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Started By
Message
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:06 am to sicboy
quote:
What are the odds this is still a TS when it makes landfall?
maybe pretty low, if its close.. they love pushing them hurricane deductibles.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:07 am to sicboy
Experts, is there a good site/map for the estimated wind speeds for the LA area? Trying to help people make flight decisions over on the travel board. Basically if the winds are above 45-50mph the airlines won't operate so i'm just trying to gauge the timeframe. Thanks (feel free to post a wind map over there if thats easier)
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:07 am to slackster
Moving at 21 mph motha truckas
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:07 am to Chad504boy
2% named storm deductible
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:08 am to Chad504boy
Disorganized eye and fast moving storm.......crossing fingers. Think we'll be all right here in Crestview (40 minutes east of Pensacola), but still on the east side regardless. Down for rain but I feel it wouldn't take much wind to put some of our fence down.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:08 am to slackster
quote:
However, the current structure of the cyclone does not favor rapid development.
I'm gonna hang on to this and hug it and pet it and squeeze it and call it George.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:09 am to Paul Allen
quote:
2% named storm deductible
some policies have their deductibles defined as a hurricane deductible. Others Named Storm. Others have wind and hail deductible.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:10 am to sicboy
You know this hurricane season is absolutely shitty when the Gulf Coast is peering down a potential hurricane in October. Going to hunker the bunker down today just in case. I can't wait for cold weather and this season to be over. I hate cold weather too.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:10 am to sicboy
quote:
Down for rain but I feel it wouldn't take much wind to put some of our fence down.
Go get a box of screws and drill some reinforcements from your outter fence boards through your 2x4 runners into your support posts.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:11 am to deltaland
quote:
quote: it looks like NOLA could take A direct hit
quote: dukke v
It's just comical at this point.
We'll see where it shakes out, but since PJ made this post, the chance of sustained 40mph winds in New Orleans have come down from 71% to 61%. The chance of sustained 57.5mph winds have come down from 30% to 22%, and the chance of sustained 75mph winds have come down from 9% to 6%.
PJ's post about a direct hit on NOLA has coincided with a 33% reduction in the chance of hurricane force winds in NOLA. Let's hope this is only the beginning.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:12 am to CuseTiger
Tropical Storm wind probabilities.
Estimated time of arrival.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:12 am to CuseTiger
quote:
Experts, is there a good site/map for the estimated wind speeds for the LA area? Trying to help people make flight decisions over on the travel board. Basically if the winds are above 45-50mph the airlines won't operate so i'm just trying to gauge the timeframe. Thanks (feel free to post a wind map over there if thats easier)
NHC Wind Speed Probabilities
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:13 am to Duke
Holy smokes Nate has a rocket attached to it!
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:17 am to LSUfansabanhater
Hopefully this storm ends up like NK rocket tests.
Just fizzle out.
Just fizzle out.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 10:18 am
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:19 am to slackster
quote:And earlier this week the NHC model consensus cone had Nate going into Florida between Destin and Tallahassee.
but since PJ made this post, the chance of sustained 40mph winds in New Orleans have come down from 71% to 61%.
Let's make fun of their forecasting abilities while we're at it.....
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 10:20 am
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:22 am to GEAUXmedic
I don’t like that cone at all.
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