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Posted on 1/31/18 at 5:54 am to Scruffy
quote:
Never count chickens before they hatch.
Yup
Posted on 1/31/18 at 6:47 am to Cow Drogo
My prediction is the opposite of what Nate 9D Platinum says
Posted on 2/1/18 at 11:52 am to Scruffy
quote:
Never count Hatches before they chicken
FIFY.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 11:52 am to Cow Drogo
17,450 to 4
Posted on 2/1/18 at 11:56 am to Cow Drogo
Depends on whether he does the amnesty and signs the ridiculous Hatch/Flake worker importation bill.
Working Americans will vote for him.
Muslims, amnestied illegals, etc won't.
The Deplorables must stay woke. Soros will be working overtime to make the Democrat machine produce results.
Remember Alabama.
Working Americans will vote for him.
Muslims, amnestied illegals, etc won't.
The Deplorables must stay woke. Soros will be working overtime to make the Democrat machine produce results.
Remember Alabama.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 2:10 pm to Cow Drogo
If the Dems can't get out of their own way and resemble a political party instead of the clown show it's become I could easily see something close to Clinton-Dole results favoring Trump.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 2:12 pm to artisticsavant
Trump / Harris would resemble the 2016 map to start.
Trump / Biden would resemble the 2004 and 2012 maps to start.
I also think there's a high probability of a Mark Cuban or Mike Bloomberg getting into the race if the Dems nominate a far-leftie like Harris. This would likely ensure a Trump win because his 38% rock solid base is larger than the portion of the country that is far far left like Harris or Warren or Sanders.
Trump / Biden would resemble the 2004 and 2012 maps to start.
I also think there's a high probability of a Mark Cuban or Mike Bloomberg getting into the race if the Dems nominate a far-leftie like Harris. This would likely ensure a Trump win because his 38% rock solid base is larger than the portion of the country that is far far left like Harris or Warren or Sanders.
This post was edited on 2/1/18 at 2:15 pm
Posted on 2/1/18 at 2:15 pm to The Boat
quote:
Same states he won plus New Hampshire, Nevada, Minnesota, Colorado, and Virginia. However many that is.
That's 348 to 190
Posted on 2/1/18 at 2:33 pm to KosmoCramer
Dems carry Fla, NCar, PA, OH, MI, and WI and win easily.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 2:35 pm to Cow Drogo
If the trend of the last month holds the republicans will be about 135% ahead in the generic poll by November!
Posted on 2/1/18 at 2:39 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
400+ cali goes red
The only way that happens is if NK nukes one of the big Cali cities...
Posted on 2/1/18 at 2:53 pm to Cow Drogo
If he has his current approval rating in 2020.... probably sub 200 EV's.
Assuming things pick up with the economy, Russia investigation ends with no charges, border security enabled, etc., then I think you start with the 2016 map, add Minnesota and New Hampshire, but drop Florida (Puerto Rican influx from Hurricane Maria). That would put him at ~290 EV's. Other safer Dem states are not flipping anytime soon, regardless of how well Trump actually does.
Assuming things pick up with the economy, Russia investigation ends with no charges, border security enabled, etc., then I think you start with the 2016 map, add Minnesota and New Hampshire, but drop Florida (Puerto Rican influx from Hurricane Maria). That would put him at ~290 EV's. Other safer Dem states are not flipping anytime soon, regardless of how well Trump actually does.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 3:07 pm to Cow Drogo
He will not carry Pennsylvania or Michigan again. It will probably be close in Wisconsin and Minnesota.
No matter how much you love Trump you have to realize democrats will be democrats and not vote for Trump.
Virginia is gone to far blue and continue to move more to the left.
Minority’s in Philly metro will actually vote and vote democrat because they hate Trump. For the same reasons Michigan will return to a blue state.
Keeping Florida and Wisconsin will be what could keeps Trump in office.
No matter how much you love Trump you have to realize democrats will be democrats and not vote for Trump.
Virginia is gone to far blue and continue to move more to the left.
Minority’s in Philly metro will actually vote and vote democrat because they hate Trump. For the same reasons Michigan will return to a blue state.
Keeping Florida and Wisconsin will be what could keeps Trump in office.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 3:08 pm to Cow Drogo
Trump wins 45+ states.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 3:37 pm to Cow Drogo
As it stands now? Trump 270-268.
That can change if he moves forward on immigration and passes a DREAM Act. But I think he loses Arizona and Florida while gaining New Hampshire. Also, according to the Gallup state approval ratings, he's upside down in Texas 39-54. Historically bad for a Republican. I still think Texas would go his way but not by much.
Also depends on who the nominee is.
That can change if he moves forward on immigration and passes a DREAM Act. But I think he loses Arizona and Florida while gaining New Hampshire. Also, according to the Gallup state approval ratings, he's upside down in Texas 39-54. Historically bad for a Republican. I still think Texas would go his way but not by much.
Also depends on who the nominee is.
This post was edited on 2/1/18 at 3:40 pm
Posted on 2/1/18 at 3:52 pm to Cow Drogo
WAy too early. Just about anything could happen between now and then. There are simply too many balls in the air right now to have even the slightest idea how this will land.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 3:58 pm to Cow Drogo
Same as 1984 Reagan but Trump also gets Minnesota
Posted on 2/1/18 at 3:58 pm to maine82
quote:
according to the Gallup state approval ratings, he's upside down in Texas 39-54
Posted on 2/1/18 at 4:39 pm to Cow Drogo
538
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