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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:34 pm to
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33595 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

Well, it's poor management and planning then, at the individual hospital level - we've made some many ventilators, we can roll around in them. Even if that turns out to be "not optimal" therapy for COVID, they have all those adapters for Bipap/Cpap for months.
It wasn't commentary about ventilators.

quote:


The problem is - we became a country where THE ONLY MEDICAL ISSUE IS COVID for 3 months. And now folks are needing procedures. Call a heart cath or even a screening colonoscopy "elective" all you want - until it is the difference between life saving intervention and death.
Very explicitly, they said they were full up with covid patients.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6873 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:53 pm to
1st the bad news, my home PC is refusing to allow me to remote into it...so no update to the tracker today. The good news, we will be home tomorrow, we had to cut our trip short and are headed back home in the AM. Tracker will be updated tomorrow evening.
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 6:54 pm
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1588 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 7:00 pm to
NJ just dumped again to put it in the 930's. What is up with them?

Cali dumped a bunch. Over 1,000. Cali has 246.
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 7:02 pm
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111611 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

Very explicitly, they said they were full up with covid patients.


In Seattle?

Everything I’ve seen says Seattle area hospitals have plenty of room.
LINK
Posted by WitoldPilecki
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2020
207 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 7:25 pm to
These numbers over the past few days have to be skewed. I just don’t see how we were declining in deaths over a long period and now we are going back up. We are being played. Memorial hospital in Lake Charles is full of patients but I know for a fact (I work there and several high echelon there have said this) that they are being held a couple nights in order to get 30k from the government. The MSM takes this and causes more panic.

My coworkers mother in law is at Lafayette general with kidney problems and can’t get into a room because the rooms are all Covid patients. People who really need help are going to die because of Covid patients
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 7:30 pm
Posted by vl100butch
Ridgeland, MS
Member since Sep 2005
34680 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

Chromedome, I keep an eye on Louisiana and compute two stats...

death rate of cases reported, which continues to drop, my calculation is 4.8% today

percentage of tests performed to cases reported, which is 8.1% today...

I'm going to track this for a week or so and post daily...

So for Tuesday 7 July...death rate of cases reported, 4.7%; tests performed to cases reported 8.05%

For Wednesday, 8 July - death rate of cases reported, still at 4.7%; tests performed to cases reported 8.1%


Thursday, 9 July - death rate of cases reported, dropped to 4.5%; tests performed to cases reported, up to 8.17%
Posted by SgtDonnyDonowitz
Member since Jun 2020
162 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 7:55 pm to
So when there's a flimsy vaccine that becomes mandatory for you to do virtually anything who's gonna cave and take it ?
Posted by SmithsAuFan
San Diego, CA
Member since Jul 2013
1665 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:05 pm to
I think NJ has to be holding back information. California reports at like midnight though, so their numbers are almost always yesterday.
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8141 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:22 pm to
Has anyone commented on the odd similarity of Sweden’s case and death curves to the US but on a shorter time scale? Initial surge in cases and peak in deaths, then gradual, consistent decline in deaths coupled with a peak in cases. It’s fascinating.

ETA: its possible, of course, that the rise in deaths this week is the preface of a new rise in cases and not a blip.
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 8:27 pm
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33595 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:22 pm to
quote:


In Seattle?

Everything I’ve seen says Seattle area hospitals have plenty of room.
Me too. It's why I was surprised to hear it.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111611 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:42 pm to
quote:

Has anyone commented on the odd similarity of Sweden’s case and death curves to the US but on a shorter time scale? Initial surge in cases and peak in deaths, then gradual, consistent decline in deaths coupled with a peak in cases. It’s fascinating.


The US was always going to take longer because of sheer size. Another reason it was stupid to close up in places that didn’t have an out break yet.

Each location will take 60 days or so for the virus to run its course. And it looks like the senior living facilities were hit first because of hospital connectivity. Now the younger folks and working folks are getting it.

And more rural areas are seeing outbreaks.

We’re going to be dealing with this for at least three more months. But the lethality of it has probably already seen its peak.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:51 pm to
Nailed it. Every curve in every area looks the same, it’s just a factor of population density and testing availability that determines timing of peak and magnitude, respectively
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33595 posts
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:10 am to
Cases rising, so why deaths declining?

Take this piece FWIW. This guy is actually a very interesting economist and one of the few I respect at The Atlantic.

However, this article seems needlessly pessimistic. And he leaves out some crucial points, IMO.

The only thing, however, that it seems like is not discussed enough on this thread is non-lethal impact of the virus (even on healthy/young people).

What say ye?

LINK
Posted by TigerCruise
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11898 posts
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:44 am to
I'll say maybe 6 funerals for George Floyd was a few too many

The problems in Houston are a direct result
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
10151 posts
Posted on 7/10/20 at 2:51 am to
quote:

The only thing, however, that it seems like is not discussed enough on this thread is non-lethal impact of the virus (even on healthy/young people).

I'm not sure what I'm supposed to look for in that link.

One of the studies on asymptomatic cases was on 10 patients with a mean age of 65 years old. 2 were there for treatment of underlying disorders and 3 others were there for surgical operations. So 50% had other health issues at the outset and they were all older. Hardly the healthy/young.

One other study states: Limitations of the study include the lack of information on symptom history before acute COVID-19 illness and the lack of details on symptom severity... without a control group of patients discharged for other reasons. Patients with community-acquired pneumonia can also have persistent symptoms, suggesting that these findings may not be exclusive to COVID-19

Ages were 19-84 (avg 56.5)...many with pre-existing conditions...avg hospital stay of 14 days and study questions were asked within 60 days of first onset. You lay very many 57 ( I know it's an average) year olds up for 2 weeks and you will have some folks complaining of issues 1 month later ie. fatigue etc...

It's still to early to tell what long term effects, if any, may be seen.

I know some people who have had it...who doesn't? Most have bounced back to normal quickly. I'm going to go with that.

I promise Chrome...no more long replies after the graphs are back up.
Posted by DrPsychLSU
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2020
2 posts
Posted on 7/10/20 at 8:26 am to
Here's a good site from StatNews that shows the curves in every country, every state, every county/parish. I live in New Orleans but am working in Galveston...you compare those two curves and its scary

LINK
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
10151 posts
Posted on 7/10/20 at 8:43 am to
quote:

Here's a good site from StatNews

That's nice...thanks for posting it.
Posted by SgtDonnyDonowitz
Member since Jun 2020
162 posts
Posted on 7/10/20 at 10:06 am to
Could covid be code for climate change ? It sure seems that way
Posted by vl100butch
Ridgeland, MS
Member since Sep 2005
34680 posts
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

Chromedome, I keep an eye on Louisiana and compute two stats...

death rate of cases reported, which continues to drop, my calculation is 4.8% today

percentage of tests performed to cases reported, which is 8.1% today...

I'm going to track this for a week or so and post daily...

So for Tuesday 7 July...death rate of cases reported, 4.7%; tests performed to cases reported 8.05%

For Wednesday, 8 July - death rate of cases reported, still at 4.7%; tests performed to cases reported 8.1%

Thursday, 9 July - death rate of cases reported, dropped to 4.5%; tests performed to cases reported, up to 8.17%


Friday, 10 July - death rate of cases reported, dropped to 4.38%; tests performed to cases reported, up to 8.24%
Posted by TigerCruise
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11898 posts
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:16 pm to
Deaths look to be down today so far.

I think we saw a whole lot of dumping the last 2 days
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