a decent albeit shallow dive on why polling misses so often

The people who come up with the algorithms are fine until it purposely gets skewed. Math doesn't lie until you make it and it's a tool just like a gun. It can be used for good or bad.

Doing a legit poll is already difficult enough. It's very difficult to a get a random, representative sample.

And if you have an agenda you can rig a poll to give whatever result you want.

I agree as I've tried to say in the conversations about this that went on the polling cannot be trusted
it's actually stupid to talk about because it's a misdirection

Over the years I was involved in conducting several polls across the state of Texas which is not a small undertaking

I manipulated every single one of em

When the left started ostracizing and canceling those on the right who were outspoken, many on the right stopped honest participation in public discourse. Including polling.

I would never tell the truth to anyone who wants to make money from my opinion without reimbursement.

The real world doesn't sync up with how the elites and establishment nerds WANT it to be.

They keep trying to wish their fantasy into existence.

It can work for a limited, short time. But eventually, reality comes back.

Polls are there to influence elections not predict them.

quote:

---

that's one of the reasons polls are so skewed toward the left and their efforts to adjust are constantly wrong as this article addresses

---

It’s as if this is consistently on purpose. It never changes. If it happens a vast majority of the time is it just an accident?

It would take a huge sample size to get a representative sample.
But the process could be simplified by excluding non-contested states.

The focus should not be on polling but on the issues that are in the best interests of the United States.
Put together a panel of intelligent independent voters and have them collectively agree on which Democrat or Republican candidate has a stated policy that it is in the best interest of the U.S. on each of the key issues.
If this had been done for the last election, Trump would have been the obvious choice.
1. Economy - Trump was clearly the most experienced candidate with the best proven economic policies.
2. Immigration - Trump's border policy enforces existing immigration law and addresses national concern over the negative impacts of illegal immigration.
3. Inflation - Inflation was much lower during the Trump administration and his goal of draining the swamp by cutting back our bloated government is an obvious step in the right direction.
4. Crime - Crime is completely out of control due to Democrat lax enforcement policies. Even hard core Democrats see the devastating impact on society. A Trump DoJ will actually go after the root causes of criminal activity.
5. Foreign Policy - The world was much more stable during the Trump administration. The current state of affairs is a powder keg waiting to happen and Trump has the negotiating prowess to get it under control.

Harris is a dumbass and was obvious part of the problem during the Biden high inflation, high crime disastrous foreign policy administration.