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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 7/9/20 at 10:37 am to
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1597 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 10:37 am to
Yep. 75 for Arizona. Going to be a big big number today.

Likely well over 1000.
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 10:43 am
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111719 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 10:50 am to
Eh.
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1597 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 10:56 am to
Only bothers me because they will start restricting things.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111719 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 10:59 am to
DeSantis has played this pretty well. I don’t think he’s going to fold based on a few days of data.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89715 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 11:14 am to
quote:

Only bothers me because they will start restricting things.


The riots being basically untouchable should have killed this notion like Boothe killed Lincoln.

(What? Too soon?)
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1597 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 11:15 am to
I agree, but DeSantis isn't making the call. Mayors and counties are shutting things down.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111719 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 11:27 am to
Yeah. We just have to let that play out.
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1597 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 2:07 pm to
Numbers looking better lately. Might be lower than it looked before.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89715 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 2:53 pm to
Obviously things can change, but deaths looking lower than the past two days, could be more in line with last week's mid-week numbers. Still time left, though.
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1597 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 3:03 pm to
Probably 800's. Just a guess.
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36776 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 4:35 pm to
yeah depending on late day reports our 7 day average of deaths is headed back in time. last time it was as high as it was back a couple weeks ago.

I find that 7 day average is key so it helps smooth out those stuck in reports.

hopefully this treand is just a little bump though and it's headed back down.
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1597 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 4:57 pm to
Currently 806. Figured 800's.
Posted by baybeefeetz
Member since Sep 2009
31666 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 5:42 pm to
Hopefully. That's the trillion dollar question.

Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89715 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

Probably 800's. Just a guess.




WoM has 821. Good guess.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:06 pm to
Is 821 the final WOM number for the day? If so, that's not so bad honestly.

Next Tuesday-Thursday will be the most important numbers in a long time.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89715 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Is 821 the final WOM number for the day?


I don't think so. ETA: But it can't be long before they close - they're on GMT, IIRC (so 53 minutes to go).
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 6:08 pm
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89715 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

If so, that's not so bad honestly.


Just ticked up to 823 while we were talking and no, not bad when you consider that just California, Arizona and Florida combined for ~325 - so less than 500 for the other 47 States and territories combined. And Texas is the only other state out of the low 30s.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33667 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:21 pm to
Anecdotally, but from medical execs I trust, I heard some pretty bad stuff about ICUs the past 2 days. Mostly focused in Seattle and greater Washington. Described the UW system as "broken".
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36776 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:24 pm to
That takes our average back in time till about 6/24 7 day average rolling death numbers so a little further back in time each day.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89715 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 6:25 pm to
quote:

, I heard some pretty bad stuff about ICUs the past 2 days.


Well, it's poor management and planning then, at the individual hospital level - we've made some many ventilators, we can roll around in them. Even if that turns out to be "not optimal" therapy for COVID, they have all those adapters for Bipap/Cpap for months.

The problem is - we became a country where THE ONLY MEDICAL ISSUE IS COVID for 3 months. And now folks are needing procedures. Call a heart cath or even a screening colonoscopy "elective" all you want - until it is the difference between life saving intervention and death.

What we've done is the equivalent of "fighting the water" with the Wuhan Flu for damned near 4 months. We should be swimming through. The hospitals know how to do this - they handle huge surges of flu patients every year. They just needed to scale up for this.

4 months was enough time to prepare for this, especially with Uncle Sam just itching to throw money at the problem.
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