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A Mystery $30 Million Wave of Pro-Trump Bets Has Moved a Popular Prediction Market

Posted on 10/19/24 at 9:04 pm
Posted by Will Cover
Davidson, NC
Member since Mar 2007
39823 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 9:04 pm
quote:

Four Polymarket accounts have systematically placed frequent wagers on a Trump election victory


quote:

Over the past two weeks, the chances of a Trump victory in the November election have surged on Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market. Its bettors were giving Trump a 60% chance of winning on Friday, while Harris’s chances were 40%. The candidates were in a dead heat at the start of October.


Full Story
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
27065 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 9:06 pm to
If you want the truth follow the money.

People betting that big aren’t watching CNN or MSNBC
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
194055 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 9:11 pm to
Elon is gonna make money on this election
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
35015 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 9:40 pm to
quote:

Its bettors were giving Trump a 60% chance of winning on Friday, while Harris’s chances were 40%. The candidates were in a dead heat at the start of October.

Who would have thought that the "October Surprise" was merely going to be Harris self-destructing in a hilarious series of gaffes and miscalculations?

It's like 2020 Biden all over again.

Unfortunately, thanks to fraud, the result will be the same again too.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
99676 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 9:49 pm to
quote:


Unfortunately, thanks to fraud, the result will be the same again too.


Mate, there is a cure for negative thinking loops and also for cuckoldry.
Posted by Gifman
Member since Jan 2021
16854 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

Elon is gonna make money on this election


Elon will make unimaginable amounts of money regardless of the election.
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
34419 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 10:02 pm to
quote:

If you want the truth follow the money.

People betting that big aren’t watching CNN or MSNBC


So it's OK that the faith is based on 4 users manipulating the platform?
Posted by DTRooster
Belle River, La
Member since Dec 2013
8855 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 10:43 pm to
Drop all your coin on the kamala then, sure bet and they teed it up for you
Posted by Tunasntigers92
The Boot
Member since Sep 2014
27554 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 10:43 pm to
Follow the money, Trump wins big
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30873 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 10:46 pm to
Tesla moves like $758 billion of bitcoin into multiple mystery wallets, then $30 million bets on Trump start dropping. Elon owns/controls the most powerful AI on the planet.

He's getting paid.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39130 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 10:48 pm to
quote:

Who would have thought that the "October Surprise" was merely going to be Harris self-destructing in a hilarious series of gaffes and miscalculations?


Dude…everyone knew this. She flamed out spectacularly in 2020.

Jim Clyburn saved both of them and the steal machine did the rest.

Problem this time is a win for them is not believable.
Posted by TJack
BR
Member since Dec 2018
3059 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

Problem this time is a win for them is not believable.
Posted by TackySweater
Member since Dec 2020
24650 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

Problem this time is a win for them is not believable.

So what. What’s anyone going to do about it?
Posted by Big Jim Slade
Member since Oct 2016
6216 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 11:09 pm to
The crazies on X say that dumb Rs with misplaced hope are throwing money into the betting market and thus running up the odds. The polls showing Trump ahead are for ratings to keep the race close. Kamala is winning in a landslide, they say. Ga Az Pa Wis Mi Mn and NC all going her way and it isn’t even close. These people are going to need to be institutionalized when Trump wins.
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
24717 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 11:15 pm to
Some rich people know something we dont.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175379 posts
Posted on 10/20/24 at 12:06 am to
Libs act like it's only Polymarket moving big to Trump. Every single betting site has moved big to Trump.

That market has over $2.1 billion in it. Those bets weren't the only thing moving it.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
50659 posts
Posted on 10/20/24 at 12:49 am to
There's a lot of betting markets besides Poly. Every one is predicting Trump by a wide margin.
Posted by TigrrrDad
Member since Oct 2016
7897 posts
Posted on 10/20/24 at 12:51 am to
What did they predict in 2020?
Posted by Tigerroar73
Member since Oct 2014
366 posts
Posted on 10/20/24 at 12:59 am to
a
This post was edited on 10/20/24 at 1:26 am
Posted by ItNeverRains
Offugeaux
Member since Oct 2007
28166 posts
Posted on 10/20/24 at 6:40 am to
quote:

So what. What’s anyone going to do about it?


The potential fallout from a steal this time for someone as awful as Kamala Harris seems like a horrible long term decision for the DC Blob. The illusion Trump will destroy in 4 years what took 75 years to build is void of reason.

They will eat crow and let Trump have his 4 years, hope the MAGA movement goes the way of the Tea Party once his term is over, and pick up right where they left off in 2028.

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