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Started By
Message
Republicans in Texas are worried about 2020
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:25 am
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:25 am
LINK
If you're a right winger in Texas, you need to get active. We're going to need everyone if we're going to thwart the California money and voters that are going to pour in.
quote:
“Because of what happened organically on the Democrat side, Republicans in Texas have a large organizational gap that exists. In 2018, we simply did not have the kind of people and activists at the scale the Democrats enjoyed. This is a significant advantage the Democrats have going into this cycle,” Homan said.
Some Republicans argue that the Democrats’ success in Texas in 2018 might have been a fluke.
First term presidents typically lose seats in Congress in midterm elections. And, in Texas, Democratic Senate nominee Beto O’Rourke boosted Democrats down ticket with a campaign that, while falling just short, spent more than $70 million on the ground. That’s a gargantuan sum unlikely to be equaled in a presidential election cycle with plenty of other states on the map where money goes farther than it does in Texas, where campaigning and running ads is expensive.
This is of little comfort to many Republicans.
The Trump campaign is monitoring developments in the state, prepared to raise the threat level. O’Rourke is a possible presidential candidate, and another Texan, former Cabinet official Julian Castro, announced his bid for the Democratic nomination a few weeks ago. If either were on the ticket, even as the running mate, Texas would automatically be in play, fret Republican operatives focused on 2020.
If you're a right winger in Texas, you need to get active. We're going to need everyone if we're going to thwart the California money and voters that are going to pour in.
30
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:28 am to cokebottleag
They should be. TX will be blue within 5-10 years thanks to CA.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:28 am to cokebottleag
The problem isn't that right wing Texans are inactive.. the problem is that they're being overrun by people from California, Washington, Illinois, Mexico, etc.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:30 am to cokebottleag
Texas should be worried - they were too busy crowing about how big things were in Texas... like the gaps in the border fences.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:30 am to cokebottleag
If Texas could remove Austin and build a wall to keep Mexicans and Californians out, they’d be fine.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:33 am to cokebottleag
Texas will be fine. The problem in 2018 was that Ted did not take the O’Rourke challenge seriously and barely bothered to campaign. I do not anticipate a repeat of that mistake.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:34 am to cokebottleag
GOPers are fighting a losing battle in TX -- it's a sinking ship and if CA, NY, IL, and now TX all reliably go blue, conservatives are fricked. Those four states are 142 electoral votes alone.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:38 am to cokebottleag
Hot take California will go red before Texas will go blue.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:45 am to cokebottleag
I’m very worried about the electoral college going forward. Libs are pouring into Texas at an amazing rate.
Losing Texas would pretty much spell the end of life as we know it politically. Florida was too close for comfort last time as well.
Losing Texas would pretty much spell the end of life as we know it politically. Florida was too close for comfort last time as well.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:47 am to cokebottleag
This country is lost once Texas goes blue. We would never see another R president in our lifetime
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:55 am to cokebottleag
It’s worse than that. The down ticket success on Betas coattails has endangered the courts, statehouse, and other building block institutions.
The Dims success was astounding and could be a signal of the end. Not from an ideological standpoint but a tactical one.
The Dims success was astounding and could be a signal of the end. Not from an ideological standpoint but a tactical one.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:12 am to cokebottleag
By the way its not just Texas but other states which have smaller population bases are also being turning Blue because of the Central American northerly migration trends.
Utah, Arizona, Washington State, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming are all getting bluer and bluer every election. Idaho, Oregon, Washington State, & Montana are four states to watch in particular.
New Mexico, Nevada, and Colorado have already turned Blue. Arizona is now effectively Blue as well.
Montana and Wyoming have had Democratic Governors and Senators over the last few years and those two states are actually trending more Blue not more Red.
In 2016, CNN exit polls showed just 15 percent of voters in the Arizona Senate race were Latino. In 2018, 18 percent were. In the 2016 Senate race, those same exit polls showed 53 percent of Latinos voted Democratic. But in 2018, 69 percent did.
The states that have larger agricultural areas have smaller populations but agriculture needs workers and illegal immigrants have been flooding these western states with farm workers. Over a short period of time you knock out the native population's voting strength and this turns the state Blue. This is why the Democrats don't want to turn off the immigration spigot because it is helping them take control over the US politically.
