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Is BUD a buy?

Posted on 5/22/23 at 1:12 pm
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10506 posts
Posted on 5/22/23 at 1:12 pm
Buy low. BUD, by most measures is low.
Was 66 when the tranny issue hit. Now at 58.
16 PE.
1.3% dividend and they just raised it.

Sales are being hit but does anyone think that they won’t rebound?

Posted by RUFshreve
Shree'pote
Member since Jul 2016
2687 posts
Posted on 5/22/23 at 1:35 pm to
NO ONE is buying it. I work at a Cajun restaurant/bar and bud light was by far the top selling beverage. We from selling 15-20 a night, to 2-3 a week.

All my regulars who only drank bud light, won't touch it. They've all sworn it off.

So no, I don't think it'll rebound.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37737 posts
Posted on 5/22/23 at 1:42 pm to
I'm a buyer at around 50.

I'm happy to be proven wrong, but every time there is some sort of social justice boycott, it dies out within a few months.

Would love to be wrong on this, but I can't think of a time where a boycott had a lasting affect.

This post was edited on 5/22/23 at 1:44 pm
Posted by leeman101
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2020
1512 posts
Posted on 5/22/23 at 3:48 pm to
I sold mine to sideline money in case there is a recession. I would not touch it. However there could be a short squeeze in the future.
Posted by jfw3535
South of Bunkie
Member since Mar 2008
4686 posts
Posted on 5/22/23 at 5:30 pm to
Tranny stock.
Posted by Weagle25
THE Football State.
Member since Oct 2011
46216 posts
Posted on 5/22/23 at 6:28 pm to
16 PE with earnings pre-boycott?

What % of sales is Bud Light? I’m assuming they have more than beer but maybe not. What % of sales is beer?
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
41244 posts
Posted on 5/22/23 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

Sales of the US’s No. 1 beer were down 24.6% for the week ended May 13 compared to a year ago — slightly worse than the 23.6% dip they suffered a week earlier, according to Bump Williams Consulting and Nielson IQ research. Even more alarming, industry experts say, is the negative impact on Anheuser-Busch InBev’s other brands, including Budweiser, Michelob Ultra — with the latter being the nation’s No. 3 beer last year with more than $3.3 billion in sales last year. Michelob Ultra sales were off 2.9% versus a year ago in the latest week, in line with a drop a week earlier, according to a Bump Williams analysis of Nielsen IQ data. Sales of Budweiser, last year’s No. 7 beer with more than $1.8 billion in sales, were down 9.7% in each of the two most recent weeks. “Bud Light is ‘sick,’” Bump Williams,
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71431 posts
Posted on 5/22/23 at 7:19 pm to
16 isn't that great a PE and 1.3% isn't that great a yield.

I'd hold off. They'll likely have an earnings miss on their next quarterly report.

I'm just glad I picked $TAP instead of $BUD at the start of the pandemic.
Posted by Triple Bogey
19th Green
Member since May 2017
5995 posts
Posted on 5/23/23 at 8:58 am to
Their Q2 numbers should be awful. I would wait until 2 days after their next ER report to buy if you are going to.

I had an old friend a long time ago that told me no matter what happens with the economy or life in general.. people are always going to keep drinking.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
17066 posts
Posted on 5/23/23 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Is BUD a buy?

IMO no. They alienated their customer base to grow in an area that was never going to grow. Just baffling how out of touch these people are.
Posted by GhostOfFreedom
Member since Jan 2021
11839 posts
Posted on 5/23/23 at 9:17 am to
lol, the ESG lovers are trying to keep it pumped up.

If I was into shorting, I would place a 4 or 5 month expiring one on it.
Posted by ChiGator
Member since Nov 2020
3281 posts
Posted on 5/23/23 at 4:58 pm to
If by buy, you mean buy some long-dated puts than hell ya I’m buying. Their next earnings is going to be uglyyyyy
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
14493 posts
Posted on 5/23/23 at 5:47 pm to
When you have pissed off your core audience it's not going to be an easy fix. Ask the Dixie Chicks how long it took them to be somewhat forgiven for their little stunt of pissing off their core Audience. Agree the next earnings report will be UGLY. If you can hold out to then it should be around 50 or less. Bud better hope the Core group now boycotting doesnt find another cheap beer to stick with. If that's the case hope it was worth it.
Posted by ChexMix
Taste the Deliciousness
Member since Apr 2014
25261 posts
Posted on 5/23/23 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

Sales are being hit but does anyone think that they won’t rebound?
you dont lose 25% of your base and expect them to come back. Ever.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33603 posts
Posted on 5/24/23 at 11:27 am to
quote:

16 PE.
1.3% dividend and they just raised it.
None of this strikes me as particularly enticing in a 5% interest rate environment especially.
Posted by LSUvet72
Member since Sep 2013
12139 posts
Posted on 5/24/23 at 2:21 pm to
I would wait until Go Woke Go Broke hits home still too early IMO
Posted by OTIS2
NoLA
Member since Jul 2008
50216 posts
Posted on 5/24/23 at 9:01 pm to
If your queer
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
14493 posts
Posted on 5/30/23 at 9:45 am to
Dang Bud sure hope it was worth losing 25% of base to try and gain barely 1%.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19722 posts
Posted on 5/31/23 at 9:05 am to
Bud Light's new marketing team royally screwed the pouch with their woke stupidity. The brand will recede to a pool of gay bars.

Wait until what AB marketing does after stepping into the honey bucket. If they double down, remember to jump over the barrel of alcohol after sliding down the razor blade.
Posted by cajunandy
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2015
674 posts
Posted on 5/31/23 at 10:22 am to
quote:

Was 66 when the tranny issue hit. Now at 58

and eight days later it is at $53.30


Do not try to catch a falling knife
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