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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 6/25/20 at 5:20 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 6/25/20 at 5:20 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link New COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable New COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link New COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable New COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted on 6/25/20 at 5:20 pm to Chromdome35
Do ya'll think this is a fair summary of the present situation:
Daily death toll (not rate) has plummeted almost 80% - despite the big pick up in confirmed cases and rate of positives per test. This would seem to imply one or more of several things:
--the vulnerable are successfully self-isolating
--less vulnerable populations don't seem to have much overall risk of severity
--we are getting better at treatment
--as infections have picked up in non-NYC geographies, viral load per infection is much lower - meaning severity of impact is much lower
--current serological extrapolations imply about 8X wider infection than the confirmed numbers indicate. This puts the death rate around 80bps...essentially, the big remaining question is where in the range of 20bps - 80bps we will ultimately wind up
--there are a couple of alarming outliers - Houston and Yakima both appear to have maxed out their ICU beds
To me - it seems like good/great news almost all the way around. At the very least, cause for cautious optimism...right?
Daily death toll (not rate) has plummeted almost 80% - despite the big pick up in confirmed cases and rate of positives per test. This would seem to imply one or more of several things:
--the vulnerable are successfully self-isolating
--less vulnerable populations don't seem to have much overall risk of severity
--we are getting better at treatment
--as infections have picked up in non-NYC geographies, viral load per infection is much lower - meaning severity of impact is much lower
--current serological extrapolations imply about 8X wider infection than the confirmed numbers indicate. This puts the death rate around 80bps...essentially, the big remaining question is where in the range of 20bps - 80bps we will ultimately wind up
--there are a couple of alarming outliers - Houston and Yakima both appear to have maxed out their ICU beds
To me - it seems like good/great news almost all the way around. At the very least, cause for cautious optimism...right?
This post was edited on 6/25/20 at 5:31 pm
Posted on 6/25/20 at 5:24 pm to Big Scrub TX
I agree with most of that
Positivity rate among those 65+ being tested has not increased in flarda accordinggto desantis
Positivity rate among those 65+ being tested has not increased in flarda accordinggto desantis
Posted on 6/25/20 at 5:30 pm to Chromdome35
42K new cases today, easily the highest number of new cases we've seen since the outbreak began. Today was up 3K over yesteray, 14.4K over last week (a 52% increase) and 8.9K above the 7 day rolling average.
Testing was 640K!!! today which is the highest testing volume we've seen to date. Even with such a high volume of tests, the positivity rate was 6.5%, 1.2% over last week and .4% above the average. With this volume of testing, you would hope the positivity rate would be down, it wasn't.
Deaths @ 652 today which is 70 below yesterday, 41 below last week, but 91 (16%) above the 7 day average. The decline in deaths continues to flatten out.
Mortality is down to 4.82% and falling.
Testing was 640K!!! today which is the highest testing volume we've seen to date. Even with such a high volume of tests, the positivity rate was 6.5%, 1.2% over last week and .4% above the average. With this volume of testing, you would hope the positivity rate would be down, it wasn't.
Deaths @ 652 today which is 70 below yesterday, 41 below last week, but 91 (16%) above the 7 day average. The decline in deaths continues to flatten out.
Mortality is down to 4.82% and falling.
Posted on 6/25/20 at 6:04 pm to Chromdome35
So NJ dumped 1877 probable deaths into today's numbers putting the US death toll for today at 2500, a large increase vs our current run rates. Obviously, this spikes every rolling average and growth rate number. It will impact every tracker being kept.
I removed those extra deaths today; however, if NJ doesn't reverse its decision (it has happened before) then I will need to allow them to come into the tracker and it will screw up the graphs for a while.
It is very frustrating that at this point in the pandemic the CDC, Federal Government, Whoever, hasn't established national guidelines on how to report COVID. Each state seems to be rolling their own methodology. It's very frustrating.
I removed those extra deaths today; however, if NJ doesn't reverse its decision (it has happened before) then I will need to allow them to come into the tracker and it will screw up the graphs for a while.
It is very frustrating that at this point in the pandemic the CDC, Federal Government, Whoever, hasn't established national guidelines on how to report COVID. Each state seems to be rolling their own methodology. It's very frustrating.
Posted on 6/25/20 at 6:26 pm to Chromdome35
quote:Eh. If healthy folks are getting back to their lives, this is right in line with what we'd expect. Got to keep our eyes on this:
Testing was 640K!!! today which is the highest testing volume we've seen to date. Even with such a high volume of tests, the positivity rate was 6.5%, 1.2% over last week and .4% above the average. With this volume of testing, you would hope the positivity rate would be down, it wasn't.
quote:
Deaths @ 652 today which is 70 below yesterday, 41 below last week, but 91 (16%) above the 7 day average.
Posted on 6/25/20 at 7:04 pm to Big Scrub TX
Pretty good summation.
Posted on 6/25/20 at 9:00 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
but 91 (16%) above the 7 day average.
But Thursday is typically one of the highest death report days, so how much does this actually mean?
Posted on 6/25/20 at 11:32 pm to Eat Your Crow
Can anyone tell me what event took place in Houston 2+ weeks ago
Posted on 6/26/20 at 8:00 am to Chromdome35
So since the CDC director is saying that cases of coronavirus are likely 10 fold to what is reported, wouldn’t that make the death rate more like .482% instead of 4.82%? This is going to wind up being .1% or less when it’s all said and done, based on that revelation.
Posted on 6/26/20 at 8:01 am to TigerCruise
quote:
Can anyone tell me what event took place in Houston 2+ weeks ago
Small businesses dared to open their doors again.
I feel bad for those peaceful protestors. The draft from those open small businesses infected them all. /s
Posted on 6/26/20 at 9:13 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
--there are a couple of alarming outliers - Houston and Yakima both appear to have maxed out their ICU beds
Did they max out due to covid OR did they max out due to normal needs for icu beds? Bypass surgery, accidents, stroke, etc? I truly don't know so am asking.
Posted on 6/26/20 at 9:24 am to ForeverGator
quote:
So since the CDC director is saying that cases of coronavirus are likely 10 fold to what is reported, wouldn’t that make the death rate more like .482% instead of 4.82%? This is going to wind up being .1% or less when it’s all said and done, based on that revelation.
It sounds low, but assuming that's right, that's about 5x as lethal as flu and to get to herd immunity at that fatality rate, we could end up with over 1 million deaths. (0.00482 x 0.7 x 330M Americans) where that 0.7 is the roughly 70% of population threshold to get to herd immunity. We've got to control the spread and lower the fatality rate.
This post was edited on 6/26/20 at 9:26 am
Posted on 6/26/20 at 9:59 am to TigerDoc
quote:
5x as lethal as flu
Run for the hills!!!
Posted on 6/26/20 at 10:59 am to the808bass
Leftists are such pussies and tools.
Posted on 6/26/20 at 11:11 am to Jwho77
Only pussies would want to avoid American fatalities twice that of Spanish flu!
Posted on 6/26/20 at 11:24 am to TigerDoc
Are you assuming with your numbers that Cuomo is going to keep killing his nursing home people?
Posted on 6/26/20 at 11:25 am to TigerDoc
Get out of this thread with your trash opinions and trash personality.
Posted on 6/26/20 at 11:28 am to the808bass
9000 cases in Florida is going to scare people today. Only 39 deaths though. Still no spike in deaths.
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