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re: -0.3% 1st Quarter GDP

Posted on 4/30/25 at 12:13 pm to
Posted by onepiecemayne
Member since Nov 2023
1211 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 12:13 pm to
Trump on 1/29/2024 , "THIS IS THE TRUMP STOCK MARKET"

Trump on 4/30/2025, "THIS IS THE BIDEN STOCK MARKET, not Trumps"

The flip-flopper in command strikes again.
This post was edited on 4/30/25 at 12:14 pm
Posted by FATBOY TIGER
Valhalla
Member since Jan 2016
13092 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 12:51 pm to
If you told me 20 years ago the SM would be over 40K, I'd laughed in your face.

The GDP will come around.
Posted by AHM21
Member since Feb 2008
31924 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 12:59 pm to
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97728 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 1:08 pm to
You tards cant read well huh?

Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
40237 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

While there was an overall small decrease due to trade, and that is bad, consumer spending and investments grew by 3%. While a decrease in GDP is not good, there are signs pointing to growth ahead if the tariff situation is worked out.

What do you call an economy where demand is growing but supply is shrinking?
Posted by wareaglepete
Union of Soviet Auburn Republics
Member since Dec 2012
18465 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 1:23 pm to
It can be inflationary.


But

The US annual inflation rate decreased to 2.4% in March 2025, down from 2.8% in February. This was the lowest rate since March 2021, indicating a cooling trend in prices
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
40237 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

The US annual inflation rate decreased to 2.4% in March 2025, down from 2.8% in February. This was the lowest rate since March 2021, indicating a cooling trend in prices

Is that a leading or lagging measurement?
Posted by OldManHenry
Texas
Member since Jan 2024
373 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 1:47 pm to
Hey dumbass, tariffs didn't happen until AFTER 1st quarter ended.


Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

Not good.


If you look inside the GDP calculation you see this is a good number because government spending is down and there ware MASSIVE imports in the first quarter. Record imports. Imports subtract from the GDP number.

Posted by wareaglepete
Union of Soviet Auburn Republics
Member since Dec 2012
18465 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Is that a leading or lagging measurement?


What do you think? Hmm, YoY number. These numbers are always lagging.

Leading would be prognostications. How much weight do you put on those?
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
77325 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

Recession imminent by July.

Detoxing from a poisonous addiction like the Federal Reserve is not for the faint of heart.
Posted by GamecockUltimate
Columbia,SC
Member since Feb 2019
9439 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

muh egggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggs

stock market is heading to zeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeero

tariffs baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad

omg i hate trump now!!!!


If a democrats economy was doing what Trumps has in the first 100 days, you would be incredibly outraged. You just like Trump, so you won't admit that his first 100 days have been bad
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97728 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:17 pm to
How have they been "bad" ?

Please explain im detail
Posted by Stonehenge
Wakulla Springs
Member since Dec 2014
2675 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:18 pm to
Winning!!!
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
40237 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

What do you think? Hmm, YoY number. These numbers are always lagging.

So why would you cite a lagging number about a current/future situation as demand grew and supply shrunk?

quote:

Leading would be prognostications. How much weight do you put on those?

On one by itself very little. On a mature model quite that's been tested and confirmed. I think till be accurate within at least a couple derivatives most of the time
Posted by beaux duke
Member since Oct 2023
4777 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

How have they been "bad" ?

Please explain im detail

instead of constantly asking others to do your work for you, could you explain in detail how they're "good"?
Posted by biscuitsngravy
Tejas, north America
Member since Jan 2011
3880 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:35 pm to
stagflation incoming....
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:36 pm to
During the first quarter most of your Chinese importers freaked out because of MUH tariffs and front loaded their inventories here in the U.S. The record number of imports contributed to the negative GDP number. Government spending was also down slightly but that’s a negative number we want to see.

Expect imports to be WAY down next quarter.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

stagflation incoming


It’s really not.

Trump is attacking inelastic goods to lower their prices by increasing supply though deregulation and foreign policy. Think energy prices; gasoline, diesel, NG, agriculture products, etc.

He is tariffing China because most of their crap is elastic. Either we don’t need it or we can find an easy substitute.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97728 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

instead of constantly asking others to do your work for you, could you explain in detail how they're "good"?


I figured you idiots wouldnt be able to answer
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