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re: College Football News Prediction: Bama 27 LSU 17

Posted on 11/4/15 at 9:21 am to
Posted by HeauxBeaux
Member since Mar 2008
5538 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 9:21 am to
LSU wins by 9 safeties
Posted by I-59 Tiger
Vestavia Hills, AL
Member since Sep 2003
36703 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 9:27 am to
certainly I think we'll win,but that's not the worst prediction in the world.
Posted by Born in BR
Ormond Beach, FL
Member since Dec 2007
439 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 9:29 am to
quote:

Final Score: Alabama 27, LSU 17


Flutiak has forgotten to mention our O line which matches up very well with their D line. And by the way our D line matches up much better with their O line. I think BH can beat Bama if necessary. Coker will not be able to reciprocate when Bama's run game bogs down.
The look on the Bama crown as the clock winds down will be priceless
Posted by Bmath
LA
Member since Aug 2010
18692 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 9:31 am to
quote:

Alabama’s defense is better, and that’s it. That’s the difference.


They are statistically better in many categories, but it's not night and day. The real disparity is the Alabama offense compared to LSU. That's the biggest advantage by either team in this game.

When LSU runs the ball it is strength on strength. When Bama runs the ball they have a great running back behind a subpar line into a Tiger front that has been stout at the point of attack.

I like our chances in this one.
Posted by Will2nd
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2009
3948 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 9:35 am to
quote:

Final Score: Alabama 27, LSU 17


Harris loves when you count him out. The chip on that shoulder just got bigger. Alabama's d-linemen are too slow on the edge and that's where the game-plan should be primarily targeted with the run.
This post was edited on 11/4/15 at 9:37 am
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28751 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 9:56 am to
quote:

It's not an unreasonable prediction. Could happen


Of course it's not unreasonable. But reason has no place on the Tiger Rant where many think the fans'/sportswriters' opinions have some type of influence on the game.

Why LSU will win:

LSU doesn't exactly fool anyone with their offensive approach. EVERYONE knows Fournette is going to get the ball and EVERYONE loads up to stop it. Yet, EVERYONE has a hard time stopping him. Bama's front 7 is great. Maybe the best in the country. But to act like they are leaps a bounds better than a team like UF is bit much.

While not by a large margin, LSU has the better skill players in this game. Bama is not going to give Harris much room to fit the ball into his receivers. That should be nothing new because rarely does Harris have much room to fit the ball into his receivers. Still, he's got the arm strength and accuracy to stick the ball into tight windows. He's done it all year. This passing game is more like 2012 than 2014, 2010, etc.

The front 4 can actually get a bit of pressure on their own now. I don't think it's unreasonable to say that Coker has been the worst QB in the Saban era. He's had his good moments, but he's also had some really bad ones as well.

Why Bama will win

They always come out with the mindset to be the aggressor and take the game to LSU from the start. On the other hand it always feels like LSU's offense wants to play ultra-safe until they absolutely can't anymore. LSU has led at halftime only one time in this game (09) since 2008. There are some legitimate concerns about LSU's defense this year and I don't think LSU can afford to go down early by more than one score. Les has the better offensive personnel, but will he be willing to attack Bama from the outset or will he just try to match them blow for blow and neuter his offense in a effort to make absolutely sure they don't turn the ball over?

LSU hasn't been bad defensively, but they've busted a coverage or two that led to TD's in just about every game this year. It's hard to think that after 7 games that won't happen again. In a game that is always tight, one or two coverage bust can be the difference.

Special teams have been a HUGE problem all year and unnecessarily given opponents points and/or short fields. FG kicking has been great, but do you trust Kheen not to shank a punt at an inopportune time? Do you trust the coverage teams to hold Bama to minimal returns all game?

Like it or not, Les is 3-6 vs. Saban (2-6 if you take out the 2007 season which seems to be an anomaly for Bama) I don't think Saban is an infinitely better coach that Miles, but I think in this game he's willing to do what is necessary to beat LSU, even if that means going out of his comfort zone a bit. On the other hand, I see Les as being more reluctant to come out of his comfort zone in these games. He's going to take the same approach on offense as LSU always does until it is clearly evident that it won't work. I think that is the biggest reason why you've seen LSU be a very good second half team in this game of late (see 2010, 2012, 2014). Once it finally set in that they were just banging their head against a brick wall, he threw caution to the wind and trusted his QB. In many cases (Jefferson, Mett, Jennings) played pretty well once the handcuffs came off.

It's unlikely that LSU can win this game by "protecting" Harris. If they are willing to let him be the playmaker he's show he and the WRs can be, then Bama is about to face the toughest offense they have seen all year. Saban wouldn't admit it, but LSU's skill players scare the hell out of you because they are all big time athletes. You've lost 4 straight to these guys. It's clear that approach isn't going to work. Don't play scared. Believe that your guys are good and let them get after it.
Posted by Knight of Old
New Hampshire
Member since Jul 2007
11092 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 10:02 am to
Fiutak has always -always- been in the sack with the red team.
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
62427 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Alabama isn’t going to fall for the banana in the tailpipe trick play.


Not once

But twice
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124688 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 10:46 am to
quote:

The rain does concern me a bit. Fournette is a beast at making cuts, but a sloppy field could mess with that.
Posted by RoaringTiger33
Member since Jun 2011
567 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 10:52 am to
Pro tip: don't give crappy sites view hits. CFN was once good, but for a few years now, they have been very poor. Let them know by not visiting their site.
Posted by monsterballads
Make LSU Great Again
Member since Jun 2013
29272 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 11:28 am to
quote:

Alabama looked tired


i'm "tired" of reading/hearing that excuse
Posted by YouAre8Up
in a house
Member since Mar 2011
12792 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 11:29 am to
Posted by monsterballads
Make LSU Great Again
Member since Jun 2013
29272 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 11:35 am to
quote:

Yeah, I think they've picked LSU to lose twice up until this point and we're still undefeated.



miss st, florida, and now alabama
This post was edited on 11/4/15 at 12:46 pm
Posted by pellietigersaint
Tiger Stadium
Member since Aug 2005
19043 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 11:39 am to
quote:

Texas A&M – 25 carries for 32 yards


this is part of their argument as to why LF7 wont get any yards.

ehl-oh-el
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3028 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 11:40 am to
FYI, they also predicted Florida to win, and LSU to only score 20
Posted by pellietigersaint
Tiger Stadium
Member since Aug 2005
19043 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 11:43 am to
quote:

Auburn ran for 160 yards on the LSU D


due to 2nd string D in the 2nd half of an arse pounding.

nice stat skewing
Posted by FreddieMac
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
21184 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Greatest player in college football, "might be one of the ten best backs in the NFL right now" but will be shut down because Bama.


That is so stupid! So we are to assume the Bama defense is NFL caliber?
Posted by rattlebucket
SELA
Member since Feb 2009
11555 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 12:08 pm to
Will be funny when LF7 runs wild Saturday.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76804 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Take the Tennessee game with a grain of salt – Alabama looked tired and in desperate need of a week off


Posted by LouisianaLonghorn
Austin, Texas
Member since Jan 2006
14270 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

It's not an unreasonable prediction. Could happen.


This. If it does indeed come down to defense, it's tough to argue with the guy's point. Also, I'm worried about a special teams breakdown. All it takes is one to bust the game wide open.
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