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Message
Looking at the electoral map
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:13 am
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:13 am
So after taking a look at the map Trump has to hold Ohio, Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina while winning one of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, or Virginia. So what do y’all think the most likely of those states is to go Trump?
This post was edited on 9/23/20 at 11:18 am
25
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:14 am to OGtigerfan87
Pennsylvania, especially after the ruling that they couldn't accept naked ballots.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:14 am to OGtigerfan87
Pennsylvania is Trump country. They worship him there. Drive from Philadelphia to Pittsburgh and it’s nothing but Trump shrines.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:14 am to OGtigerfan87
Well not VA
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:14 am to OGtigerfan87
I don’t know, but I think PA is likely to go Trump again.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:15 am to OGtigerfan87
quote:
Ohio, Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina while winning one of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, or Virginia
No chance in Virginia, you should include Minnesota, Nevada, and New Hampshire in your group.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:15 am to OGtigerfan87
quote:
Trump has to hold Ohio, Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina
Both AZ and NC will be challenges, but Trump looking better there by the day (as the "polls" are adjusted closer to election so they don't look so biased and silly).
quote:
winning one of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, or Virginia.
You like MI don't you baw?
I think VA will be the biggest challenge there. I think MI, PA and WI will all be razor close no matter what.
Frankly, it all comes down to how successful the Dems are in cheating in those 3 states. Trump probably increases his EC votes over 2016 in a clean election.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:16 am to OGtigerfan87
I see him holding the ones you speak of.
I also think Wisconsin and Minnesota break for him.
I also think Wisconsin and Minnesota break for him.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:16 am to Ace Midnight
quote:this has always been the correct answer
Frankly, it all comes down to how successful the Dems are in cheating in those 3 states.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:19 am to The Boat
What possible reason would people in Pennsylvania have for voting against Trump? Or any state that he won in 2016 for that matter. No such reason exists.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:21 am to OGtigerfan87
Minnesota. The iron range swinging to Trump is Game-Set-Match
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:22 am to OGtigerfan87
This would be the most likely outcome based on polling today assuming Trump wins states where Biden polls with less than a 4% lead. I think there are several reasons that Trump under-polls and that 3-4% would be a good margin.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:22 am to OGtigerfan87
Virginia isn’t in play. New Hampshire goes red
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:23 am to OGtigerfan87
I think Trump takes Wisconsin. Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Minnesota will all be razor close. I think Virginia is a lock for Biden.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:25 am to kingbob
I think the whole race will come down to Pennsylvania.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:26 am to OGtigerfan87
If history holds, I think he'd have to win Ohio also. I'm pretty sure Ohio has been a presidential bellwether state for more than 50 years.
I suppose in the end it might be anecdotal and not exactly causal, but still.
I suppose in the end it might be anecdotal and not exactly causal, but still.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:26 am to kingbob
quote:
I think Trump takes Wisconsin. Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Minnesota will all be razor close. I think Virginia is a lock for Biden.
I can see that.
Also NH goes red.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:28 am to Abraham H Parnassis
quote:
If history holds, I think he'd have to win Ohio also. I'm pretty sure Ohio has been a presidential bellwether state for more than 50 years.
Ohio is solid red this year, IMO.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:30 am to Abraham H Parnassis
quote:
f history holds, I think he'd have to win Ohio also. I'm pretty sure Ohio has been a presidential bellwether state for more than 50 years.
I suppose in the end it might be anecdotal and not exactly causal, but still.
Ohio is pretty much a lock for Trump I believe. No Republican has won the presidency without Ohio though.
PA is going to be the close one.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:31 am to fjlee90
Texas needs to get off the California business recruiting trail before its too late .
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