between 1.0 and 1.10: 10
This post was edited on 8/9/21 at 7:25 am
Posted on 8/9/21 at 7:27 am to bbap
Good stuff.
The site has not updated in a day and a half. Curious to see what it says today. Hoping the jump is pretty large bc continued trend down.
The site has not updated in a day and a half. Curious to see what it says today. Hoping the jump is pretty large bc continued trend down.
This post was edited on 8/9/21 at 7:30 am
Posted on 8/9/21 at 7:29 am to TaderSalad
Hospitalizations are the most important metric. If there is spare hospital capacity who cares about cases because there is NO reason for any restrictions, either individual or large gatherings.
Posted on 8/9/21 at 7:31 am to STEVED00
Yeah today's update should be two days worth to catch up for the weekend.
Posted on 8/9/21 at 7:34 am to bbap
quote:
Yeah today's update should be two days worth to catch up for the weekend.
Honestly I think the increased vaccinations might increase the speed of decline. That is assuming a large swath of the newly vaccinated were people on the higher risk side though I’m not sure that is the case.
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