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re: Percentage chance CLM is offered and accepts Michigan job

Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:12 am to
Posted by BuckheadBetty
Buckhead
Member since Jul 2014
333 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:12 am to
50% offered

100% accepts
Posted by monsterballads
Make LSU Great Again
Member since Jun 2013
29272 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Every year it's some team reaching out to Miles


just michigan
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
14519 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:14 am to
quote:

10%. I think Les is going to retire at LSU.


That retirement could be coming sooner than later .
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
13955 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:16 am to
I'll say only 80% chance he's offered since they have been burned twice in the past by him. 5% chance he accepts.
Posted by jonboy
Member since Sep 2003
7144 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:19 am to
quote:

Thirty percent chance that he is offered the job, ten percent chance that he takes it if offered.


Interesting analysis. How did you come up with those numbers Gump?
Posted by Trublue
Member since Nov 2007
189 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:22 am to
25% he is offered.
100% he takes it if offered.
I think he would decide that rebuilding momma would make him a legend and to rub Carr's nose in it.
Posted by Macintosh504
Leveraging Salaries University
Member since Sep 2011
52698 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:25 am to
100
Posted by HeavyD
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2003
1038 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:25 am to
quote:

All these posts saying her retires at LSU. How many college coaches in the modern era, at competitive schools actually just retire? Can anyone name some? Coaches either get fired, leave to go somewhere else, or get pushed out typically


You have a good point. What I meant is I think this is his last coaching job. He may go on do something else, like ESPN or something.
Posted by ErnestTBassmaster
Bird Whistle, Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
2583 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:31 am to
quote:

Interesting analysis. How did you come up with those numbers Gump?

I used a probability generator, a-hole. How about you?

For what it's worth, I think it is very likely he stays at LSU, and he should.
Posted by Jack Bauer7
Member since Jun 2012
5039 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:34 am to
10%

like everyone has said, why why why would he leave right now,
Posted by The Eric
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
21075 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:43 am to
50% chance he is offered

50% chance he accepts



He is either offered or not, and he will accept or not.
Posted by jonboy
Member since Sep 2003
7144 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 9:57 am to
quote:

ErnestTBassmaster


Well played, well played.

There's always a bit of psychology in coaching moves.I think at this point in his life, legacy at LSU is more important to Les than rebuilding UM. I don't think Les is going anywhere. I think Les wants to be the "Bo Schembechler" of LSU.
Posted by ErnestTBassmaster
Bird Whistle, Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
2583 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 10:08 am to
quote:

jonboy
quote:

There's always a bit of psychology in coaching moves.I think at this point in his life, legacy at LSU is more important to Les than rebuilding UM. I don't think Les is going anywhere. I think Les wants to be the "Bo Schembechler" of LSU.

Agree 100%. Age in particular drives a lot of decision-making. I would not want to move to start a new firm at my age even if it meant more money, because it was hard enough to get the existing business where it is.
Posted by BayouBengal0505
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2013
2686 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 10:08 am to
Pretty sure this is called aa 50/50 chance huh?
Posted by DeltaDoc
The Delta
Member since Jan 2008
16090 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 10:09 am to
quote:

50% chance he's offered 90% chance he takes it
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
167020 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 10:13 am to
0% chance offered
cause they'll find out most likely 0% chance he accepts
Posted by Tigrwatchr
Bossier City
Member since May 2014
256 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 10:13 am to
Fify and turdy fife
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61477 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 10:13 am to
quote:

I think Michigan would need to match those numbers for him and the assistants.


He wouldn't just be taking the entire coaching staff with him. He would definitely have to make changes. Not only do the assistants he has deserve the chance to decide if they want to live in Michigan and recruit in Michigan, but he should also consider hiring guys who could recruit that area for Michigan. I've never seen an entire coaching staff just pick up and change schools, and its highly likely here that Les would make many adjustments to his staff because Michigan is drastically different from LSU.
This post was edited on 12/10/14 at 10:14 am
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 10:14 am to
No chance. If UM wanted Miles and Miles wanted UM, he'd already be moving to Ann Arbor.
Posted by LordoftheManor
Member since Jul 2006
8371 posts
Posted on 12/10/14 at 10:18 am to
quote:



He is either offered or not, and he will accept or not.


You're not doing this right.
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