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What do you expect the market to do the next 4 years?

Posted on 11/17/24 at 8:25 pm
Posted by Zachary
Member since Jan 2007
1767 posts
Posted on 11/17/24 at 8:25 pm
(no message)
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
11495 posts
Posted on 11/17/24 at 8:26 pm to
Go up.
Posted by UpstairsComputer
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2017
1745 posts
Posted on 11/17/24 at 8:42 pm to
Multiple buy the dip opportunities. His first term had 13%, 20%, and 35% drops. They’re coming. Volatility is back!
Posted by thatguy777
br
Member since Feb 2007
2493 posts
Posted on 11/17/24 at 9:02 pm to
I think the market will go up most of the time haha. Seriously though I think trump forces lower rates by the fed, doesn't go through with the majority of tariffs, and will continue the tax breaks he did in his last term.

One thing I feel pretty confident about it that the housing market will go crazy in the next couple years and we have some sort of falling out in 2027. Maybe wishful thinking on me scooping up some vacation properties for non insane prices. I think once rates start dropping the run on real estate will be mind blowing, and last longer than anyone expects, and prices go insane then the inevitable crash, in larger markets at least.
Posted by TheWiz
Third World, LA
Member since Aug 2007
11814 posts
Posted on 11/17/24 at 10:23 pm to
Go up. Go down. Go up.
Posted by Dandaman
Louisiana
Member since May 2017
769 posts
Posted on 11/17/24 at 11:02 pm to
I think technology is going to make companies more profitable. Market will run hard for 10 years.
Posted by Suntiger
STG or BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
34619 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:24 am to
quote:

Volatility is back!

Trumps first term through Covid.


Every time Trump tweeted, the market would react and there would be wild swings up or down. It will be interesting to see if that’s the case again this term.
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
798 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 7:12 am to
Up overall.

If government spending gets efficient I’m not holding my breath but that would be a huge boost to markets.
Posted by GeauxTigers777
Member since Oct 2007
1587 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 8:21 am to
A little bit of a disingenious statement given we had COVID during that time. We will definitely have some dips and some gains, but to expect dips up to 35% is probably unlikely. TO have any S&P gains over norm is also unlikely too. The reality is no one can answer this question (people paid a lot of money to do it can't answer this), so if you are risk averse in the next 4 years, don't invest in the market. If this is a long term play, the S&P will average (historically) 10% over it's lifetime.
Posted by WhiskeyThrottle
Weatherford Tx
Member since Nov 2017
6516 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 8:22 am to
Personally I can't really base much of how the market is going to react based on Trump's first term. Covid wrecked a lot of the market. I could see it going on a much bigger run. And if Trump can clean up any of the waste in the government and reduce taxes, it would go a long way.

But, for the last 6 or 8 years, it's felt like the market is absolutely primed for a tanking. You can only fight natural market progression for so long.

In the end, the market goes up regardless of who is president historically. I think Biden was the first president in a long time where the market ended at a lower value than when he took office if I recall correct.

Dang it GT, you beat me to it.
This post was edited on 11/18/24 at 8:23 am
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
47330 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 8:41 am to
quote:

do the next 4 years?


Why are you asking about the next 4 years, that is a strange number.

Are you panning to retire in 4 years? Buying a house?

Trying to time the market in that time frame is not a great idea..
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
2292 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 8:44 am to
I think Biden was the first president in a long time where the market ended at a lower value than when he took office if I recall correct.
________________

Lol. You sure you are on the correct board?
Posted by Enadious
formerly B5Lurker City of Central
Member since Aug 2004
18265 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 8:54 am to
The market as a whole may perform as another 'lost decade' over the next 10 years. Individual stocks will perform better... Choose wisely.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
47330 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 8:54 am to
quote:

I think Biden was the first president in a long time where the market ended at a lower value than when he took office if I recall correct.




As usual politards dont know they are talking about.
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
21777 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 9:04 am to
quote:

Covid wrecked a lot of the market.



Market flourished under Trump. Covid killed the market if not for that it would of really gone up tremendously
Posted by WhiskeyThrottle
Weatherford Tx
Member since Nov 2017
6516 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 9:05 am to
That's the chart I recall seeing, but obviously my memory failed me. My apologies for that. I try to leave politics out of the MB but obviously the gist of the post is loosely correlated to politics. Must have been Bush that I was remembering.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
38648 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Covid killed the market if not for that it would of really gone up tremendously


The market ended 2020 up ~13% from the pre-covid peak.
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
2292 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 9:17 am to
Thank you. I wish they would stay on their board.

Dow went from 20k to 30k under Trump

Dow went from 30k to 43k so far under Biden.

Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
2292 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 9:18 am to
What did the market do under Biden?
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
21777 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 9:20 am to
quote:

What did the market do under Biden?


It went up. Whats your point

Just so happened the tech sector went crazy under Biden. Not that Biden had anything to do with it.
This post was edited on 11/18/24 at 9:21 am
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