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Posted on 8/8/21 at 3:25 pm to Sun God
quote:tks....
You’re a sharp one
Posted on 8/8/21 at 3:53 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:
It’s still incredible useful even if it changes. A reduction in case load will always result in a reduction in hospitalizations and deaths. This is true for the common cold.
Of course, but that's silly, especially if vaccinated and natural immunity gets as high as it is now.
It's not useful to scare people with 150,000 cases a day if it's only resulting in a tiny fraction of hospitalization and death, even if that fraction has predictive value. That fraction is going to get smaller and smaller, so focusing on case counts with the public is damaging and won't let us move forward.
It will get to the point like saying the number of plane flights is predictive of plane crashes. That's not useful.
This post was edited on 8/8/21 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 8/8/21 at 3:53 pm to fightin tigers
But of course. Mostly people regardless of level of education are clueless
Posted on 8/8/21 at 3:55 pm to CitizenK
Most only want data that offers confirmation bias instead of welcoming data that offers a more complicated view of a complex subject.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 3:56 pm to STEVED00
But it’s above 1.0 which means cases will increase in the near future
Posted on 8/8/21 at 4:13 pm to SlidellCajun
quote:
But it’s above 1.0 which means cases will increase in the near future
Average statewide is 1.10 at least as of last data run. Metro areas of New Orleans and BR are below 1.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 4:18 pm to STEVED00
quote:
Average statewide is 1.10 at least as of last data run. Metro areas of New Orleans and BR are below 1.
West side of the state still above 1 which makes sense as many of those parishes didn’t start seeing the spike until a week of two after BR on east.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 4:23 pm to Tigerfan1274
quote:
West side of the state still above 1 which makes sense as many of those parishes didn’t start seeing the spike until a week of two after BR on east.
The curve for Delta has been pretty consistent all over the US. A really steep rise followed by an equally steep decline. It is quite fascinating looking at the data.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 4:31 pm to STEVED00
JBE when Jaycee shows him this.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 4:34 pm to STEVED00
quote:
There is an “available” bed issue at OLOL. They don’t have enough nurses apparently. I’ve heard that nurse staffing has been an issue in La for sometime but I’m sure the current situation has exacerbated the problem.
The issue is there aren’t enough hero’s work here signs.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 4:34 pm to STEVED00
quote:
The curve for Delta has been pretty consistent all over the US. A really steep rise followed by an equally steep decline. It is quite fascinating looking at the data.
And politicians continue to ignore it. It’s amazing.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 4:36 pm to waiting4saturday
quote:
The issue is there aren’t enough hero’s work here signs.
That and tic toc servers running out of room.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 4:45 pm to Epic Cajun
quote:
It’s because of the mask mandate from last week.
The reason they did a mask mandate is because they know delta rapidly declines so if they make people wear masks they will have the was going to happen anyways steep decline and proclaim themselves as heroes, that masks work, and we believe in science.
This post was edited on 8/8/21 at 4:46 pm
Posted on 8/8/21 at 4:55 pm to WylieTiger
quote:
At this point people can do as they please. Live their lives how they see fit.
Fauci and the Dems will never let us do that.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 5:41 pm to SlidellCajun
quote:
But it’s above 1.0 which means cases will increase in the near future
It's also only current through 8/6. They don't update the site as quickly over the weekend.
It's been dropping by roughly .05 if not more every day, meaning Monday or Tuesday at the latest should have the whole state under 1.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 8:16 pm to bbap
I didn't click on every state, but there seems to be a trend of the southern (less vaccinated) states being past their delta peaks, where in the north and midwest the Rt is rising or flat. Someone needs to dig into that.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 8:21 pm to calcotron
So did Delta come through the Southern border / I-10 corridor?
Posted on 8/8/21 at 8:29 pm to udtiger
quote:
Hospital admissions FROM (not with) COVID
ICU hospitalizations FROM (not with) COVID
ICU hospitalizations with vents FROM (not with) COVID
Deaths FROM (not with) COVID
At any one time we have never had more than 5% of our population infected with Covid. That means that it is statistically improbable that the difference in hospitalizations with covid differs from hospitalizations from covid by more than 5%. I would bet those numbers are almost identical. Same for deaths and vents.
I agree that it should never have been about cases; everything else you wrote is rubbish.
Posted on 8/8/21 at 8:29 pm to WylieTiger
quote:
So did Delta come through the Southern border / I-10 corridor?
No idea. Who's to say it's all delta anyway, I'm sure there is some fake data on that too. More looking around the states, there are some random outliers. I guess with cities being the real case drivers, looking by state washes out a bunch of things.
Anyway, I wish this page was hospitalizations and deaths vs. cases. I am sure there are some nuts out there who just love to go get tested because they almost feel a little off - also known as not sick.
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