re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Good question

Any of you have the chart (NO clue which thread it was posted in) regarding infection % in Louisiana during quarantine, phase 1 and phase 2? There was no real difference from what I can remember ... I would like to share that with someone who thinks we need to close.

New Cases at 27.9K today a 50% increase over last Monday's 9.3K and just above the 7-day average. Today's cases are just below the all-time Monday high of 28.8K back on 4/6. The 7-day average growth rate for cases is up to 1.26%.

Testing was 474K today, which is a 26K improvement over last Monday but below yesterday by 24K and the 7 day average by 38K. The positivity rate was 5.9% which is up from yesterday (.6%), last Monday (1.7%) and the 7 Day avg (.5%) The near term graph of new Cases vs Positivity Rate clearly shows the real upticks in both.


Examine the plot of testing volume against positiivity.


And finally the plot of testing vs new cases


We are most certainly seeing an increase in new cases, the origin of which I think is still yet to be determined.

Deaths were at 285 today, the lowest number for a Monday since 3/23. Today's number of deaths represents a decline vs yesterday, last week, and the 7-day average. The 7-day average growth of deaths is at it's lowest ever and not flattening at this point. If the death curve starts to flatten out, then based on the current growth rate of cases, we may be in fora new spike in deaths.

The mortality rate fell below 5% for the first time. It will be interesting to see the actual mortality rate when they figure it out in the next couple of years.

thanks

quote:

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There’s a “spike” and there’s a spike.

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Exactly.

I use the state tabs. But however you want to do it is fine. I can click into multiple places.

32.9K new cases today, which is the highest Tuesday number yet. Cases are up to 6K from yesterday, 9.3K from last week (39.7% increase), and 4K above the 7-day rolling avg.

Testing was 511K today, with a positivity rate of 6.4%. The positivity rate is up 1.4% from last week and .9% over the 7-day average.

Deaths @ 775 today up 172% from yesterday, but it's Tuesday, so a spike is expected. The daily decline in the growth rate of deaths is definitely flattening.

Mortality is down to 4.93% and falling.

Thank you

Why? Just because someone is positive, doesn't mean death or hospitalization. There is a study out that says the number of positives this year in in the 80 million range in the United States. If that is the case, then this whole shutdown thing needs to go away.

The cure for COVID is not a vaccine. It's to agree to the Democrats demand to make all voting mail in and require no IDs. It will miraculously disappear.