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re: NFL Various Games - Divisional Round
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:07 pm to SpartyGator
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:07 pm to SpartyGator
Oh no Lions what is you doing baby?
1
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:07 pm to Mizzoufan26
quote:
The capability and ease of scoring 7 compared to 8 and the psychology of that.
Buccs just got stopped going for 8, just happened, within the past 10 plays
So they’re still one score away from tying it up?
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:07 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Lions needed to use a timeout on that 3rd down
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:07 pm to bad93ex
Pressure time.
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:07 pm to bad93ex
Defense just get back and play prevent?
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:07 pm to The Cool No 9
90 yards in 2 minutes with weapons at wideout and a gunslinger QB. Only two ways this ends. Baker carves them up or he makes one of the dumbest decisions ever.
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:08 pm to Akit1
Lions getting 5 yards a carry and decided to get cute. Not a fan of the play calling there.
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:08 pm to Gordon Hayward
quote:
Collinsworth explained it perfectly. It’s just like true shooting % in basketball. Steph curry corner 3 at 67% is more efficient than a LeBron dunk at 98%.
Will be a super cool analogy to repeat if the buccs score and can’t even it up, and even if they do having to claw to get to level now
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:08 pm to deltaland
quote:
They decreased the odds of winning by missing the 2 pt because the odds of making a 2 pt conversion are less than making an XP
You don’t get to make the decision in hindsight. Going for two on the first TD is the right call.
If you miss it, it sucks a little, but you’re ignoring the 55% success rate too.
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to slackster
It was the right call. Don’t want to go to overtime on the road.
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to slackster
Ford Field is loud AF
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to Mizzoufan26
It’s playing odds. What actually happens doesn’t matter to the math that went into the decision. You trust a process and you’ll be right more times than not.
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to 88Wildcat
quote:
They are figuring they will need two touchdowns either way. If you go for two now and make it you can win with the second touchdown. If you miss it you still have a chance to tie with a two point conversion on the next touchdown. If they don't score another touchdown they are losing either way. I can see the logic for doing it. I can see the logic for not doing it. Look at it this way if you make the two point conversion you only have to stop Detroit once on defense. If you play for the tie by kicking it you have to stop Detroit on defense once in regulation and again in overtime. The 31 points on the scoreboard for Detroit suggests that will be tough to do. I think that was the right call but it also kind of goes against the way you typically look at this situation.
Seems more logical to kick the XP on first TD and if you score again go for 2 on the 2nd one. Simply due to momentum and pressure factors, logically missing the 2 pt on the first TD can kill some momentum/energy. If you kick it, you maintain momentum. Then if you score again you have 1. More momentum and 2. Would have worn the defense out more thus increasing the odds of converting a 2 pt try on the 2nd TD
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to Gordon Hayward
quote:
Collinsworth explained it perfectly. It’s just like true shooting % in basketball.
No, he butchered the explanation. He doesn't understand it.
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to Madking
Going for 2 was a bad call. Go for 7 and then can go for 2 at end if score again.
Now if they score a TD at best they can tie but if they miss 2 they lose. And if they go 7 and score another TD then Lions would be on backfokt and TB all the big mo to score 2 for win.
As it stands their odds are low getting both TD and 2.
Now if they score a TD at best they can tie but if they miss 2 they lose. And if they go 7 and score another TD then Lions would be on backfokt and TB all the big mo to score 2 for win.
As it stands their odds are low getting both TD and 2.
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to The Cool No 9
quote:
Defense just get back and play prevent?
Going to be interesting. Keeping Evans/all in front or play tighter and risk a PI at some point
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to Mizzoufan26
quote:
Will be a super cool analogy to repeat if the buccs score and can’t even it up, and even if they do having to claw to get to level now
Yeah. Only in Missouri is a 31-31 game a win for the Bucs apparently.
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to The Cool No 9
This one is over
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:09 pm to The Cool No 9
There's the baker we know and love
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:10 pm to GalacticaCannon
Wow
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