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Message

-0.3% 1st Quarter GDP

Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:08 am
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
12193 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:08 am
Not good. Recession imminent by July.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
12039 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:08 am to
Something something something eggs and omelettes????
Posted by Man4others
Member since Aug 2017
2348 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:09 am to
The Fed is 100 Bps too high
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
86699 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:10 am to
muh egggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggs

stock market is heading to zeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeero

tariffs baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad

omg i hate trump now!!!!
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
87010 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:11 am to
quote:

The Fed is 100 Bps too high


Facts. Too late jerome is playing politics

This will trigger a lot of ppl on here
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
11298 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:11 am to
Powell should cut now.

Get trade deals done

Congress pass big beautiful bill

Energy is unleashed

We feast
Posted by jizzle6609
Houston
Member since Jul 2009
14215 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:12 am to
quote:


muh egggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggs

stock market is heading to zeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeero

tariffs baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad

omg i hate trump now!!!!


Good day to buy

Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
12193 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:12 am to
quote:

Too late jerome is playing politics


Yup. He's doing this to hurt trump. He had no problem cutting last year to help his Democrat buddies.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
87010 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:13 am to
The Money Board chyna first geniuses cant handle that reality
Posted by MajorityWhip
Member since Oct 2020
74 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:13 am to
He should have cut rates when Trump told him to a few months ago. But he decided to go on TV and throw a hissy fit instead. Great job Jerome!
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175503 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:14 am to
quote:

he Fed is 100 Bps too high


Nah. Let it ride. We need a pullback because the Fed F'd us with their ever elusive and inflationary soft landing BS.
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
12193 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:14 am to
quote:

But he decided to go on TV and throw a hissy fit instead.


I'm sure he will do it again this week. Guy wants to hurt Trump at every turn. It's treasonous.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
132617 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:17 am to
Atlanta Fed GDPNow was predicting a negative 2,3.

The New York Fed Nowcast was predicting a positive 2.

Both missed badly.
This post was edited on 4/30/25 at 8:19 am
Posted by Azkiger
Member since Nov 2016
25209 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:20 am to
quote:

Not good. Recession imminent by July.


Now that Biden is out were back to the two consecutive quarter definition, huh?
Posted by Wildcat1996
Lexington, KY
Member since Jul 2020
8113 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:20 am to
Some actual content: WSJ

quote:

U.S. Economy Contracts at 0.3% Rate in First Quarter
The reading fell short of the 0.4% growth that economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expected


quote:

The U.S. economy contracted in the first three months of 2025, as businesses rushed to stock up on imports ahead of tariffs.

The Commerce Department said U.S. gross domestic product—the value of all goods and services produced across the economy—fell at a seasonally and inflation adjusted 0.3% annual rate in the first quarter. That was the steepest decline since the first quarter of 2022.

Net exports, the difference between imports and exports, were a large drag on growth in the first quarter, stripping 4.83 percentage points from headline GDP. Imports increased at a 41.3% pace in the first quarter as businesses tried to get ahead of tariffs that began to come into effect during the first three months of the year and were dramatically increased in the current, second quarter.

“The headline decline overstates weakness because a lot of that was tariff-induced pull-forward,” said Shannon Grein, an economist at Wells Fargo. “Overall, I think that it was a relatively solid underlying report when it comes to demand.”

The reading fell short of the 0.4% growth that economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expected.



A contraction is a contraction, but this is still not October of 1929 as some so desperately want it to be.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175503 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:22 am to
quote:


Atlanta Fed GDPNow was predicting a negative 2,3.


I thought they changed it to -2.7% the other day or did I read that wrong?
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
76398 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:23 am to
Get to work Jerome. There's your signal.
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
21681 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:24 am to
Look at the under lying details.

Higher imports (a subtraction from on shore production) is a big driver so is lower government spending.

I will take it if the trend continues. We need to choke the government smaller before it chokes us.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
132617 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:25 am to
quote:

I thought they changed it to -2.7% the other day or did I read that wrong?


You are probably right. Every time a new economic report is published they adjust the number. It’s a moving target.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
24432 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 8:25 am to
quote:

at a seasonally and inflation adjusted

I guarantee you that the inflation adjustment was wrong and overstated.
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