Shock POLL; Trump Impeacher Bill Cassidy Trailing Primary Challenger John Fleming

According to polling conducted October 15–17, 2025, by JMC Analytics and Polling, Fleming leads the field of announced and expected Republican candidates with 25 percent support, narrowly ahead of Cassidy at 23 percent. The remaining five tested candidates together accounted for 17 percent, while 35 percent of respondents remain undecided.

In a projected head-to-head runoff, Fleming expanded his advantage over Cassidy to 40–29 percent, up from 36–29 in the previous poll. Thirty-one percent of voters remain undecided in that matchup. The survey of 610 likely Republican primary voters was conducted through a hybrid method—67 percent by text and 33 percent by live phone calls—and carries a 4.0 percent margin of error. Respondents were 70 percent Republican and 30 percent unaffiliated, with a demographic breakdown of 93 percent white, 4 percent black, and 3 percent other.

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