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Started By
Message
Trump just dropped like 2% in 20 minutes on Polymarket
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:41 pm
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:41 pm
Down to 57.5% now, WTF is going on? Is there Soros money pouring in trying to influence momentum for Harris?
17
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:43 pm to GeneralLee
hedge bets
People who are too weak to risk money then risks more trying to protect their arse
as the Trumo bets get cheaper they'll start going back up
People who are too weak to risk money then risks more trying to protect their arse
as the Trumo bets get cheaper they'll start going back up
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:43 pm to GeneralLee
People are selling and locking in their gains before the election. They’ll start buying Trump again if he gets low enough. These aren’t betting sites like most people are used to. They can be better described as a stock market.
There’s no data out that would shift the state of the race in a major way.
There’s no data out that would shift the state of the race in a major way.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:43 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
Is there Soros money pouring in trying to influence momentum for Harris?
Most likely, yes.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:43 pm to GeneralLee
Follow the trends if you wanna get rich - ask anyone in Vegas!!
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:43 pm to GeneralLee
No. People are believing the biased polls and the ability for them to cheat based on all the court rulings. We will never have fair elections with mail in voting and drop boxes. Period
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:45 pm to GeneralLee
Lot of locking in gains going on.
Many people bought Trump in the mid 40's and made a 20% return when it was up to 65. People cashing out while ahead and don't want to risk losing it all.
The betting markets and mathematical models are converging in the end, they'll show Trump as roughly a 55/45 favorite on election day, perhaps a few points higher.
Many people bought Trump in the mid 40's and made a 20% return when it was up to 65. People cashing out while ahead and don't want to risk losing it all.
The betting markets and mathematical models are converging in the end, they'll show Trump as roughly a 55/45 favorite on election day, perhaps a few points higher.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:46 pm to GeneralLee
The media is hyping David Plouffe saying that undecideds are breaking for Harris. There is no evidence for that.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:46 pm to GeneralLee
Money. More money has been buying Harris than Trump. That’s all that means
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:47 pm to The Boat
These bets are meant to discourage Trump supporters; basically the financial equivalent of what’s happening in line in Bucks County.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:49 pm to Jake88
quote:
The media is hyping David Plouffe saying that undecideds are breaking for Harris.
Correct. Even if it were true. How many damn voters are still undecided?
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:52 pm to PoppaD
quote:
Correct. Even if it were true. How many damn voters are still undecided?
And thats the undecideds that are remaining after the 65 million or so that have already voted.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:55 pm to OWLFAN86
quote:
hedge bets
or a plane load of harvest ballots came in
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:59 pm to GeneralLee
Someone dropped over $600,000 on Harris. They’re intentionally trying to make it closer than it is.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:00 pm to GeneralLee
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:00 pm to Tuscaloosa
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:03 pm to GeneralLee
1. Betting does not equal votes.
2. No one who doesn't have crypto on the line should care.
3. 57.5% is still landslide territory. Chances are the actual results will be closer than that.
2. No one who doesn't have crypto on the line should care.
3. 57.5% is still landslide territory. Chances are the actual results will be closer than that.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:03 pm to GeneralLee
Wonder what the excuse would be if Kamala was 65% and Trump was 35%. There is no scenario in which the majority of this board couldn’t twist an argument in Trump’s favor.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:06 pm to GeneralLee
Do you not understand Polymarket means nothing. Did you even know you can't bet on elections from within your country? It was pointless to get excited when it was 60/40. It is even more pointless to get your panties in a wad over a tiny dip to 57.5/42.5
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