- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:32 pm
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:32 pm
Nate doubling down on his predictions.
How is this guy still around?
538
How is this guy still around?
538
This post was edited on 8/16/18 at 1:34 pm
20
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:34 pm to Covingtontiger77
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:34 pm to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
This is all but guaranteed now
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:37 pm to Covingtontiger77
If I'm a Republican candidate, I'm telling my campaign communications folks to create a montage of the craziest hate-filled rants that Democrats have uttered over the past couple of years. Emphasize the ones where they insult, degrade, and slander Trump voters and supporters.
Buy some air-time.
That should just about do it.
Buy some air-time.
That should just about do it.
This post was edited on 8/16/18 at 1:44 pm
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:44 pm to Covingtontiger77
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:44 pm to Covingtontiger77
quote:
How is this guy still around?
He's still living off his 50/50 projection in 2012.
Legit statisticians and data scientists think Silver is a hack.
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:46 pm to Covingtontiger77
So ole Nate had Hillary at 83%
But has the dems retaking the house at only 75%
Tip: Don't bet the farm
But has the dems retaking the house at only 75%
Tip: Don't bet the farm
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:46 pm to Covingtontiger77
Nate Silver is still acknowledged?
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:46 pm to Covingtontiger77
It still amazes me how upset the Poli Board gets about a statistical analysis. It's based on raw data and mathematical trends from previous elections.
If you read any of his pre-election stuff (which i doubt) he said straight up repeatedly that the national polls were pretty solid but that the state polls were potentially less reliable. His national numbers were damn near prophetic. Some key state polls were wrong.
If you read any of his pre-election stuff (which i doubt) he said straight up repeatedly that the national polls were pretty solid but that the state polls were potentially less reliable. His national numbers were damn near prophetic. Some key state polls were wrong.
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:54 pm to Covingtontiger77
From his twitter:
p.s. The chances our model gives Democrats—between 70 and 75 percent depending on what version you look at—are pretty much exactly the odds that Hillary Clinton had of winning in 2016! So hopefully everyone's learned their lesson and won't mistake that for a sure thing. ??????
p.s. The chances our model gives Democrats—between 70 and 75 percent depending on what version you look at—are pretty much exactly the odds that Hillary Clinton had of winning in 2016! So hopefully everyone's learned their lesson and won't mistake that for a sure thing. ??????
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:56 pm to Covingtontiger77
But he’s jewish, so he’s so much smarter than is gentiles.
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:57 pm to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
That is for the last big election. Just a warm-up for the next one. I'm getting in practice.Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:58 pm to Covingtontiger77
Also, I will bet anyone that the Dems will take back the House. Not sayin its gonna happen but Bovada, PredictIt, and Smarkets all show the odds with the Dems. I'll try Vegas' take and u can take Trump.
Any takers?
Any takers?
Posted on 8/16/18 at 1:58 pm to Covingtontiger77
Lol what a fruit. 75% is WAY too low. Nate Bronze is a cuck!
Posted on 8/16/18 at 2:02 pm to Covingtontiger77
How is this guy still getting paid to do this? 
Posted on 8/16/18 at 2:17 pm to Covingtontiger77
Nate is still using flawed polling. Interesting.
Posted on 8/16/18 at 4:06 pm to Covingtontiger77
quote:Sounds about right, honestly.
75% Dems take House
Posted on 8/16/18 at 4:11 pm to Covingtontiger77
Garbage in garbage out
Campaign hasn’t started yet and the narrative changes daily
His percent is meaningless - if it is wrong he will just say something changed
I say there is a 58.5737905% chance the republicans keep the house
Prove me wrong
Campaign hasn’t started yet and the narrative changes daily
His percent is meaningless - if it is wrong he will just say something changed
I say there is a 58.5737905% chance the republicans keep the house
Prove me wrong
Posted on 8/16/18 at 4:19 pm to Covingtontiger77
Can someone explain to me why the left think they are going to retake the house? What has the left done to garner any support? Realistically, economy is great, jobs are up. The dems aren't running on anything other than "no trump". Via the 2016 election, that didn't turn out too well. So what are they running on that makes them think they will flip the house?
Posted on 8/16/18 at 4:33 pm to Covingtontiger77
When voter turnout for midterms is low, anything is possible.
Page 1 of 2
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News