As of 2012, Hispanics and Latinos made up about 17% of the total U.S. population.
The Hispanic Populations of these states in 2016 versus 1980:
Arizona 30.9% (1980 it was 16.2%)
California 38.9% (1980 it was 19.2%)
Colorado 21.3% (1980 it was 11.8%)
Hawaii 10.4% (1980 it was 7.4%)
Idaho 12.3% (1980 it was 3.9%)
Nevada 28.5% (1980 it was 6.7%)
Montana 3.6% (1980 it was 1.3%)
New Mexico 48.5% (1980 it was 36.6%)
Oregon 12.8% (1980 it was 2.5%)
Texas 39.1% (1980 it was 21%)
Utah 13.8% (1980 it was 4.1%)
Washington 12.4% (1980 it was 2.9%)
Wyoming 9.6% (1980 it was 5.2%)
Louisiana 4.9% (1980 it was 2.4%)
Florida 24.9% (1980 it was 8.8%)
The 2020 Census is going to be incredible to watch because the Hispanic growth will end up being the majority population in New Mexico and it will very close to being the majority in Texas and California.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:22 am to cokebottleag
LO fricking L
Abbott destroyed a socialist Latino woman by almost 20%.
He got 40% of the Latino vote and 19% of the black vote.
Cruz, although I like him, is a religious nut who was not liked.
Trump will do much better in Texas than 2016 because he won’t have that Cruz faction against him. He’s also polling very well with Latinos currently.
And LO fricking L at Castro being talked about possibly being a factor to turning Texas blue. Little shite can’t even speak Spanish.
Abbott destroyed a socialist Latino woman by almost 20%.
He got 40% of the Latino vote and 19% of the black vote.
Cruz, although I like him, is a religious nut who was not liked.
Trump will do much better in Texas than 2016 because he won’t have that Cruz faction against him. He’s also polling very well with Latinos currently.
And LO fricking L at Castro being talked about possibly being a factor to turning Texas blue. Little shite can’t even speak Spanish.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:31 am to cokebottleag
quote:
In 2018, we simply did not have the kind of people and activists at the scale the Democrats enjoyed.
They do not anywhere, bc REPUBLICANS ARE AT WORK AT JOBS MAKING MONEY TO FUND THE COUNTRY.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:34 am to cokebottleag
California political money is flooding into:
Texas
Tennessee
Nevada
Georgia
Florida
coincidentally those 5 states are were fed up Californians and New Jersey residents are fleeing to and continuing to vote for Democrats.
Texas
Tennessee
Nevada
Georgia
Florida
coincidentally those 5 states are were fed up Californians and New Jersey residents are fleeing to and continuing to vote for Democrats.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:40 am to cokebottleag
I'd be worried to if you continue to give me people like Ted Cruz to vote for. frick that guy.
No need to really worry though - Abbott still held the Governor seat by a huge margin.
No need to really worry though - Abbott still held the Governor seat by a huge margin.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:45 am to cokebottleag
Agreed. Join your county and town Republican groups. Attend meetings. Learn how to help and be a strong leader now as opposed to jumping in in 2020.
I did, and the enthusiasm is great. Texas nay eventually go Den, but I will work to keep it red as long as possible.
I did, and the enthusiasm is great. Texas nay eventually go Den, but I will work to keep it red as long as possible.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:58 am to cokebottleag
I get the liberals moving to Texas will vote Dem., but do/will most immigrants?
Most of the TPS workers I've been around know our politics and would support Trump if they could.
Most of the TPS workers I've been around know our politics and would support Trump if they could.
Posted on 1/29/19 at 10:06 am to cokebottleag
Have Faith in God. Fear and Worry are the devil
Posted on 1/29/19 at 10:21 am to cokebottleag
I think we're okay in Texas and Arizona one last time with Trump. More worried about PA, MI, WI for obvious reasons.
In 2024 we'd likely need a Rubio type to carry more Hispanics though.
Trump's electoral map looks bleak right now but the incumbency has some huge advantages and he's a fighter / survivor.
In 2024 we'd likely need a Rubio type to carry more Hispanics though.
Trump's electoral map looks bleak right now but the incumbency has some huge advantages and he's a fighter / survivor.
This post was edited on 1/29/19 at 10:22 am
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